PUTIN’S END GAME IN SYRIA 3-15-2016

Vladimir Putin is playing a deep game indeed. He has outplayed, outthought and outmaneuvered pretty much everybody. His sudden announcement of withdrawing his forces from Syria is brilliant on so many levels. I do not think Putin is a good man, but surely he is a great leader. I put him in the same class as Catherine the Great, Peter the Great, and Ivan the Terrible. Granted, they were very bad people. Still, they advanced the Russian state, gained much territory and put Russia firmly on the world stage as a great power. All of which Putin has now done, not only in Syria and the Ukraine, but he has redefined the Eastern European borders fixed for 70 years since the end of World War Two in 1945. If I lived in Poland, I would be nervous about this Russian game player Putin. He has fully checked NATO imperialism to the east. He has revealed the reckless move to encircle Russia by NATO; he has countered it, and finally, he has prevented any further NATO expansion.

It is in this context, of a resurgent, self-confident Russian state, under the skillful and very savvy leadership of Putin, NATO, the EU and the Three Stooges, Obama, Kerry and Biden must now deal. The globalist plan to crush Russia, turn it into a colony run by the IMF, and castrate it has failed. Whatever else Putin has done, he has forced the West to take both him and the Russian state seriously. His withdrawal from Syria, which he says is because he has now done what he said he would do; namely, keep Assad in power, crush the armed opposition to him, and take control of the Syrian situation is decisive.

Russia is now well placed to exert even more control in Syria than if he had left his forces there. Putin is not pulling out his naval surface ships, or his submarines. He is not pulling out the S-400 SAM missile batteries. He is also not pulling out all of his airplanes, despite flying some home to a Russian Air Base and throwing a big welcoming party. I will remind everybody Russian warplanes were pounding the crap out of both ISIS and Al Qaida while the other planes were landing in Russia. Putin has left enough military forces in Syria to deal with the situation. The Assad Alliance is triumphant everywhere in Syria today. The so called western backed rebels are a farce on the brink of extermination. ISIS and Al Qaida, despite the open support of Turkey’s Erdogan are also on the verge of collapse. The fact they are reduced to raiding rebel groups for arms is a clear indication of that. Turkey is now in total chaos with a well-planned subversion campaign underway by the Kurds. The entire Southeastern part of Turkey is on fire. The Kurds are advancing from Syria with impunity. ISIS is cut off from Iraq, and will soon be cut off from Turkey. Erdogan is reduced to crushing all dissent, taking over Kurdish cities and murdering every Kurd he can get at. I will point out in several Kurdish cities inside of Turkey we now have massive firefights at the company level, and using small arms, machine guns, anti-tank rockets, fixed fortifications, and mines. All the Kurds have to do is start laying some of the mines Putin left them directly on the Turkish border and Erdogan will no longer be able to supply ISIS.

The fact we haven’t seen any nuclear flashes on the Ides of March doesn’t mean we don’t now have a war raging from West Africa to Afghanistan. It does not mean the situation is more stable than it was a month ago. In fact, the situation is even more explosive than it was a month ago. The critical test will be what Erdogan does when the Kurds start pouring over his border to support the Kurdish insurgents in Southeast Turkey. Given Erdogan’s track record to date, it is clear those people who think Syria has calmed down will be proven wrong.

Putin has created what is called the “arc of steel” from Finland, the Baltic States, and Poland in the north, all the way down to Syria, the Ukraine and Armenia. I will also add Putin has just deployed one squadron of SU-30 MIGS to the Crimea, as well as powerful military forces to Armenia. Armenia has a 165 mile long border with Turkey. The planes Putin has taken out of Syria were replaced by planes in Armenia and Sothern Russia. He also kept both his naval base and airbase in Syria.

Europe is in chaos from the hordes of Muslim refugees. The USA is in chaos from its election cycle. The entire Eastern European border, especially Poland and the Ukraine are now in total chaos. Western Europe, Central Europe and Eastern Europe are now in near total chaos, mostly due to Putin’s shrewd tactics.

The level of violence, lunacy and chaos since January 1st, is, when you take a sober minded look at it, staggering. Be patient, for I tell you plainly the cards have not all been played.

Here is the Url of some of the many essays I wrote over at gold-eagle from 1998 to 2007.

http://www.gold-eagle.com/search/node/Doug%20McIntosh
My e book “Day of the Dogs” is now on SmashWords. The Url is here

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The Url of my Amazon Kindle e books is here for the USA

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The Url for my e books at amazon United Kingdom is here.

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The e books are Day of the Dogs, Strike Destroyer, and Ezekiel’s Islamic Confederacy.

