I watched this video where the poor, uber liberal egghead nearly choked when his own methodology, going back to the 1984 election, and using political data that goes back to 1860 election, had to admit that Trump will win. His basic theory is there are 13 factors and if one politician, or party, gets six or seven of them they will win. The egghead shows Trump with six. Well, Doomer Doug took a look at his 13 and comes up with a minimum of ten for Trump.

The link is here. Unfortunately, the Washington Post makes you wade through a pile of bs, but here is the link to the article below.

I will point out that the good professor thinks Trump will win because he has the following keys favor him because the statement is false.  They are numbers 1, 3, 7, 11 and 12. The professor then adds another one for six; namely, number four when Libertarian Johnson gets over five percent of the vote.

I have to say this professor is totally dishonest in his assessment of the political situation. He has this procedure, which has worked perfectly since 1984 and he disses it because he hates Trump so much. He finally, after much whining, moaning and head banging that Trump meets the six criteria, but then he rants and raves that Trump may lose anyway. Sheesh.

Here is the DOOMER DOUG ANALYSIS OF THE 13 KEYS. I will give the anti-Trump professor his five keys, since they are correct. However, I call BS on that number. I will add number two, contest. Does the professor seriously think there was no contest between Hellary the BITCH and Bernie Sanders for the Democratic nomination? Seriously, even after the emails were hacked showing how Bernie was screwed? Sheesh, I will add that one to give us SEVEN.

Next, I will add both five and six, the short and long term economic keys. The professor must not get out much from his Ivory Tower to think the economy is in good shape. The economy STINKS AND EVERYBODY KNOWS IT DOES. So, I will add two more to Trump and the total is now NINE.

We move on to numbers  8, 9, 10 ; namely, no sustained civil unrest and no scandal in the Obama administration, no foreign or military failures by the Obama administration. Gee, this guy is serious in saying that 8, 9, and 10 are true. We are clearly suffering from sustained civil unrest in the USA the last six months. Did the good professor look at his tv set today? You know, the one with the pictures of mass rioting in North Carolina. He thinks there is no scandal in the Obama administration, or with the Clinton campaign, which he doesn’t seem to understand is LINKED TOGETHER IN THE POPULAR ATTITUDE. Well, that gives us a total of TWELVE OUT OF THE THIRTEEN FAVORING TRUMP. The final one is 13, in which the professor says Trump isn’t “charismatic.” I mean really? This guy with his survey seriously can sit there on the video and say Trump isn’t “charismatic.” I get the Marxist eggheads, which is what this guy really is, don’t get it. Still, the level of blatant lies in his analysis of his own technique. If the guy had ANY SHRED OF INTELLECTUAL HONESTY HE WOULD ADMIT THAT TRUMP ADDS AN ADDITIONAL SEVEN, REPEAT SEVEN TO THE BASE LEVEL OF SIX. TRUMP GETS ALL 13 OF THEM. THIS INCLUDES NUMBER 7 WHICH HE SAYS OBAMA HASN’T INTRODUCED ANY NEW POLICIES HIS SECOND TERM. Again, seriously, now that Obama has spent the last three months running around issuing executive orders like Caligula or Nero? Obama has been changing policy like an insane man his second term in so many areas I can’t list them all. 

Nobody knows for certain who will win on Nov. 8 — but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984.

When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman’s prediction isn’t based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the “Keys to the White House” to determine his predicted winner.

And this year, he says, Donald Trump is the favorite to win.

The keys, which are explained in depth in Lichtman’s book “Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016” are:

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6.Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

Lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at American University, sat down with The Fix this week to reveal who he thinks will win in November and why 2016 was the most difficult election to predict yet. Our conversation has been lightly edited for length and clarity.

THE FIX: Can you tell me about the keys, and how you use them to evaluate the election from the point where — I assume it’s very murky a year or two out, and they start to crystallize over the course of the election.

LICHTMAN: “The Keys to the White House” is a historically based prediction system. I derived the system by looking at every American presidential election from 1860 to 1980, and have since used the system to correctly predict the outcomes of all eight American presidential elections from 1984 to 2012.

The keys are 13 true/false questions, where an answer of “true” always favors the reelection of the party holding the White House, in this case the Democrats. And the keys are phrased to reflect the basic theory that elections are primarily judgments on the performance of the party holding the White House. And if six or more of the 13 keys are false — that is, they go against the party in power — they lose. If fewer than six are false, the party in power gets four more years.

