Events in Syria are now collapsing into chaos, with the situation changing on an hourly basis it seems. Since I wrote these essays, Russia has essentially thrown down the gauntlet and made clear statements related to any further US intervention in Syria. Turkey is now bombing inside both Iraq and Syria. Assad Junior is moving both regular Syrian military forces, as well as his armed miltia to directly confront Turkey when it moves towards Manjbi after the genocide is complete in Afrin. Multiple reports indicate the Al Qaida, ISIS, and even Chinese Uighr Muslims in Erdogan’s “milita forces,” are raping and murdering their way through conquered Kurdish villages.

Several  good links for information are here.







In my first essay I dealt with the general historical context of modern Syria, and also listed various factors that resulted in the current Syrian civil war scenario. In this second essay, I will deal with Turkey’s leader Erdogan and his invasion of Syria, why he did it, and what he wants out of it. I will also deal with who is doing what, and why they are doing it.

First, my readers need to understand one fact above all else. The one fact is, in my opinion, Turkey’s leader, Erdogan is bat poop crazy. The reason I make this rather harsh statement is Erdogan is a man who thinks he is on a mission from God/Allah. The mission is to restore the historical Ottoman Empire. However crazy we think this is, I assure you Erdogan is totally committed to this Ottoman Imperial restoration. Now, when I am talking about a “restored Ottoman Empire,” I am really talking about Erdogan’s vision, and the actions he is taking to do it. The historical Ottoman Empire was based in Turkey and eventually came to be very powerful. It is true that the Ottoman Empire by 1917 came to control Turkey, Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia as we call them today. It is also true that the term, “Gate of Vienna,” refer to the Ottoman Empire attacking the Hapsburg Empire in 1683. The date September 11th is related to this attack. The Ottomans also conquered Yugoslavia. The reason for the 1998 conflict between NATO forces and the Serbs can be drawn in a direct line to Ottoman actions. Kosovo was a problem that began with a battle in 1300, and ended with a battle in 1998. In Europe past is present and current problems all have historical roots. It is the same thing in the Middle East, as the US has found to its sorrow. So, my main point is in Erdogan we have a man who has a vision, and that vision involves restoring the Ottoman Empire, presumably to its greatest extent. It is that vision, dear reader that is going to shake the entire Middle East to its core. It is that vision that resulted in Turkey invading Northern Syria. Erdogan says he is invading Syria to prevent “Kurdish terrorists,” from creating an independent Kurdish state in Syria that threatens Turkey. In reality, his true goal is to annex Syria into his restored Ottoman Empire. Erdogan is also using “proxy forces,” combined with regular Turkish military units, to do so. Another key fact in the entire Syrian Civil War scenario is the use of proxy forces. Everybody in Syria, the Russians, the Americans, NATO, and Iran are using proxies as pawns in the Great Game. The reason is to exhibit the famous statement, “plausible denial,” I also think both NATO and the USA got burned by their proxy forces, especially by the Al Qaida and ISIS forces. At any rate, in order to understand what is now going on in Syria, you need to understand that various agendas are now in play. Turkey’s agenda is to annex Northern Syria, with the idea they will eventually incorporate all of Syria into Turkey. Further, all of Erdogan’s actions must be viewed as trying to achieve his goal of a restored Ottoman Empire.

In order to do that, Erdogan is quite willing to roll the dice. He is willing to take great risks. The reason being he understands that if he is truly trying to restore the historical Ottoman Empire, which he is, then he must risk all. Erdogan is quite willing to risk his membership in NATO. He is quite willing to risk a broader war in Syria. He is quite willing to fight the USA, and Assad Junior, and Iran, and even Russia. Erdogan is even making noises about invading a fellow NATO member Greece. Like I said, whatever anybody thinks about Erdogan, and I really do think he is Bat Poop Crazy, the man has a vision. He thinks this vision comes from God/Allah and he is willing to do what it takes to implement that vision. The fact he may trigger a regional Middle East War, or unleash a level of chaos a sane man would back off from, well Erdogan simply doesn’t care at this point. He may go down in flames, and he may crash and burn the entire Middle East, but he is going to try for the brass ring, whatever the results are.