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TURKEY’ ERDOGAN ON A MISSION FROM ALLAH 3-13-2016

I am unsure of what words to use in describing the increasingly erratic behavior of Turkey’s leader Mr. Erdogan. Some of the words would be insane, crazy, a raving lunatic, a delusional fanatic who things he is on a mission from Allah to restore the Ottoman Empire come to mind. At any rate, Erdogan is now going for broke in establishing a fascist, totalitarian dictatorship in Turkey. He has said the courts have no power in Turkey if they issues rulings that he doesn’t agree with. He has closed down any media that challenges him. He has shut down Facebook and Twitter in a power grab of unprecedented ferocity. If anybody had any illusions the Internet is free, or can’t be shut down by a fascist government, Erdogan is showing what a government can do to crush dissent.

Today’s bombing in Ankara will give him even more leverage in his mad dash towards both war and fascism. The fact he is still being supported by NATO, the EU, and our Three Stooges in the USA, Obama, Kerry and Biden shows just how dysfunctional the USA is at this point in our Cretin in Chief Obama’s Marxist reign of terror.

The link below must be read in order to be taken seriously. Erdogan really does think he is on a mission from Allah, and he really does think he has been chosen to restore the historical Ottoman Empire. The fact this is on the level of a man who thinks he can do whatever he wants to, whenever he wants to, and to anybody he wants to, well that just gives it an additional level of luncacy.

Does Erdogan believe he’s on a mission from God? Summary Increasingly cornered and isolated both at home and abroad, Turkey’s president is seeking to boost his public support by placing God directly at the center of his Islamist oratory. Author Kadri Gursel Posted March 9, 2016 Translator Sibel Utku Bila http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/orig…oly-realm.html

The tidal wave of events now happening in and around Syria and Turkey are reaching a level of lunacy and lethality that beggars any description I can possibly write. In the last two weeks or so a massive military mobilization has been unleashed, one so large it defies reason. There are now well over 1.5 MILLION men deployed in and around Syria at full combat readiness. Russia has essentially encircled Turkey with combat deployments to the east in Armenia, to the north in Crimea, to the south with a naval base and an airbase in Syria. Russia has deployed both surface and submarines off the Syian coast. They have deployed a nuclear boomer sub in the Bay of Biscay off of France. They have used their airplanes from the Syria air base to pound the living crap out of Al Qaida and ISIS. The Assad Alliance is now moving at will inside of all areas of Syria and pounding the crap out of both Al Qaida and ISIS. In general, the military offensive by the Assad Alliance, especially the Kurds, using close ground support from the Russian Air Force is closing the last pockets containing both ISIS and Al Qaida forces. It will not be long before the Kurds are directly on the Turkish border.

NATO made a critical error in taunting Putin over the rescue helicopters. NATO now intends to monitor the Turkish and Syrian border more closely. Perhaps NATO will actually catch Turkish supply columns driving supplies to ISIS. It is more likey they will come under attack by the Kurds, or ISIS trying to stir things up. What will NATO do when one of their firebases gets attacked by anybody? It is a classic set up to get a clause 5 invasion of Turkey scenario. The fact Turkey is now sliding further into anarchy, as a direct result of Mr. Erdogan will be ignored. They need a war to derail Mr. Trump and the populists in Europe, so they will start one.

For links see article source….. Posted for fair use….. http://www.stripes.com/news/europe/r…tants-1.398942 37 minutes ago Report: Turkish airstrikes in Iraq kill 67 PKK militants Associated Press Published: March 12, 2016 ANKARA, Turkey — Turkey’s state-run news agency says the military has carried out air strikes against Kurdish rebel targets across the border in northern Iraq, killing at least 67 militants. Anadolu Agency, citing unnamed security sources, said Saturday that 14 F-16 and F-4 jets were involved in the March 9 strikes which allegedly destroyed ammunition depots, bunkers and shelters belonging to the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK. The agency said the offensive targeted five areas in northern Iraq, including the Qandil mountains on the Iraq-Iraq border where the PKK’s leadership is based. Turkey’s jets have frequently bombed PKK sites in northern Iraq since July, when a fragile peace process between the government and rebels collapsed. The PKK, which is fighting for autonomy for Kurds in Turkey’s southeast, is listed as a terrorist organization.

Saudi Arabia seeks Pakistan’s cooperation for NATO-like military alliance Last Updated On 12 March,2016 06:15 pm http://dunyanews.tv/en/Pakistan/3272…ation-for-NATO According to sources, both sides have agreed to continue consultation on the matter.

Syrian Air Force MiG-21 Jet Downed, Pilot Killed – Source 23:17 12.03.2016(updated 23:55 12.03.2016) http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20…shot-dead.html

http://abcnews.go.com/International/…-town-37612064

Turkey Declares New 24-Hour Curfews for Mainly-Kurdish Towns By Suzan Fraser, Associated Press ANKARA, Turkey March 13, 2016, 6:05 AM ET Turkish authorities on Sunday declared new 24-hour, indefinite curfews for two mainly-Kurdish towns where Turkey’s security forces are set to launch large-scale operations to battle Kurdish militants.

NATO to boost surveillance on Turkey-Syria border BRUSSELS – Anadolu Agency Sunday,March 13 2016 http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/nat…&NewsCatID=352

 

Yes indeed, the stars are lining up for another regional war in the Middle East. If you don’t believe me, just ask Mr. Erdogan who is on a mission from God!