So people who hear just the surface-level argument there might say, well, President Obama has a 58 percent approval rating, doesn’t that mean the Democrats are a shoo-in? Why is that wrong?

It absolutely does not mean the Democrats are a shoo-in. First of all, one of my keys is whether or not the sitting president is running for reelection, and right away, they are down that key. Another one of my keys is whether or not the candidate of the White House party is, like Obama was in 2008, charismatic. Hillary Clinton doesn’t fit the bill.

The keys have nothing to do with presidential approval polls or horse-race polls, with one exception, and that is to assess the possibility of a significant third-party campaign.

What about Donald Trump on the other side? He’s not affiliated with the sitting party, but has his campaign been an enigma in terms of your ability to assess this election?

Donald Trump has made this the most difficult election to assess since 1984. We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well break patterns of history that have held since 1860.

We’ve never before seen a candidate who’s spent his life enriching himself at the expense of others. He’s the first candidate in our history to be a serial fabricator, making up things as he goes along. Even when he tells the truth, such as, “Barack Obama really was born in the U.S.,” he adds two lines, that Hillary Clinton started the birther movement, and that he finished it, even though when Barack Obama put out his birth certificate, he didn’t believe it. We’ve never had a candidate before who not just once, but twice in a thinly disguised way, has incited violence against an opponent. We’ve never had a candidate before who’s invited a hostile foreign power to meddle in American elections. We’ve never had a candidate before who’s threatened to start a war by blowing ships out of the water in the Persian Gulf if they come too close to us. We’ve never had a candidate before who has embraced as a role model a murderous, hostile foreign dictator. Given all of these exceptions that Donald Trump represents, he may well shatter patterns of history that have held for more than 150 years, lose this election even if the historical circumstances favor it.

We’re a little bit less than seven weeks out from the election today. Who do you predict will win in November?

Based on the 13 keys, it would predict a Donald Trump victory. Remember, six keys and you’re out, and right now the Democrats are out — for sure — five keys.

Key 1 is the party mandate — how well they did in the midterms. They got crushed.

Key number 3 is, the sitting president is not running.

Key number 7, no major policy change in Obama’s second term like the Affordable Care Act.

Key number 11, no major smashing foreign policy success.

And Key number 12, Hillary Clinton is not a Franklin Roosevelt.

One more key and the Democrats are down, and we have the Gary Johnson Key. One of my keys would be that the party in power gets a “false” if a third-party candidate is anticipated to get 5 percent of the vote or more. In his highest polling, Gary Johnson is at about 12 to 14 percent. My rule is that you cut it in half. That would mean that he gets six to seven, and that would be the sixth and final key against the Democrats.

So very, very narrowly, the keys point to a Trump victory. But I would say, more to the point, they point to a generic Republican victory, because I believe that given the unprecedented nature of the Trump candidacy and Trump himself, he could defy all odds and lose even though the verdict of history is in his favor. So this would also suggest, you know, the possibility this election could go either way. Nobody should be complacent, no matter who you’re for, you gotta get out and vote.

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Keeping up with politics is easy now.

Do you think the fact that Trump is not a traditional Republican — certainly not an establishment Republican, from a rhetorical or policy perspective — contributes to that uncertainty over where he fits in with the standard methodology for evaluating the Keys?

I think the fact that he’s a bit of a maverick, and nobody knows where he stands on policy, because he’s constantly shifting. I defy anyone to say what his immigration policy is, what his policy is on banning Muslims, or whoever, from entering the United States, that’s certainly a factor. But it’s more his history in Trump University, the Trump Institute, his bankruptcies, the charitable foundation, of enriching himself at the expense of others, and all of the lies and dangerous things he’s said in this campaign, that could make him a precedent-shattering candidate.

It’s interesting, I don’t use the polls, as I’ve just explained, but the polls have very recently tightened. Clinton is less ahead than she was before, but it’s not because Trump is rising, it’s because Clinton is falling. He’s still around 39 percent in the polls. You can’t win if you can’t crack 40 percent.