Erdogan has stated he plans to conquer Afrin. The fact he may unleash a Kurdish massacre doesn’t bother him. The fact his proxy forces are a group of Al Qaida, ISIS, and assorted Turkish thugs doesn’t bother him. If they rape, and kill and destroy Kurds in Syria, this doesn’t concern him. He is going to take Afrin. He is going to do what it takes to do so, and the consequences be damned. If Erdogan has to leave piles of Kurdish corpses, including Kurdish civilians, he will do that. Erdogan is going to create a Turkish “sphere of influence” covering his border with Syria, from the Med in the west, to the Euphrates in the east. Once he does that, he will then directly engage Assad Junior and his forces, likely backed by Russia. When Erdogan turns east from Afrin, he will attack Manjbi, which is where the US forces are. And when Erdogan does that, he will shatter NATO, unleash a regional war, and force the USA to engage him in self-defense.

I think this is the general context of what Turkey is now doing in Syria. They clearly intend to take over all of Syria, and if they have to fight everybody else to do so, then Erdogan will do just that. Of course, that brings us to the cold, hard reality of exactly what that means. Turkey has so far  avoided direct combat with Assad Junior’s military forces. The reason being Assad Junior has cynically taken advantage of Turkey’s invasion to settle some scores of his own.

Syria, as the situation is on March 14,Th 2018 is a shattered country. If the military mission of any military is to protect the lives and property of its citizens, as well as the territorial integrity of the state, then Assad Junior has failed miserably. The pre-civil war borders of Syria no longer exist. This one fact now determines all actions Assad Junior is now taking, and will take in the future. You see, dear reader, Assad Junior is also a man on a mission. His mission is to restore the pre-civil war borders of Syria. It is this fundamental conflict between a Turkish leader, who wants to annex Syria, and a Syrian leader who wants to restore Syria, that will unleash the firestorm I am predicting. Assad Junior is now engaged in a massive effort, some 15,000 combat veteran ground forces, with Russian air support, to retake his capital city of Damascus. He is attacking the eastern suburbs of Damascus and plans to exert control over it. Assad Junior is also attacking west of the Turkish forces in Northern Syria in order to reclaim the area between Afrin/Aleppo and the Med. He is also attacking east to the Euphrates River to restore the original Syrian and Iraq border. Finally, he is attacking south, both east and west in order to restore his border with Israel, on the Golan Heights, and with Jordan. While Erdogan has been conquering much of Northern Syria, Assad Junior has been restoring his borders to the east, to the northwest, and to the southeast and southwest. Once that is completed, Assad Junior is going to go after the Turks in the north. When that happens, all hell is going to break out, and all the various players are going to get sucked into the free for all.

I am saying that the current context of the entire “Syrian situation,” is based on a Turkish leader, Erdogan, who is trying to annex Northern Syria, and eventually all of Syria, into his restored Ottoman Empire. He is facing Assad Junior who is trying to restore the original, pre 2011 Syrian borders, It is this conflict, in my opinion, that will define what is going to happen in Syria over the next few weeks and months. It is the definitive example of being between a rock and a hard place. Syria, and eventually the entire world, is going to impale itself on an Erdogan who seeks to conquer Syria, and an Assad Junior who seeks to prevent that conquest. Of course, Israel and Jerusalem, as well as Iran and Hezzbollah will also be thrown into that toxic mix of competing visions for Syria. In order to explain that, I would require another essay, so I will just mention it and move on.

We are now on the verge of the Syrian abyss. The two main players are Assad Junior, the leader of Syria, and Erdogan, the leader of Turkey. The reason I am predicting disaster is because Russia, the USA, NATO, Iran and Hezzbollah, the Kurds, and eventually Israel will all get sucked into the mess. The reason being that having proxies is a two edged sword. The reason the “big boys” like proxies is they can be pushed out of the airplane at 30,000 feet with nobody the wiser. The reason the “big boys,” hate proxies is they can storm the pilot’s cabin and crash the plane. You roll the dice, and you takes your chances.