Here is the Url of some of the many essays I wrote over at gold-eagle from 1998 to 2007.

http://www.gold-eagle.com/search/node/Doug%20McIntosh
My e book “Day of the Dogs” is now on SmashWords. The Url is here

https://www.smashwords.com/profile/view/doomerdoug

The Url of my Amazon Kindle e books is here for the USA

http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

The Url for my e books at amazon United Kingdom is here.

http://www.amazon.co.uk/s/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=search-alias%3Daps&field-keywords=doug+mcintosh

The e books are Day of the Dogs, Strike Destroyer, and Ezekiel’s Islamic Confederacy.

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LEBANON GOES HOT 3-2-2016

 

I have said the violence in Syria shows no sign of abating regardless of the so called cease fire. The link below shows fighting in Northeastern Syria rages unchecked.

http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/010320161

SDF seizes important ISIS headquarters in Syria

By Rudaw yesterday at 10:00

Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) have retaken the Syrian city of Shadadi. The battle for Shadadi was intense and lasted days. Large parts of SDF are Kurds of the YPG. The SDF described it as a strategic fight. By taking Shadadi ISIS connection with Ramadi and Mosul has been cut. The forces now have their eyes on Mergeda in northeastern Syria. Coalition airstrikes played a significant role in regaining the city. The SDF admits its link with the coalition, but rejects any ties with Syrian government or Russian air forces.

I will point out a major offensive against Mosul in Iraq is about to begin. ISIS is now completely cut off from Syria and trapped in pockets in both Syria and Iraq.

We now have a situation where the fighting ranges from the Syrian coast to deep inside of Iraq. We have open combat in all regions of Syria, especially along its Turkish border. We have Turkey massing troops and supplies in order to launch over the border attacks on the Kurds. We have the Syrian Army attacking Aleppo and its suburbs, as well as further north at Azaz. And now we have reports of major attacks in the far western Syrian area containing both the Russian air and naval bases. The fighting never stopped there at all.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mi…-idUSKCN0W414J

Syrian government forces open new battle with rebels in northwest BEIRUT Wednesday March 2, 2016 6:39am EST Syrian government forces launched an attack on Wednesday to capture a rebel-held hill in north-western Syria, a rebel official and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported, an expansion of operations that have continued in that area despite a deal to cease fighting. Rebels said the assault on Kabani hill in the province of Latakia was supported by Russian air strikes. Both the government and rebels have accused each other of violating the truce, which came into effect on Saturday. The agreement does not include Islamic State or the Nusra Front, an al Qaeda-linked group that has a wide presence in northwestern Syria. The hill overlooks the rebel-held town of Jisr al-Shughour in neighboring Idlib province, and the Ghab Plain, where rebel advances last year were seen as a growing threat to President Bashar al-Assad. “The regime and militias are trying to storm (the hill) under very fierce Russian air cover and artillery fire,” said Fadi Ahmad, spokesman for the First Coastal Division, a group fighting under the banner of the Free Syrian Army. Rami Abdulrahman, Observatory director, said: “If the regime is able to capture Kabani hill, the insurgents will be in a difficult position because this hill overlooks the Ghab Plain and Jisr al-Shughour.” A rebel commander in northern Syria said: “Battles continue in vital areas that the regime wants, and where there was no truce in the first place. There is bombardment and battles.” “We are in the fifth day and there is no change in these areas,” he said, in reference to areas in the provinces of Latakia, Homs and Hama. (Reporting by Lisa Barrington and Tom Perry; Editing by Toby Chopra)

And finally, we have clear indications Lebanon will be used as an invasion corridor into Syria. We have various Sunni governments advising their citizens to not go to Lebanon; if there, to leave immediately. We have the declaration that Hezbollah, Iran’s proxy military in both Lebanon and Syria, is now an official terrorist group. The icing on the warhead is the Greek Coast Guards’ seizure of a Turkish flagged ship carrying weapons to Northern Lebanon. When you combine all of that with severing the final ISIS link to Mosul, along with a major offensive in Northwestern Syria, with the Northern Thunder exercise, well I think you will see where I am headed.

At this point in time, we have over one million military people fully mobilized for war. This includes 600,000 Turks, 250,000 Saudi Coalition forces, hundreds of thousands of Syrian military, Hezbollah, Iranian forces, plus the Kurdish Peshmerga. Like I have said repeatedly, all the pieces are in motion. Once the final pieces are in place in Northern Lebanon, we could go hot.

The Assad Alliance forces are now moving towards the Turkish border. They are closing the final pockets ISIS and Al Qaida hold. They are going to cruise right up to the Turkish border and glare at each other. The Kurds have also now launched what is in fact an internal subversion campaign against Turkish rule of Kurdish cities inside of Turkey. As I write this, there is yet another planned demonstration which provokes total chaos in Turkey. Turkey is, to put it mildly, somewhat in a state of anarchy.