As people realize the choice is not Gary Johnson, the only choice is between Trump and Clinton, those Gary Johnson supporters may move away from Johnson and toward Clinton, particularly those millennials. And, you know, I’ve seen this movie before. My first vote was in 1968, when I was the equivalent of a millennial, and lots of my friends, very liberal, wouldn’t vote for Hubert Humphrey because he was part of the Democratic establishment, and guess what? They elected Richard Nixon.

And, of course, as I have said for over 30 years, predictions are not endorsements. My prediction is based off a scientific system. It does not necessarily represent, in any way, shape or form, an Allan Lichtman or American University endorsement of any candidate. And of course, as a successful forecaster, I’ve predicted in almost equal measure both Republican and Democratic victories.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is It is also at the following url


Seriously, I think the usual “we have different philosophies” is just not doing it anymore. After watching the DNC, I have to tell you I have nothing in common with these people. We do not share the same cultural values, the same spiritual, economic, political values. It is a fact that the divisions are now so deep it is not possible for us to live together in the same physical space. Ergo, we will separate. The only issue is how much violence will be involved in that separation.

If I had the time, I would do a side by side comparison of the Hellary convention versus the Trump on. If I did that, you would see in sequential order just how deeply radical the DNC now is. Trump has the mothers of the Benghazi dead. Hellary has the mothers of the punks shot by police. The list goes on and on and on. Trump has American flags onstage, the DNC has none.

They are the enemy. They are not like us. They do not respect us. They fear, hate and loathe us. They have been committing cultural genocide on us for decades now.

They are all against us on so many levels. I have had enough. After watching these ignorant fools there is no possibility of national unity. NONE.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is It is also at the following url


    I have long said that the debt levels, consumer, corporate and government are not sustainable. We will eventually have a debt based economic collapse of near total destruction. I have also said the trigger event, the rock that falls and starts the avalanche, will be when foreigners begin to sell off toxic US debt. This is now what is starting to happen in 2016. 

The link below tells the story.

It is a fact that both China and Japan hold over one trillion dollars each in US Treasury debt. It is a fact that foreign holders of US debt have decided to begin reducing their exposure. The result of that will eventually mean the US Treasury will be unable to sell new debt. Once that happens the economic collapse will begin in earnest. The Federal Reserve, the private banking cartel that has reduced Americans to slaves, will be forced to buy up newly issued debt, much as a dog eats its own vomit to keep the game going.

The other thing the article mentioned was the amount of debt sold in April, some $78 billion in one month, was the highest amount since 1978. The Federal Reserve is now impaled on zero interest rate policy. Trump is correct in his belief we are going to see a massive economic disruption in 2016.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is It is also at the following url


Look, it is certainly possible for Trump to be the 2016 version of 1992’s Ross Perot. Considering “they” originally planned for the “election” to be between Jeb Bush of the Bush crime family, against Hellary, of the Clinton crime family, Trump was a wild card. Granted, he may be a fall back position to make sure Hellary gets in. However, Trump is so far off the rail that I can’t see how “they” still control things. Whatever “they” intended, we now have a documented, populist uprising that is far beyond anything Trump, or “they” intended.

Yep, it is now clear we are seeing a global populist based backlash. Everything from the Panama Papers, the bad economy and the total chaos now unleashed.

WHATEVER PLANS “THEY” HAD ARE NOW FULLY DERAILED. I don’t discount the potential for Trump to sell us out. However, “they” do not understand it is NOW BEYOND TRUMP’S CONTROL AT THIS POINT. We are in pre-collapse phase, or pre-revolutionary phase. The toothpaste is out of the tube: it will not be put back.

“They” have lost control.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is It is also at the following url


We are now living in a time of revelation and judgment. I am not sure if the system can be saved at this point in American history. The corruption is too deep, ingrained and much more toxic than it has ever been in American history. The entire global political, economic and cultural system is full of rot and decay. The leadership is venal, dishonest, and amoral and doesn’t even bother to hide this anymore.

We saw the first pulling back of the curtain with the documents released by Edward Snowden a few years ago. He showed the reality of the corporate American dictatorship. He showed us the merger of the government and the corporations which is called fascism. He showed us the NSA to be evil tyrants dedicated to the national security state with freedom for none, and money and power for the elite. Snowden was called a traitor and a spy for doing this. He is a hero in my book. He has struck a blow to restore freedom in this fascist police state we now call the USA. The revelations of Snowden show the US Federal government routinely ignores any restrictions on illegal search and seizure. The NSA illegally monitors all citizen communications under the guise of protecting us. They use the Patriot Act like a hammer to document any activity they judge as dissident.