I think it is clear that soon Assad Junior will have to respond, as in military response, as in shooting at the Turks. I think it is clear Turkey will start shooting back when that happens. At that point, delusional fanatic that he is, Erdogan will request NATO combat intervention, like under the famous clause 5. When that happens, the result will either be the collapse of the NATO military alliance, or direct combat between both NATO forces, and US forces with Assad Junior. Following my thought stream here, we come to a situation where that will result in Assad junior’s allies; namely, Iran, Hezzbollah, and Russia coming to his aid. Putin has made it very, very clear, in his statements on the British response to the “murder” of the Russian dissidents, he will brook no fecal material. Putin has further stated very plainly he not only has a credible nuclear force, but he is quite willing to use it. Finally, Putin has made it quite clear that he fully supports a unified, and that is a key word, unified, Syria. Again, a unified Syria is a Syria restored to its pre-civil war borders, and under the control of Assad junior. This puts Russia in direct opposition to Turkey, the EU, NATO and the USA, who want to partition Syria. Well, Vlad the Impaler is saying he won’t go for that, and intends to make sure that doesn’t happen, and will use military force to prevent it. Putin’s General made the statement that any further attacks on Damascus by anybody, US coalition forces, Israel, or Turkey will be met with force, especially if they threaten Russian lives I wonder why the US coalition, when they bombed the Russian mercs, thought they would get a pass on it. Putin is playing a deep game here in Syria. He views Syria in the context of the NATO betrayal when the former Soviet Union collapsed. The entire Syrian situation must also be viewed in the context of NATO’s expansion to the east. NATO is now deploying combat troops directly on the Russian borders with the Baltic States, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Further, NATO has deployed troops to Poland, put missile batteries in Romania, and the final insult of putting US Naval ships into the Black Sea. Putin regards the Black Sea as not the Romans “mare nostrum, or our sea, but as a Russian bath tub. Of all the things that NATO has done to enrage Moscow, sending in US fleet destroyers to insolently cruise around next to the Russian Black Sea Fleet, is the worst by far. So, on the edges of the “Syrian Situation,” we have the NATO eastward deployment situation, along with the Black Sea situation, all of which Putin views in terms of the “Ukrainian situation”. The reason I am saying the “Syrian situation’ is so bad, is because it is in Syria where all the various threads of Russian, US and NATO confrontation come together. Syria is the sword upon which all the players are going to eventually impale themselves, whether they want to or not.

The bottom line of all this scheming, deploying and posturing is we may, similar to World War One, simply stumble into a war. Whatever the various players are planning for, and however they intend things to turn out, we are now in the Twilight zone, or perhaps we should think in terms of the famous Mr. Murphy. Mr. Murphy is the reality that everything that can go wrong will go wrong. Syria is now beyond intentions, or expected results in my opinion. I think things are now in play that once unleashed take on a life of their own.

Finally, the Kurds are involved. The thing my readers need to understand is that the Kurds are not a monolithic group. The “Kurds” are divided into several competing groups, all with different ideologies, agendas and goals. The Kurds now in Afrin are, more or less, Marxists. They derive from a Kurdish leader now in a Turkish prison, and are dedicated to the creation of a Kurdish state inside of Turkey. Erdogan does have reasonable concerns about “Kurdish terrorists.” Unfortunately, Erdogan is quite willing to throw out the baby with the bathwater. The Kurds number roughly 50 million worldwide. The Kurds live in Iran, Northern Iraq, Southeastern Turkey, and Syria among other places. The Kurds also live in Europe, with one million in Germany alone. It is almost certain, and has in fact already happened with the Turkish mosques being attacked in Berlin, that the Turkish and Kurdish conflict centered in Northern Syria will spread to Europe first, and eventually to the USA, which also has some Kurds living here. The next phase of the Syrian conflict has gone from “over there,” to “over here.”

At any rate, a history of the Kurds is beyond the scope of this essay. I will make the point that the USA has betrayed the Kurds twice. The first time, under the famous war criminal Henry Kissinger, was when we brokered a deal between Saddam and the Iranian Shah in 1975. We pulled our support for them, betrayed and abandoned them, and let Saddam kill them in droves. The second betrayal was in 1991 after Desert Storm. Again, we betrayed, and then abandoned both the Kurds and the Shia. We led them on, got an armed uprising out of them, and then let Saddam’s helicopter gunships machine gun, and rocket them without let up. So, the Kurds, even though we used them as proxies to fight ISIS, never really trusted us. The result was that when Turkey invaded Northern Syria on January 20th, 2018, the Kurds immediately ceased fighting ISIS, and started moving to defend Afrin. Of course, once Erdogan got wind of thousands of armed, combat veteran Kurdish Peshmerga, heading from Eastern Syria, and Aleppo to Afrin, he started screaming at both the USA and its coalition, and NATO to stop them. Again, everything is now in play. When people ask me what one of the results of Erdogan’s invasion of Syria was, I tell them it gave ISIS a second chance. ISIS is now expanding its Euphrates River zone because the fight against it has ceased, and the reason for that is the Kurds left for Afrin, and the reason they did that was Erdogan plans to conquer it, and likely, or at least his Al Qaida and ISIS proxy troops plan to, murder and rape all the Kurds, civilian or not, they can find. Like I said, current events in Syria are like a rock thrown into a pond. You never really quite know how far the ripples will spread. One would not think that Turkey invading Syria would result in the salvation of ISIS, but it has.