I am still on for my Ides of March date. I grant that it may take more time for everything to gel into total chaos. On the other hand, the process is speeding up, gathering steam, and headed towards open warfare. I feel like the person watching a train speeding towards a washed out bridge. The train hasn’t started falling into the Grand Canyon yet, but I can see what is going to happen.
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TURKEY’S ERDOGAN STAGES COUP 2-29-2016

One thing you can say about the Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan is he certainly has a theatrical streak a mile wide. He has now taken things to an entirely new level of lunacy. Erdogan has just stated that he doesn’t feel the need to comply with any court decision related to the release of the 300 jailed people. He doesn’t respect the court decision. He doesn’t feel the need to follow it, or even accept that is binding. The stunning arrogance of his comments is beyond the pale. We have the Prime Minister of Turkey stating openly he is now beyond the law. He feels no restrictions at all in his behavior, much less his policies. He has, to use the term the opposition is now using, staged a coup. Erdogan is now a dictator in Turkey. He feels no restraint from the rule of law, doesn’t accept judicial rulings, and shows open contempt for court decisions he doesn’t agree with. The only US comparison I can come up with is if Obama stated openly he refused to accept a Supreme Court decision.

The upshot of all this is simple. Erdogan is now beyond the rule of law in Turkey. He feels he can do anything he wants to. He clearly is ignoring the elected legislative branch. He is clearly ignoring the judicial branch. He is now placed himself as not only a tyrant, but as a tyrant seeking to restore the historical Ottoman Empire. The only other world leader who comes near his level of rank craziness is North Korea’s leader.

We have this link from TASS about Turkey’s ongoing support for ISIS.

http://tass.ru/en/fighting-islamic-state-in-middle-east

The link below states Russian opinion about Turkey’s real intentions.

http://tass.ru/en/politics/859690

This link from the Kurdish website claims Turkey bombed ISIS around Aleppo.

http://rudaw.net/english

The new tyrant Erdogan didn’t waste any time in cracking down on the Kurds inside of Turkey.

https://www.rt.com/in-motion/333897-turkey-pro-kurdish-protest/

1.              RUSSIA SAYS ONLY NINE CEASE FIRE VIOLATIONS

https://www.rt.com/news/333874-nine-…lations-syria/ 9 violations of Syrian ceasefire in 24 hours – Russian monitors Published time: 28 Feb, 2016 12:28 Edited time: 28 Feb, 2016 14:31 In the Raqqa province, a group of some 100 fighters crossed into Syria from Turkey. The group later joined forces with other militants and attacked the Kurdish town of Tell Abyad. The 250-strong group was supported by artillery fire from the Turkish territory, a fact that Russia said the US should explain. The Kurdish YPG militia fended off the attack, the report said. In Latakia province, fighters of the Al Nusra Front terrorist group, which is not included into the ceasefire deal, fired mortar shells at a local militia force, which returned fire.

 

 

Erdogan is setting up a situation which is lurching totally out of control. He is not holding back at all. Where all this will end up I honestly don’t know. I will say given Erdogan’s behavior up to this point, and his open declaration of dictatorship, things are not looking good.

 

My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The URL is https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following URL http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

THE WAR IS EXPANDING 2-28-2016

The UN statement the Syrian Cease Fire is holding is one of wishful thinking in my view. It is certainly not backed up by any possible supporting evidence. The Russian Air Force stand down didn’t last long at all. They are now bombing near Aleppo with their customary vigor. ISIS just launched an attack on Baghdad that apparently caught the Shia government in Iraq off guard. Damascus is being shelled daily. ISIS used Turkish territory to launch 15 separate attacks on the Kurds inside of Syria. As far as I can tell, the amount of land in Syria not engaged in combat is small, as is the number of rebels not fighting at the moment.

Turkey has been revealed to be openly supporting ISIS. Turkey has allowed ISIS to use its territory to launch attacks inside of Syria. They have provided access to Turkish territory to move oil to Turkish ports, and allowed ISIS to use the money generated from oil sales to fund its war in both Syria and Iraq. Turkey is a member of NATO. Turkey has been working to prevent an effective military campaign against ISIS. This military campaign is the stated goal of both the US and NATO, and yet, Turkey flaunts its treason with no shame. Erdogan is, at least in my view, increasing behaving like a lunatic. His fetish to restore the historical Ottoman Empire is a sign of the man’s increasing lunacy. Erdogan is no longer on the same page with NATO, much less the same paragraph.

AT any rate, actions have consequences, and stupid behavior results in pain. Turkey has chosen a path of deceit, treachery and lies that will result in a wider Middle Eastern War in my view. Erdogan has rolled the dice.