As bad as the NSA is, it is the offshore banking accounts that fund the fascist beast. It is from these secret bank accounts that the elite funds its treason, and imposes its will on the sheeple. The hack of the Panama law firm used to set up hundreds of thousands of these off shore accounts, is a bright light of freedom glaring down on the cockroaches we call our global elite. The hack of 11.5 million files shows a systematic, well planned, well executed and funded system for imposing global fascism. The thousands of individual elite members now revealed merely confirm what I have long suspected. The elite think they are beyond our laws. The elite think they are better than the rest of us. The elite think they should rule the people they view as objects to be exploited.

I can understand the terror surging through elite circles now that their corrupt system has been revealed. The first results are already starting.

The link here shows the people in Iceland want their corrupt Prime Minister out of office. He had a bank account set up by this Panama Bank used to hide funds. It is called tax evasion. It is called tax fraud. It is like the vicious lady, one Leona Helmsley, proclaimed back in the 1980’s: “taxes are for the little people.”

Thousands of people are gathering in Reykjavik’s Austurvöllur square in front of the parliament building to vent their anger over the previously discussed revelations involving Prime Minister Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson and the Panama Papers. As a reminder, various local politicians have already asked for his resignation which he has refused to grant. Additionally, as Iceland Monitor writes, the PM’s words in an interview today that “It’s not like everyone is going to attend the protest,” seems to have sparked further fury.

Many shops and restaurants have put up signs that they will be closed for the duration of the protest.

Police chief at the Reykjavik Metropolitan Police, Ásgeir Þór Ásgeirsson expects large crowds and says that the preparations are ” standard”. “We hope that the public will cooperate with us and show enough respect towards the police as not to throw things at us or to somehow make us the target of the protest.”


ISIS IS COMING 3-23-2016

Simply put, we are now at war with ISIS all over the world. The fact our PC based leadership fails to accept this reality only means the carnage will be at the level needed to shatter the Western Democratic nations. This tidal wave of terror attacks will also lead to a populist based, nationalism focused political response in both the USA and Europe. It will empower the so called “far right” political parties. It will mean all the “hate speech,” now roundly condemned will become acceptable. It will mean the follow on governments will not be hampered by the idiocy of the current crop of PC based leaders and ideology. It will mean ISIS will trigger the kind of response it can’t live through. It will also mean the secular, non fanatic Muslims will be faced with a stark choice. They will either align with the “Infidels,” to crush both ISIS and Al Qaida, or they will be deported. The reality will be Muslims will no longer be tolerated. They will be guilty until proven innocent of Militant Islamic ideology and tactics. If Muslims now living in the west refuse to do that, or think they will not be seen as a threat, then they are hopelessly naïve. I will tell any Muslim reading this blog one thing. The people have had enough of this reign of terror. They will elect parties and leaders who will deal with Militant Islam. They will ignore the whining of the liberals. They will do the kinds of things that are needed to crush Militant Islam. Islam will either accept the new reality, or they will be confined to their nations. Obviously, the kind of fascist state regime needed to do that is something I don’t want to live under. However, ISIS and Al Qaida are going to get the “clash of civilizations” they so desire. Unfortunately for them, and Islam in general, the result will not be a new Caliphate. It will be the permanent exile of Muslims, as well as a new reality. Since Militant Islam is killing us, we will kill them. Any Muslim who we can’t be sure of will be seen as a threat. It is a hard truth. It is a brutal truth. It will be done. The current governments that tolerate, under a mantra of PC idiocy, the murder of their citizens will be voted out of office, replaced with harder leaders, using harder techniques, and with much harder values. This is the way things will be from now on.

ISIS Sends 400 Specially Trained Fighters To Unleash “Wave Of Bloodshed” In Europe

Tyler Durden's picture

Earlier today, we brought you the official statement in which ISIS claims responsibility for the attacks that left 34 people dead in Brussels on Tuesday. The group promises “black days for all crusader nations” and an attack “more devastating and bitter” than those that have come before (“Allah permitting,” of course).