Finally, I am saying that whatever the players intend for Syria, the 2nd law of Thermodynamics, the one called Entropy, is now fully in play. Entropy states that the tendency is for decay. I call it the teenager’s room syndrome. One of the reasons I personally find the theory of Evolution to be so ridiculous is because it violates Entropy. Entropy states that if you clean a teenager’s room, within one week it will look like a cyclone hit it. Evolution states not only will the teenager’s room not decay, it will evolve. Evolution is like reducing a Ford Truck to its individual parts, throwing it into a garage and then expecting it to put itself back together. /The ideal is a violation of natural science and simply ridiculous. Syria is now in the exact same situation. It will be put together again in my opinion. It will be Assad Junior, backed by Russia, Iran and Hezzbollah who will do it. The Kurds, well the Kurds will get screwed again, as they usually are, although I think they will land on their feet, more or less.


Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url




This first appeared over on Steve Quayle’s site.



I have been requested by Mr. Q, otherwise called Steve Quayle, to impress you with all my knowledge of, insight into, and analysis of where we are headed in the “Syrian Situation.” The first thing you need to understand about the Middle East is how long human beings have been running around places we call Syria, Turkey, Iraq, Iran, or Egypt. The USA is roughly 240 years old dating from 1776. The USA, at least the American part dates from 1620, while the Spanish go back to around 1500. This means we think something that is 500 years old, is ancient. Well, by Middle Eastern, or even European standards, I am talking about 1,000 years, or 5,000 years old. If you want to figure out what is now going on in Syria, or Turkey, or any other country, you need to understand the people living there think in two time periods. The first is between 1300 and 1500 years old. This is the Muslim time zone that defines how Islam reacts to the modern world. The second time zone is the 2,000, which gets you to around the early Roman Empire period, or 4,000 years, which gets you to around the time Stonehedge was being built. Of course, time is a relative thing. One of the key things I learned in study “ancient history,” is 100 years to either side of an “historical event,” is close enough for government work. So, in terms of thinking about what is going on in Syria in 2018, you should be aware of what happened in Syria 100 years ago, or 1917 and how World War One impacted Syria. You should also keep in mind 1300 and the Ottoman Empire in Turkey, as well as 630 AD, and the creation of Islam, and finally, all the way back, say 10,000 years ago, the domestication of dogs and cows, the planting and harvesting of wheat, all of which led to the first cities, between the two great rivers: the Tigris and the Euphrates in what we used to call the birthplace of civilization.

I’m afraid that what we think of as the “2003 Iraqi War,” was really just the last war there going back some 8,000 years. They started fighting with spears and swords, and ended up using cluster bombs. Bearing all of the above in mind, I will now explain how Syria came to be in the distress it now finds itself in. The brief answer is everybody wanted a chunk of Syria. The result being Syria now best resembles a chunk of meat being fought over by a pack of jackals. I have pointed out the long history of the Middle East and how it overshadows everything that happens there. I have also pointed out how Islam is also a defining factor in the Middle East. Further, I pointed out how the Ottoman Empire, and the end of World One define Syria. The key dates for Syria, at least in the last 100 years, are 1917, 2011, 2015, and 2018.