The Kurds have just announced they intend to launch an offensive inside of Turkey; openly calling for a Kurdish uprising inside of Turkey. The link is here.

http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/turkey/28022016

PKK commander warns of “Kurdish uprising” as clashes continue in Turkey

By Rudaw 12 hours ago

ERBIL, Kurdistan Region— A senior commander of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) has warned Ankara of continued violence in the country’s Kurdish southeast, saying “grave consequences” would follow for the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) if clashes persisted.   Duran Kalkan who is also a prominent member of the PKK’s military council said the guerrillas would soon take part in what he described as “the Kurdish spring” in Turkey.   “The guerrillas have not participated in the clashes but this spring will become the Kurdish uprising,” Kalkan was quoted by PKK media outlets Thursday in reference to the ongoing armed standoff in Turkey’s Kurdish cities.   PKK has repeatedly accused the Turkish government of waging an indiscriminate war against the civilian population in Kurdish areas although Ankara has said it is currently clashing with the armed members of the PKK inside the Kurdish cities.   The army has said it killed over 900 guerrillas since fighting broke out after a two-year ceasefire collapsed last July.   PKK, however, rejects the death toll announced by Ankara and says over 150 civilians have been killed in the attacks, a claim also largely supported by international rights groups which have slammed the government for human rights breaches.   Kalkan said PKK had already warned Ankara that if the military operation continued, there would be “a wider response by the public.”   “We have warned them that the Kurdish youths will organize new resistance groups and fight the army,” Kalkan said.   Cizire and several Kurdish towns and cities have been under round the clock siege and curfew over the past months with most civilians without running water and adequate electricity.   Shocking images were circulating on social media earlier in February of dead bodies of children who were placed in iceboxes as families apparently waited for proper funerals after curfews had been lifted.   The Turkish government announced on February 11 it had lifted parts of the curfews in Kurdish cities including in Cizire Botan.

The massacre in that Kurdish city is now being revealed.

http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/turkey/280220161

corpses discovered under rubble in Turkey’s Cizire

By RÛDAW 4 hours ago

The link to the ISIS attack in Iraq is here.

http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/iraq/28022016

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TRUMP WINS, PUTIN MOVES, AND ERDOGAN ROLLS THE DICE 2-24-2016

I have to say watching the RINO types, Republicans in name only, go into hysterics, whine and wail, and exhibit symptoms of a seizure over Donald Trump has given me much pleasure. I find the vision of American Oligarchs foaming at the mouth as the long suffering populist masses spurn the anointed Jeb Bush, and show the contempt the elite really deserves to be refreshing. I will also say the original American Oligarch plan to have a 1992 repeat, with Jeb representing the Bush Crime Cabal, and that scheming, twisted, manipulative witch Hellary representing the Clinton Crime Cabal, has now crashed and burned. The arrogance of the American Elite in such a brazen effort to crush what is left of the American Middle Class is disgusting.

Now that Trump stomped the corporate Republicans running against him in Nevada, with 46 percent of the vote, and now that he has solid leads in 8 of the remaining 12 states, the smell of fear is everywhere. I do not consider myself to be a conservative at all. I consider myself to be a secular populist. Trump disturbed me when he started cavorting with the likes of neo-con warmongers like Sarah Palin, and religious fundamentalists like Jerry Falwell, but I forgive him. Trump is going to win because people like me are going to vote for him. The reason I am going to vote for him is he is the ONLY candidate dealing with illegal immigration, the Militant Islam threat inside of the USA, and willing to not only say so, but do something about the problems. Trump is the kind of person who says what he means, and means what he says. For all the liberals claiming they will leave the USA if Trump gets elected, all I can say is don’t let the door hit you on your butt on your way out.

The situation in the Middle East continues to resemble what would happen if the Three Stooges were running the world. Actually, the Three Stooges, the New World Order version, are running the world! The link below confirms something I have had my four eyes on for some time. Putin is a broad thinker on so many levels. He is capable of widespread actions, based on a deep analysis of all political, economic, military and diplomatic aspects of what is now going on. Putin plays what has been called, “The Great Game,” very well indeed. The Great Game goes back for centuries and reflects the various efforts to seize both power and territory in the Middle East. Putin’s moves on the Crimea were also part of the Great Game, as are his military deployments to Armenia. Armenia shares a border with Turkey, and Turkey is a NATO member.

The link is from Forbes Magazine, which is about as New World Order as you can get in my view. The information is valuable in the sense it gives a coherent view of the totality of Putin’s moves. My blog readers will realize that I have been talking about Russian deployments along the entire Eastern European borders, all the way from Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and the Ukraine. Putin’s moves against Georgia, and his open deployment to Armenia, must be viewed in the broad sweep of “The Great Game.” Putin’s moves in the Ukraine and Syria are also part of the plan.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2016/02/24/putins-newest-satellite-state/#33587f343549

The events now going on in Syria must also be viewed in a larger context than just what is going on there. We are setting the stage for a conflict that will drag NATO in, kicking and screaming no doubt, into a direct conflict with Russia. Putin is clearly gambling he can have it all in Syria, the Ukraine, Armenia and the Crimean Peninsula, without actually getting into a shooting war with NATO. I am not sure he is factoring in either Turkey or Syria, much less NATO and the US, into his political and diplomatic equation.