Paris fugitive Salah Abdeslam has been variously characterized as the “ringleader” of the cell that was behind this week’s attack on Brussels. That’s probably because he’s now a household name in Europe and officials want the public to think a kind of field general has been captured. In reality, Abdeslam aborted his martyrdom mission in Paris and got himself arrested instead of dying for the “cause.” That’s not exactly behavior consistent with that seen in confirmed commanders like Abdelhamid Abaaoud and Omar al-Shishani. Rather, it would appear that Abdeslam effectively inherited Abaaoud’s cell upon returning to Belgium after backing out of the Paris attacks. ISIS likely saw some utility in keeping him around and Tuesday’s bombings suggest retaining him as a kind of organizer was a prudent decision. Or perhaps he was never meant to die in Paris. Who knows.

(Abaaoud – left – and friends, in “better” times)

Whatever the case, the important takeaway from Tuesday would appear to be that Abaaoud’s cell continued to operate and expand five months after his death and indeed, the group appears to have been using at least one of the very same bomb makers, Najim Laachraoui (who, incidentally, authorities now claim died in the Brussels airport).

(From left: Abaaoud, Abdeslam, Laachraoui)

Here’s what we said just this morning:

The thinking now is that ISIS cells have been given a certain amount of autonomy from central command in Raqqa and Mosul because, well, because there’s really no telling if there even is a central command at this juncture. One gets the impression that al-Hayat Media Center just kind of waits to see what happens and then if there’s a “successful” attack (Allahu akbar), then the propaganda arm simply claims it after the fact.

That dynamic in many ways makes the group more unpredictable, as semi-autonomous cells do not need al-Baghdadi’s approval before carrying out attacks.

In reality it’s probably not a more spectacular attack that Belgians should fear, but rather a series of “small” attacks like what unfolded Tuesday, perpetrated by a collection of individuals who do not need to appeal to a central authority and thus are free to hit soft targets spontaneously

So if you were looking for analysis on the state of the group’s thinking and their operational capacity as it relates to attacks in Western Europe, you could have simply read the above or, you could have consulted with European and Iraqi intelligence officials and a French lawmaker, who together – and presumably after countless hours of hand wringing over chatter gathered from surveilling jihadist chatter – came to exactly the same conclusion. Here’s AP:

Security officials have told The Associated Press that the Islamic State group has trained at least 400 attackers and sent them into Europe for terror attacks.

The network of interlocking, agile and semiautonomous cells shows the reach of the extremist group in Europe even as it loses ground in Syria.

The officials, including European and Iraqi intelligence officials and a French lawmaker who follows the jihadi networks, describe camps designed specifically to train for attacks against the West.

The officials say the fighters have been given orders to find the right time, place and method to carry out their mission.

Right. So exactly what we said this morning and precisely the conclusion that anyone who closely monitors the evolution of Sunni terror networks would have come to some 12 months ago after a police raid in Verviers proved beyond a shadow of a doubt that what happened at the Jewish Museum of Belgium in May of 2014 was no isolated event.

In any event, since AP has reported it, it’s now officially true we suppose, which means there are 400 well-trained Islamic State fighters embedded throughout Europe and organized into semi-autonomous cells (let’s call them proto-caliphates) just waiting for the “right” time and place to strike.

For any “intelligence” officials who may read this we would only add one thing: there are probably a whole lot more than 400…

Here is the Url of some of the many essays I wrote over at gold-eagle from 1998 to 2007.
My e book “Day of the Dogs” is now on SmashWords. The Url is here

The Url of my Amazon Kindle e books is here for the USA

The Url for my e books at amazon United Kingdom is here.

The e books are Day of the Dogs, Strike Destroyer, and Ezekiel’s Islamic Confederacy.

I also have a donation account at go fund me.

The link is here.



In a sea of chaos, another flare gun has now gone off indicating we are in the end of an era. Abe Vigoda, the genius character of Fish on the 1970’s era sitcom called “Barney Miller,” has died. Well, I was in the US Army during 1974 etc. so I never did see the shows on American television. I did watch them recently on DVD and was astounded at the level of quality writing, the brilliant acting, as well as the way the sitcom pretty much captured the mindset of the mid to late 1970’s. Abe Vigoda also had a short lived television show after Barney Miller. RIP, Fish. The link is here.…ad-94-36528884

In the “Hellary can’t get no respect,” category we have what I am now calling the pile on factor. Piling on is a football term where, even though the ball carrier has been tackled, everybody jumps on him anyway. Hellary, as evil, whining, scheming, manipulative, female dog as ever existed in American politics, is now getting piled on by pretty much everybody at this point.