The reason I say 1917 is that is the year British General Allenby conquered the Ottoman Empire. The collapse of the Ottoman Empire led to a multitude of issues that define the Middle Eastern reality we deal with on a daily basis. In terms of Syria, the French and the British, the victors, the colonial victors, of World War One created a carving up of the Arab world that is, in my opinion, brazen in its insolence, cynical in its propaganda, and amoral in its opportunism. Actually, the “secret agreement,” was done in May of 1916. It also included the Russians, but they had a revolution so were denied the Arab pie being cut up by the Colonial powers. Ergo, if you want to understand the Middle East today, the you absolutely have to understand the Sykes-Picot 1916 treaty. The final result of this fine example of colonial shenanigans was France got Syria, and Britain pretty much got everything else. I mean the impact of this treaty just keeps going and going: it is the diplomatic version of the energizer bunny. It just keeps causing chaos, and then more chaos, and some more. For example, if you want to understand Desert Storm, or the 1991 Iraq/Kuwait war, you need to realize the only reason Kuwait existed to be invaded was the Sykes/Picot treaty. If you want more detailed information on this treaty you can use this link here. I am talking about direct French and British rule of various Arab countries. I am talking about “spheres of influence,” for France, Britain, and the allied powers. The fatal flaw of this treaty was, in my opinion, it failed to understand the geographical, ethnic, religious and tribal divisions inside the various countries created with a wave of the wand in 1917.


At any rate, Syria become either directly ruled by France, or part of the French “sphere of influence.” Eventually, Syria had a revolution, much like Algeria did, and French rule was replaced by the Assad family. I am leaving a lot out of this cliff notes version; namely, the British invasion in 1941 to get rid of the Vichy French Government running Syria, as well as the 1958 merger with Egypt’s Nasser that lasted till 1961, followed by 9 years of increasing chaos. The Assad family came to power in 1970, and has stayed in power ever since. And that, dear readers, is the cliff notes version to how Syria got into the current mess.


It is also my belief that economic, political, military, and diplomatic results may have been caused by weather and climate, geography and any number of reasons. Syria is, in fact, a poor country, and suffered a devastating drought leading up to 2011. Again, multiple different things are in play, and they are in play for multiple reasons, and they have different result. The so called “Arab Spring,” started with a man burning himself to death in Tunisia because the cost of bread had increased, or maybe he was just tired of life. The result of that was the lid came off, and the pot blew up. And yes, everybody from George Soros, the CIA, the EU, the Vatican, etc, etc, etc, have been blamed for this explosion. My personal view is sometimes stuff happens, and you really shouldn’t look too deeply into social revolutions. The Arab world, and the Islamic world are a bit thin on the ground in terms of functional, honest, governments offering freedom to Muslims. The Arab people just got tired of the repressions, the corruptions and the hypocrisy, and started rioting. The government in Syria actually didn’t collapse, although not from a lack of trying. And here we get into Benghazi, Hillary Clinton, Ghadaffi’s grisly end, oil, chaos and the mantra: be careful what you wish for, since you might get it. “They” got what they wanted in Libya, in Egypt, and they didn’t get what they wanted in Syria, Iraq and Lebanon. I am saying that what I call “the powers that be,” or the Deep State if you like, went after Syria for their own reasons. Obviously, “they” failed to overthrow Assad Junior, and “they” are seriously annoyed at that failure, and virtually everything that is now going on in Syria can be traced back to that failure, However, as they say, let’s begin at the beginning.

I happen to think the world is ruled by a core group of 300 families. You can call them what you like, and believe in them or not. I find this 300 family explanation to fit the evidence. The 300 spend some time fighting amongst themselves, crushing any potential opposition, and in general, just messing with the world, its people, and trying to become the most powerful, richest people they can be. It is a game of Risk, or Monopoly with real players, and real assets. After “they” had unleashed the Arab Spring, conquered Libya, Ukraine, thrown Egypt into chaos they took their shot at Syria. I mean “they” used their Deep State proxies to create the Free Syrian Army, or other proxy forces used to fight Assad junior and take over Syria. This process went on from 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, and was pretty much about to smash Assad junior’s head in when three things happened. Here are three things that “they” got blind-sided by. I think these three things that have led to the current Syrian situation in 2018. The first thing was the trained CIA, or Deep State dog, ISIS, not only bit the hand that created it, but tried to use a chainsaw and cut it off. In August of 2014, ISIS exploded out of literally nowhere, or at least I never found any media coverage of the rise of ISIS. It was literally a case on one month ISIS was part of the “anti-Assad forces,” all nice and warm and fuzzy. The USA had been supporting them, as had NATO, and the EU because they were on “our” side, and they were really good guys who would kill Assad Junior and let the Deep State loot and pillage like they want to. Well, people ISIS turned the tables in the summer of 2014, and began one of the most impressive military offensives possible. The result was ISIS, who still wanted to overthrow Assad junior, which is why the CIA liked them. The CIA never twigged to the fact that ISIS wanted to replace Assad Junior. They just wanted all of Syria, and Iraq as their own private Caliphate. Of course, I like to say it would be run by a bunch of psycho, in my opinions, ISIS fruit cakes who like to burn Jordanian pilots alive, and would give Chingis Khan a run for his torture chamber.