Putin may pull it off, or he may drag us all into a regional war of intense chaos. Putin has also clearly made the judgment, correct in my view, NATO, the EU, Obama, Biden, and Kerry are not up to the task. It is this judgment of his which may doom us all to another cycle of mindless violence. I hope not, but I am no longer sure of that. Erdogan is a wild card in the truest sense of the word.
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SAUDI ARABIAN NUKES AND THE CEASEFIRE THAT ISN’T 2-23-3026

 

I have so much to write about today it is overwhelming. This blog, now called Doomism, had nearly 2,000 people view it yesterday. Most of them came from my mentor Steve Quayle’s webpage, and most of them came from the USA, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, or the United Kingdom. I have never cared for the name United Kingdom since it sounds like somebody has died and gone to heaven. Anyway, I also had views from over 30 other countries, which makes this truly an international blog. I won’t deny many of those countries had between one to four viewers, but I will, or at least my writer’s ego will, take what I can get.

 

The so called Syrian Cease Fire planned to take effect this Saturday is somewhere between a farce and a fantasy. Putin’s speech was funny in a morbid, black humor kind of way, especially since he said it with a straight face. Any ceasefire agreement that leaves out two of the major combatants, ISIS and Al Qaida, allows unrestricted combat by all other combatants, and makes no effort to deny any of this, is not a ceasefire. The objective military reality in Syria is those forces supported by Turkey and Saudi Arabia are getting their rear ends kicked up to the level of their shoulder. In response to that, Turkey has been engaged in active combat operations for the last week or so. I may not have had my morning coffee yet, but even I can see that a ceasefire that has Turkey still shelling the Kurds, and the Kurds still fighting ISIS, and Syria, and Iran, and Hezzbollah still fighting, along with Russia bombing the crap out of everybody they don’t like, well, you can see my point! My blog readers can rest assured that on Monday we will see frantic diplomats, making even more frantic press releases that the violence hasn’t stopped in Syria. The only thing that will interest me is they will say all this with straight faces, and like the cease fire was ever intended to be a cease fire.

 

Next, we come to the “do they, or don’t they, “nuclear question for Saudi Arabia. I have to say even Doomer Doug was a bit on the stunned side yesterday. Having slept on the matter, I have come to several conclusions about the video. The original source was a Saudi “political analyst” giving an interview played on Russian television. The so called analyst has ties to Saudi Arabian intelligence agencies, moves in the highest circles of the House of Saud and the government. So, he is not some fruitcake, spewing nonsense for the entertainment of fools. He is a senior level Saudi who gives plausible deniability if needed. He also gives a level of credibility that I find interesting. We have this man who, in the course of an interview, calmly states that Saudi Arabia has had two nuclear weapons for the last two years. He is telling, again this is Russian television, about this in the context of Putin making direct threats to use tactical nukes against any advancing Turkish forces. He makes this statement, or warning, in a calm, sober minded way. He does not go North Korea on us. He does not start foaming at the mouth, howling at the top of his lungs about “Lakes of Fire,” or any other theatrical manure North Korea likes to throw out.

 

What we have here, in my opinion, is the House of Saud telling Russia to back off. The House of Saud is telling Putin that any use of nuclear weapons against its Turkish ally will result in the use of nuclear weapons, at least two, by Saudi Arabia. Further, the House of Saud did this in such a way that they can, if Putin openly responded to the Saudi threat, by shrugging their shoulders and saying, “Oh, yes that guy. You see he escaped from the mental institution, so thanks for hunting him down for us.” The fact they have not done that, or even responded to what I would think, especially if it wasn’t true, with a press release carried all over the world. Saudi Arabia hasn’t done that at all. I went to their Embassy home web page and found nothing about any nukes. I did find a statement, dated the 12th, where a senior level Saudi General said that sending ground troops into Syria was “irreversible.” In the context of that statement from 10 days ago, you can see how casually throwing out you have nukes fits the plan.

 

I see absolutely no reason at all to think this Saudi gentleman doesn’t know what he is talking about, or more importantly, been given clearance to make these kind of public states on such a sensitive issue. Let me be blunt here: the idea a Saudi citizen would wake up, go to an interview and then casually say that Saudi Arabia has nukes, and then make a direct threat to both Russia and Iran. Um, Saudi Arabia has the death penalty. Saudi Arabia recently displayed the corpse, openly displayed, of one of the people they executed. So, this tells me there is no way this guy did this without clearance from the highest levels of both the House of Saud and the Saudi Arabian government. The fact he hasn’t been arrested, with news cameras rolling, followed by a very fast trial, with an even faster public execution, tells me my instincts are correct.

 

SAUDI ARABIA HAS TWO NUKES THAT IT BOUGHT FROM PAKISTAN. SAUDI ARABIAN MONEY, PLUS PAKISTAN’S NUCLEAR EXPERTISE, PLUS NORTH KOREAN MISSILE TECHNOLOGY NOW EQUALS TWO NUKES ON COMBAT LAUNCH STATUS IN SAUDI ARABIA.