Hellary has a coughing fit, which has nothing to do with any serious health issues at all. Still, she is in play, much the way somebody bleeding into the sea is, so the sharks are closing in. Her coughing fit unleashes a tidal wave of health speculation. The reason is the starter flag has been dropped and everybody can now speculate on her health. The link is here. Read more at…U6v2qbLhAD3.99

Hellary is also being smothered under a layer of “will she, or won’t she be indicted over the email by the FBI,” speculations. In fact, as we head into the final days before the Iowa primaries, Hillary Rodham Clinton is now TOXIC at all level of politics. Her basic health level for even being President is being called into serious question. She is under threat of being indicted as a traitor leaking sensitive information. Finally, she has all the baggage going back over 25 years to 1992 from the first two terms of Bill Clinton. I think the conventional wisdom that she will emerge as the Democratic Party Presidential nomination is simply wrong now. Granted, in both the case of Jeb Bush and Hillary Rodham Clinton, the process was expected by “them” to be more of a divine anointing than an actual election. Still, I am saying she is gone, even if she “wins” in Iowa. Mr. Sanders is the one firing the base up, not Hellary. Mr. Sanders is the one with the passion, not Hellary.

We also have the usual acts of brutality and rape in Europe by the Muslim hordes. This time they took over the main Stockholm, that is in the refugee haven of Sweden, train station and behaved, well they behaved like the animals many Muslims really are. If you take a look at what is really going on in Europe, as well as the response by the people of Europe, versus their globalist leadership, it is clear the several comments by the military leaders are not hot air. In particular, the comments about Merkel “fleeing to South America,” or the comments by Sweden’s military leader, indicate things are moving in Europe at the popular and military level very fast indeed. The link is here. 4 Sweden’s Army Chief Warns Of WORLD WAR 3 Inside Europe ‘Within a Few Years’

And finally, here is a link to the real explanation of why the system is so corrupt, the politicians so venal, and the government so incompetent at all levels. THE USA IS NOW A FULLY FUNCTIONAL OLIGARCHY AT ALL LEVELS OF SOCIETY. The link is here to show how the banks really do run everything, the politicians et al really have been bought off at all levels.

How 37 Banks Became 4 In Just 2 Decades, All In One Astonishing Chart…nishing-chart/

I have my apocalyptic e book for sale on Amazon Kindle. The url is
Thanks for your support.


What Doomer Doug has feared would happen in Japan has now started. The Nikkei has dropped 5.51 percent and 733 points in the morning session. It was down nearly 6 percent and 800 points a few minutes ago. The Yen is now in free fall and underneath the 95 level. Again, this is a six point drop since June 7th. The pressure on Japan’s banks, and the global export market now resembles a depth charge going off next to the hull of a World War Two Gato class submarine. We are not quite at the stage where the hull is crushed, yet!

The definition of insanity is doing the same thing twice and expecting a different result. The idea the Bank of Japan can flood the markets with masses of fiat money and get a different result than what is going on now is insane. Some people were mislead by the market rally the other day. This “rally” was based on the belief the money gravy train would continue. It will not. The fiat money gravy train is derailed. The crash process is like the beginning of the movie “The Fugitive.” Now THAT was a train crash!

Will the Nikkei stay down 800 points today? Doomer Doug has no idea. Will Japan’s pump monkeys come to the rescue? Doomer Doug has no idea. The basic reality here is Japan is now beyond the scope of rational economic decisions and results. The central bankers, on a global basis, HAVE NO IDEA OF WHAT THEY ARE DOING! Of course, they haven’t had any idea since the Federal Reserve was created back in 1913. This ingrained stupidity is nothing new. What is new is the level of global economic chaos, as well as the likely result of this chaos.

Again, things are not going to get better in Japan. They will continue to lurch along until the excess is purged out of the markets. This global stock market excess will reflect what happened during the Great Depression. The stock markets lost 90 percent of their total 1929 value over a two decade period. Japan has lost 27,500 points since December 1989. This is a stunning decline of very close to 70 percent of value. The media shills with their bought and paid for advice on buying the dips are shown to be frauds. Assuming anybody in Japan bought the Nikkei 225 at 15,500 they would have lost 3000 points and nearly 20 percent of the value. This is in a time frame measured in days and not decades.