So, the first reason Syria is the way it is related to ISIS. ISIS became a wild card and forced all of the governments that created ISIS, under the delusional fantasy they could actually control ISIS, to realize they needed to destroy ISIS fast, especially before Wikileaks released all the information showing how they had funded both ISIS and Al Qaida in Syria. Al Qaida wasn’t so bad for the CIA as long as they were fighting Assad Junior.

Ergo, that leads to the second thing that happened, and the second reason Syria is the way it is in 2018. It took some time but everybody finally figured out the West needed to create this grand coalition and as, POTUS Trump put it so eloquently, “bomb the living #%$%%^^ out of ISIS.” I understand, agree and approve the sentiments. The result of that was the USA began to deploy serious military assets into Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Jordan and Israel. In fact, we repeated the “find some good guys we can give Javelin anti-tank rockets to,” strategy. This time around the USA armed the various Kurdish groups, with much better results, and unleashed them on ISIS. Now, while all of the above was going on; namely, ISIS mutated from a “good anti-Assad junior group,” into something like the Black Death. While the USA and NATO were creating this “anti-ISIS coalition, which also was, by the way, still an Anti-Assad Junior coalition. The result was some confusion about whether it was better to bomb ISIS first, or Assad Junior first, or just bomb the #%%%% out of them all the time. The USA chose the latter tactic: bomb everybody, and bomb them all the time, and bomb them everywhere. This led to the strange situation where the US led “grand coalition” was bombing what were defined as ISIS forces, which were fighting the US backed Kurdish forces, who could be fighting the Assad Junior forces, who were, in turn possibly fighting Al Qaida anti-Assad junior forces, at least when they weren’t fighting ISIS. If you understand all of that, dear reader, I’m impressed. I’m impressed because I don’t understand it, and I just wrote it. And this is number 2.5 factor relevant to Syria. There are now so many individual players in Syria, engaged in so many actions, with so many different agendas, and supported by so many separate groups, I find it nearly impossible to keep track of them all. I will do the best I can, but I make no promises.

Next, we come to the third factor in the Syria of 2018. I did consider coming up with a fourth factor, but I decided to combine both parties into one situation. The third situation that blindsided the Deep State, the EU, the USA and a long list of anti-Assad junior forces was the entrance of Russian air combat units into the Syrian conflict on Assad Junior’s side. Further, this combat deployment was authorized by Vlad the Impaler, or Vladamir Putin, for the sole purpose of dealing with the military imperialism coming out of NATO, the EU and the USA. Putin saw what happened in Libya. Putin saw what happened in the Ukraine. Putin saw, got seriously annoyed and said Syria is mine. Putin thus completely frustrated the US NATO plan for the creation of an US NATO controlled Eastern Europe and Middle East. I am saying the third decisive factor of why Syria is now in the situation it is relates to foreign invasion, assistance and support. It is a fact that Russia intervened in Syria. It is a fact they saved Assad Junior’s rear end. It is a fact they have gutted ISIS in Syria. It is a fact they have completely frustrated both US and NATO plans for Syria. And finally, Russia has set the stage for Turkey’s invasion of Syria on January 20th, 2018. Putin simply declared victory over ISIS, had a parade and pulled most, not all, of his forces back to Russia, or at least to the new Armenian Air Base on the Turkish border. Putin plays chess; NATO and the US play Crazy Eights.

All of the above are the why, and the who, and the how we now have over 200,000 innocent Kurdish civilians trapped in Afrin, Syria. The Turks, under Erdogan, are very likely to massacre every Kurd now in Afrin. It is likely NATO, the US and Europe will stand by and watch. Perhaps some whining, and maybe some nasty diplomatic notes to Erdogan, but no way are we going to send in ground troops at this point.

The reasons behind Turkey’s invasion, and yes, Virginia Turkey really has invaded Northern Syria, are complex.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url


We are now right on the verge of the final phase in the Syrian civil war. Within the next two weeks, and certainly no later than the end of March,  Syria is going to explode into a regional war involving all the current players.