 

You may believe that if you want, or deny it if you want to. You may think I need to up my psych meds, or even decrease the dosage. One thing you do not get to is ignore the very plain, very clear, and very blunt message from the House of Saud that they not only have nuclear weapons, but they intend to use them against either Iran or Russia if they have to. Obviously, the implications for Israel are even more profound.

SYRIAN CEASE FIRE IS FLAWED 2-22-2016

In the few minutes since I made this post, an event of so stunning a nature, and so profound an implication for the entire Middle East has been made. I have no idea who this gentleman is, nor do I “know” if the information is accurate. I will only say that if this is true, and if Saudi Arabia really does have two nuclear weapons, then the game has changed in the Middle East.

The link is here, although I can’t guarantee it will work.

 

 

The cease fire announced by Russia and the US is a prime example of looking like you are doing something, without actually doing anything. Given the on the ground reality in Syria today, I am less than enthused about the benefits of this diplomatic effort.

I greet all the international readers of this blog. I do keep track of the daily views, along with the map display showing where viewers come from. Some of the nations, besides the USA and Canada, include Brazil, the United Kingdom, Malaysia, and Saudi Arabia. Of course, those may be government officials keeping track of particularly insolent infidels! At any rate, I am pleased to see this blog is starting to develop an international flavor.

 

 

Sigh, this so called “cease fire,” leaves out both ISIS and the several more militant Al Qaida groups. Further, I find it hard to believe the Syrians, the Kurds and the Russians are not going to recover the now cut off supply route to Aleppo. It is also unlikely the Kurds will give up a single foot the border area they now control. It is also likely they will use the remaining 4 to 5 days to further secure the pocket containing the rebels. And finally, it assumes Turkey will stop shelling the advancing Kurds and Syrian Army unit as they continue to advance towards the Turkish Syrian border. Other than that, I see no problems with it. <G> On the other hand, it will allow the Kurds, Syria and Russian to claim victory. It will further isolate Erdogan and Turkey. He will be faced with a choice between total acceptance of a Kurdish state on his border with both Iraq and Syria. He will be faced with a military victory that leaves him unable to do much about it, except either continues artillery shelling, launch air strikes inside of Syria, or invade with masses of armor and mechanized infantry. It will also give Russia all the excuse it needs to begin bombing or shelling the Turkish artillery parks. I am still thinking Erdogan is not going to accept any of that. The assumption he will not invade without NATO support is not one I am prepared to make. It will also be a matter of the Kurds now in Syria and Iraq providing logistical support for the nearly one quarter of the total Turkish population, i.e. the Kurds now living in South east Turkey. IN FACT ALL THIS CEASE FIRE MAY REALLY DO IS SHIFT THE WAR FROM INSIDE OF SYRIA TO INSIDE OF TURKEY. At which point. NATO again comes into play as Turkey will be facing internal subversion, aided and abetted by both Russia and the Kurds.

 

 

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TURKEY’S ERDOGAN MEETS THE RUSSIAN BEAR 2-21-2016

I am more or less satisfied with the look of my blog now. I may change the color again to highlight the comment, tag and category section.

 

I have come to think Turkey’s Prime Minister Erdogan is a crafty fox who has now stumbled upon the Russian bear. If Turkey really does invade Syria, Turkey will endure the fate of the trapper who tangled with a Mama Grizzly bear in the movie called, “The Revenant.” I did a review of that movie several essays ago in case anybody is interested.

I have also found a Kurdish news site that is giving an account of what is now going on in Syria and Iraq from a Kurdish viewpoint. Of course, it is slanted, but the trick is to filter out the slant and find the gold nuggets in the pan. The news they are reporting is grim to put it bluntly. First, Turkey is continuing its unrestricted 155 mm artillery fire into Kurdish positions in Syria. As I noted earlier, Assad junior, who I have come to be impressed by, outflanked Turkey by including the Kurdish forces, now cruising towards the Turkish border, directly into the Syrian Army. The level of political moxy, ruthless cunning, and shrewd diplomatic instincts displayed here is brilliant. Turkey is now shelling Syrian Army units, and not just Kurdish ones. This takes things to the next level, and gives Assad and Putin justification for counter battery artillery fire. They can turn Turkish artillery pieces into burnt metal using a self-defense explanation. Of course, the Kurds are now saying they aren’t a part of the Syrian Army, but who cares at this point?

The links are here. http://rudaw.net/english

Further, Saudi Arabia is now engaged in the kind of very dangerous game playing that has often led to war. It is unclear, and since I am not an Arabic scholar I don’t know, whether Saudi Arabia actually has deployed man pads to the so called “moderate Rebels now fighting Assad,” or whether they are asking for permission to do so from the USA and NATO. One thing I can guarantee you is this. If the Syrian rebels begin to directly engage the Russian Air Force, and especially if they really do shoot down a Russian plane, well they will find out why it is not a good idea to piss of Mr. Putin. The jury is still out on any man pad, shoulder fired anti- aircraft missiles, really being in the hands of the rebels. Like almost everything now going on in both Syria and Iraq, we will know after the fact.