A Nikkei that has lost 90 percent of its value since 1989 will be in the 4000 point range. This means the Nikkei has another 8000 points to go from today. Some of you may think this is a fantasy valuation. It is not. It is the HISTORICAL NORM BASED ON THE ACTUAL BEHAVIOR OF THE GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS IN THE GREAT DEPRESSION. Those of you who say it can’t happen need to understand that it already happened once before.

The implications of all global stock markets losing 90 percent of their value from peak highs is too appalling for Doomer Doug to consider.

Lock and Load, gang. Today is the real beginning. Do not be mislead by daily pump monkey gyrations. The url is here.

By the way, in the time it took Doomer Doug to write this blog post the Nikkei has crashed through the 800 point and 6 percent level. The pump monkeys then flooded it with BOJ cash and now have it at 686 points down and 5.17 percent down. You can see right at 11 am Japan time where the BOJ money spigot opened. It will do them no good long term. You can never reinforce failure. You can never turn market sentiment. You can certainly pour enough money in to buy the powers that be some time. This is all they are doing.


The close on the Nikkei was 519 points down. The close was 3.83 percent down. The close was 13, 015. Where shall Doomer Doug start? From December of 2012 to early May 2013, the Nikkei went from 9000 to nearly 16,000 points. This was solely based on the Bank of Japan pouring money into the economy. In the last week the Nikkei has gone from 15,600 or so, to 13,000. This is a loss of nearly 2600 points. 2600 points is getting within shooting range of a 20 percent drop. The official 20 percent drop would be around 3200 points. This is one or two more days of trading at this point. Gang, a 20 percent drop is the official definition of a MARKET CRASH. 10 percent is a market correction. 20 percent is a market crash. Assuming the Nikkei doesn’t recover, we could be looking at a global stock market crash by Friday.

Japan’s press is reporting, again with a straight face, that today’s afternoon sell off was due to investors not being satisfied with the press conference Mr. Abe held. Oh, that is rich!
Doomer Doug has wondered at what point the US markets would start to notice Japan’s Nikkei has lost nearly 20 percent of its value in the last week.
US stocks fell about one half percent in response to yesterday’s chaos in Japan. Europe actually went up for whatever reason. This mornings futures in the US show no indication anybody has looked at the Nikkei close.
Japan is going to have more bad days. One more 3 percent decline and even the media stock shills will start to notice.
Never underestimate the pump monkeys is something Doomer Doug has learned the hard way over the years. Still, unless Doomer Doug is missing something, there is no upside here.
Keep your eyes peeled. Top up on your preps. Keep your powder dry.


Doomer Doug has to wonder if Japan’s stock investors are starting to suffer brain damage from the Fukushima toxic radiation releases. The Nikkei 225 has lost some 15 percent of its value in the last seven days. The hysterical rally yesterday is a sign of mental illness in my opinion. The news media is telling us, with a straight face mind you, that the rally happened due to investor confidence on further easing by the Bank of Japan. Financial stocks led the upward surge on this more easing fantasy. Exactly why further easing would happen, much less ignite a second wave of stock rallying is ignored.
For the record, the BOJ has fully endorsed of policy of destroying the value of yen. The BOJ is dumping some $85 billion dollars into the economy of Japan daily since January. The US Federal Reserve has followed the exact same policy for the last several years. The result has been a massive increase in debt. The result has been an induced stock market rally.
There is no free lunch. Actions have consequences. The BOJ is now embarked on a policy that will eventually lead to the destruction of Japan’s currency.

Global stock markets currently have no relation with economic reality at this late stage of the game. The powers that be have decided to milk the sheeple down to the last cent. They have been doing this for many years now.

Japan has concluded it needs to do a Federal Reserve style TARP fund direct injection of money into the stock and bond markets. Japan is playing a very dangerous game here.
The time frame for all this has been compressed significantly due to Japan’s wild gyrations in the Nikkei 225. One thing is clear to Doomer Doug. This is not sustainable. The reason it is not sustainable is the global debt is UNPAYABLE. It always has been unpayable. The only thing holding the global economic system up is the denial of this one simple fact.

At any rate, Japan has made a decision that will have global implications in the near future.