First, it looks like the GFS models were way off relating to potential Gulf of Mexico Hurricanes this weekend. I’m glad to be wrong, and have no problem admitting when I am wrong, or quote sources that are wrong. Houston, Texas, enjoy the weekend.
Next, we have the Ebola epidemic in Africa, which is, according to the WHO and CDC had no cases the last three weeks. According to the official data, the number of cases actually went down from 62 to 55. The three patients fled the hospital, went to the prayer meeting, died a few hours later, and, according to the CDC and WHO not one single infection resulted from that exposure. Again, the official total, as of June 10th, is a total of 55 cases, which is almost exactly the same as the month before. The CDC and WHO would have us believe that not a single new Ebola infection has happened since May 21st, despite the three infected Ebola patients running around the city.
Finally, we have this prime example of Doom porn over at Zerohedge. The use of term “Disease X,” is classic. The threat of “three mutations away from a global pandemic,” is also classic, especially when the article quotes a disease expert in the body of the article saying that is nearly impossible. Obviously, something is going on in China related to the bird flu. Obviously, over 600 people have died, and the disease has a kill rate of 40 percent. A flu that has a 40 percent kill rate is lethal indeed, once you factor in a normal flu with a kill rate under ten percent. Viral and bacterial infections want a low kill rate to help them spread. If a virus of bacteria kills nearly everybody who gets infected, it will die out rapidly. At any rate, both the link, and my thoughts about it are below.
EBOLA IN AFRICA AND NEW BIRD FLU IN CHINA 6-15-2018
We are always about one infected person, and one plane ride away from a global pandemic. It looks like the latest version of the bird flu is now loose in China. A flu that has a 40 percent kill rate, is a very dangerous one. The usual kill rate for flu is below ten percent. If this one makes the “three mutations,” the article talks about, then Katy bar the doors.
Disease experts have long feared what is called the “China soup.” The soup being farms, water, ducks/chickens, bird feces, and a billion people or more. When you mix that all up, you end up with bird flu.
the link is here. Now this story is prime doom porn, when you read the fine print. Disease X is a masterstroke of doom porn.
‘DISEASE X’: New Strain Of Bird Flu Kills 40% Of Those Who Contract, 100s Dead In China
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by Tyler Durden
Fri, 06/15/2018 – 20:25
A “new” strain of deadly bird flu dubbed “Disease X” by the World Health Organization (WHO) has killed hundreds of people in China, and is just three mutations away from becoming transmissible between humans, according to experts.
The strain, H7N9, circulates in poultry and has killed 623 people out of 1,625 infected in China – a mortality rate of 38.3%. While first identified in China in 2013, H7N9 has recently emerged as a serious threat seemingly overnight.
rofessor Jonathan Van-Tam, deputy chief medical officer for the UK, told The Telegraph that H7N9 could cause a global outbreak.
“[H7N9] is an example of another virus which has proven its ability to transmit from birds to humans,” said Van-Tam, who added “It’s possible that it could be the cause of the next pandemic.”
The WHO says N7N9 is “an unusually dangerous virus for humans,” and “one of the most lethal influenza viruses that we’ve seen so far”
H7N9 viruses have several features typically associated with human influenza viruses and therefore possess pandemic potential and need to be monitored closely,” said Dr. Yoshihiro Kawaoka of the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
Researchers led by James Paulson of the Scripps Research Institute in California have been studying the mutations which could potentially occur in H7N9’s genome to allow for human-to-human infection.
The team’s findings, published in the journal PLoS Pathogens on Thursday, showed that in laboratory tests, mutations in three amino acids made the virus more able to bind to human cells — suggesting these changes are key to making the virus more dangerous to people. -Japan Times
That said, the mutations would need to occur relatively close to each other to become more virulent, which has a low probability of happening according to Fiona Culley, an expert in respiratory immunology at Imperial College London.
“Some of the individual mutations have been seen naturally … these combinations of mutations have not,” and added: “The chances of all three occurring together is relatively low.”
Wenday Barclay, a virologist and flu specialist also at Imperial College says the study’s findings reinforce the need to keep the H7N9 bird flu under close surveillance.
“These studies keep H7N9 virus high on the list of viruses we should be concerned about,” she said. “The more people infected, the higher the chance that the lethal combination of mutations could occur.”
According to the CDC, Human infections with bird flu viruses can happen when enough virus gets into a person’s eyes, nose or mouth, or is inhaled. This can happen when virus is in the air (in droplets or possibly dust) and a person breathes it in, or when a person touches something that has virus on it then touches their mouth, eyes or nose.