It is also becoming quite clear the general military advance to close the final pocket held by the anti-Assad Rebels in entering the final phase. Turkey will shortly be faced with the total control of its entire Syrian and Iraqi border by, depending on who you ask, either Kurdish forces, or Kurdish forces that are now officially part of the Syrian Army. Erdogan will only have the option to invade Syria, or sit back and enjoy the total ruin of everything both Turkey and Saudi Arabia have tried to gain in Syria for the last several years. My view is people expecting Erdogan to act in a rational, sober minded way don’t quite get the man. Erdogan is rolling the dice, and has shown precious little give, in dealing with Russia, or Assad, or NATO, or even our increasingly feckless Obama. I can also assure you that both our friends and especially our enemies have noted Obama and Kerry are totally out of their depth here. Kerry and Obama are like a Pacific Salmon that a Grizzly bear has just pulled out of a stream. They haven’t quite got their heads ripped off, but you know it is coming.

In other news, the Clinton crime cabal has managed to steal the nomination from the totally naïve Bernie Sanders. It really is like stealing candy from a baby. Hellary Clinton is surely a foul example of a human being by any standard you want to use. The only hope for America now is that scheming, arrogant, manipulative Witch suffers career ending damage from her concussion. Trump, well the man is stomping the RINO, Republican in name only crowd with gleeful abandon. The more “they” attack him; the stronger he gets. I think Trump will not only get the Republican nomination, but he will be the next President of the United States. The entertainment value of watching the liberals and RINO types foam at the mouth, wail, gnash their teeth and bang their heads on the wall has been a high point of my life these last few weeks. It just doesn’t get any better for me than watching the corrupt American oligarchs whining like a two year being told he can’t pull the tail of a German Shepard.

 

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THE SIXTEEN HELICOPTER DEAL 2-20-2016

Obviously, I have changed the look of my wordpress blog here. It is a new theme called Editor that reflects my desire for a newspaper look. The title Doomer Doug is a little too big to fit, so I am working on that. I have also decided to type up my blog posts using Microsoft Word. I will then copy them to the blog and post them that way. This allows me to choose the right font: Times New Roman size 14, as well as spell check. Anyway, just a quick note to keep you up to date on blog changes. Now some of you may wonder why I am  saying a political fix may have been reached in Syria. The answer is simple: “they” really are quite terrified about a nuclear exchange between Turkey and Russia. They are so afraid of that “they” are willing to beat Turkey and Saudi Arabia into mush to avoid that. We shall see if Turkey is so out of control the plan “they”have come up with fails. We will know by the Ides of March one way or the other.

 

The deal is being made as I write this. I wonder if it will work. If it does not, we will see Yom Kippur Two. If it does we will buy some more time. The deal, such as it is, will be as follows. In return for Turkey and Saudi Arabia accepting a Kurdish State covering the entire Turkish border with both Syria and Iraq, Russia won’t destroy them. That is the deal Putin is offering in a sort of reverse Cuban Missile Crisis deal, along with a heavy dose of cynical humor.

Why you ask would Turkey or Saudi Arabia possibly take such a deal? First, I am not sure they will. I am only sure that is what is now being offered by Russia and her allies. Over at timebomb.2000 one of the posters commented that he works close enough to Tyson Corners to see the inbound helicopters. He said that he saw 16 helicopters Friday. I wondered what the implications of what I called a “16 helicopter day,” would be. I think I know the answer to that now.

Syria has just announced that the Kurdish military forces are now part of the Syrian Army. This is a huge dot, because it means the Kurds are no longer acting as some sort of Kurdish Army in Syria. This single statement makes the idea of a Kurdish State all along the Turkish border with both Syria and Iraq acceptable. The reason it will be acceptable is it will be part of a Syrian Federation. This Syrian Federation will be acceptable to Russia, the Kurds, Iran and Iraq. It will be acceptable to NATO, the EU, and the USA since it will prevent open warfare between Turkey, a NATO member, and Russia which is a superpower.

I think this is the political deal that will be announced over the next few days/weeks. I do not think either Turkey or Saudi Arabia will like it at all. The only issue is whether they can be beaten senseless and forced to accept it. I submit this deal is what the so called “best and brightest” have come up with. I don’t guarantee it will be accepted by Turkey, much less work. Nor do I guarantee we won’t have a regional war by March 15th. I do think “they” are in hysterics, seriously concerned about a nuclear exchange between Turkey and Russia.

It is clearly a sign of the mental and moral weakness of the West that this is the best they can do. Still, the way “they” think is as long as it doesn’t happen on my watch then I don’t care.

We may have dodged the bullet on this Syrian situation, assuming Turkey and Saudi Arabia can be beaten into submission and accept this. I am also thinking the level of mental anguish, fear, rage and the desire for revenge may be so great that the grand deal mentioned above will crash and burn. I mean that in the literal sense by the way.

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