ONE: Russia is now deploying its second shipload of armor to Syria this year. The link is here.


By Andrew Illingworth – 06/03/2018

BEIRUT, LEBANON (9:40 A.M.) – The Russian military is sending another batch of vehicles and heavy weapons to Syria in order to further bolster the Arab republic’s armed forces.

On Monday, observers in the Bosphorus Strait spotted and filmed the Mediterranean-bound journey of a Russian Navy Tapir-class LST (Landing Ship Tank) sealifter.

Identified more specifically as Orsk 148, the naval cargo ship is noted by sources to be inbound to the Syrian port city of Tartus – its second such deployment since the beginning of 2018.

Whilst a number of military trucks were spotted above deck, it is worth noting that the true cargo-carrying capacity of the ship is hidden inside deceptively spacious storage areas within the vessel itself.

Tapir-class LSTs are capable of carrying up to twenty main battle tanks (or 40 infantry fighting vehicles).

TWO: Turkey is now in the final phase, as in the next 3 to 7 days, of storming Afrin itself. The link is here.


“The Turkish strategy is to lay siege to Afrin and to cut off the connection to Nubl and Zahra,” the SDF commander, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Al-Monitor.

Forces loyal to the Syrian regime have reportedly been deployed in support of the YPG from the mainly Shiite villages of Nubl and Zahra. Haberturk, a mainstream news channel, broadcast footage shot from Hatay, on the Turkish side of the border, of Turkish jets bombing Jindires. Large plumes of brown smoke rose from a hilltop that the channel said was near Jindires. Haberturk reported that the purpose of the strikes was to “soften” resistance before Turkish-led ground forces moved into the town itself.

Commentators believe that the battle for Jindires marks a shift from rural to urban warfare in Turkey’s Operation Olive Branch — a move that will prove hugely challenging. Jindires needs to be taken if Turkish-led forces are to close in on Afrin proper. Sedat Ergin, a veteran columnist for Hurriyet, wrote that Jindires “spreads out over a large area … [and] clashes with terrorist groups in a residential area with civilians carry more risks and difficulties than ones in the countryside.”

According to Istanbul-based think tank the Center for Economics and Foreign Policy Studies (EDAM), the Turkish “gendarmerie and police special operations units, which are the urban warfare and counterterrorism elite of the Turkish security forces, are being deployed to the areas of operation.” EDAM added that the “use of … civilians as human shield[s]” on behalf of the YPG and the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) is “highly problematic.”




US-backed Kurdish forces say they are redeploying fighters from fronts against the Islamic State group in eastern Syria to the Kurdish-controlled enclave of Afrin in the northwest to shore up Kurdish fighters battling a Turkish offensive. 

The Kurdish Rudaw news agency quotes Abu Omar al-Idilbi, a spokesman for Arab militias within the Syrian Democratic Forces as saying that 1,700 fighters will be redeployed from Deir el-Zour and other active fronts with IS.

In pictures: 3,500 Rojava fighters graduate, ready to defend Afrin

By Rudaw 2/3/2018

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url



When World War Three actually breaks out, which could be any day now, nobody will be able to say they were surprised. It isn’t like Erdogan, or Assad Junior, or Vlad the Impaler, ie Putin, or Israel, or Iran, or Hezzbollah hasn’t given clear indications the balloon is about to go up. We may be appalled. We may be stunned. We may be terrified. We will not be unaware of the looming crisis, at least if you have been reading my little “doomer porn blog.” At any rate, Erdogan has now done something truly amazing in both the military and diplomatic sphere. Erdogan has now completely surrounded Turkey with armed, angry enemies. The level of arrogance and incompetence required to do that is, well truly amazing in its scope. Never has one leader, Erdogan, annoyed so many nations, so much, and with such a potentially devastating effect.

Erdogan now faces Urkaine and Russia to the north. Erdogan now faces Armenia to his East. Erdogan now faces Syria to his south, including Assad Junior, the Kurds, Iran and Hezzbollah. And finally, Erdogan now faces both NATO and Greece to his west. This western threat also now includes Israel, which sent one of its military people to have a chat with Athens. I have no doubt the cargo planes full of military stuff are now landing at the Athens airport.

First, in this link below we see Erdogan has so enraged the Armenians they have cancelled the 1993 attempt at better relations. Vlad the Impaler has yet again proven he is always about three steps ahead of everybody else. Putin has expanded, deployed to a huge Armenian Air Base that is on the Turkish Armenian border.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url


Russia’s Staging Bases in Armenia


I said at the time the US Coalition wasted those Russian mercs Putin would have a robust response. Putin has now deployed to Syria four of his most advanced stealth fighters. The Su-57 has the mission of engaging US F-22 Raptor fighters. The SU57 has the mission of shooting down our F-22 fighter jets. Well, the message is now very clear from Russia to the US coalition forces in Syria. The message is, to both Israel and the US, back off or face the consequences.

Assad Junior is moving to retake his capitol city. He is moving east to his border with Iraq, which will bring him into conflict with the US Coalition forces there. He is moving south the Jordanian and Syrian border, which will bring him into combat with the US forces stationed there. Assad Junior is moving towards the Golan Heights, which will bring him into conflict with Israel. Iran and Hezzbollah and Lebanon’s military are going to engage Israel’s F-16’s when they enter Lebanon’s airspace and use it to launch on Syrian and Iranian targets inside of Syria.

If any of you retain any illusions about just how bat poop crazy Erdogan truly is, check out this link to a video where Erdogan is telling some Turkish child she will die in combat. It is like Hitler’s awarding the Iron Cross to those 10 year old kids in 1945. The man is quite mad in my opinion.


Abdullah Bozkurt
THIS IS SICK: #Turkey‘s war-mongering president #Erdogan parades a little girl dressed in military fatigue in today’s convention speech in Maras province, tells that she is ready to be martyred and buried with a Turkish flag in her pocket.
Embedded video

Erdogan, well our would be Sultan of the Restored Ottoman Empire is now threatening, all at the same time, to invade NATO member Greece, crush the Kurds in Afrin, move to attack Manbji, with its American military forces stationed there, as well as go to the current Syrian and Iraqi border on the Euphrates River. Other than that, Syria is in good shape.

The link is here.


Russia deploys advanced stealth jets in Syria with warning aimed at Israel

Satellite images show two Su-57 at airbase in Latakia; Russian official says presence of planes a ‘message’ to neighboring states who fly aircraft into Syria ‘uninvited’

Russia has deployed two of its most advanced and sophisticated stealth jets in Syria, in a power move likely to draw US criticism, as the Pentagon expressed its alarm earlier this month over recent close calls with Russian planes in the war-torn country.

Satellite images published by Israeli company ImageSat International on Friday showed the fifth-generation jets — two Su-57 fighter aircraft — at Russia’s airbase in the coastal Syrian city of Latakia. A source in the defense ministry confirmed to RBK news agency this week that the two planes were sent to the Hmeimim base “for a test in real conditions.” The jets are said to be a potential rival to the US’s Lockheed Martin F-22 Raptor, which American forces use in patrols over Syria.


Two more Russian topline Su-57 land in Syria to challenge US, Israeli air might

Government sources in Moscow reported Saturday, Feb. 24, that four fifth-generation Sukhoi-57 jet fighters are currently deployed in Syria after a second pair landed Friday.  The first two arrived on  Monday, Feb. 19 at Russia’s Khmeimim air base, along with 4 Su-35 fighters, 4 Su-25 strike aircraft and an A-50U radar command-and-control platform.

DEBKA file reported the first pair’s arrival on Friday, Feb. 23, along with this comment: This top-performance fleet raises Russia’s air strike and defense capabilities in Syria to the highest standards of any air force in the world, with enough power to take on superior US and Israeli air might in the Syrian arena. The Su-57’s weapon bays are designed to carry Russia’s new nuclear tactical X-50 air-launched cruise missile, although it is not known whether the aircraft in Syria are carrying them. DEBKA Weekly’s military sources see President Vladimir Putin’s decision to send the Su-57 fighters to Syria as substantially raising the big power stakes in Syria after the loss of dozens of Russian troops on Feb. 7 to massive US artillery and air strikes that decimated the Russian, Syrian and pro-Iranian forces crossing the Euphrates River. An American radar-invisible F-22 took part in that raid. The Russians have dubbed the Su-57 the “F-22 killer.”

It is also Russia’s response to Israel’s air offensive on Feb. 10, which targeted the shared Russian-Iranian T-4 air base near Palmyra and smashed four Iranian Revolutionary Guards forward command centers in Syria, after downing an Iranian drone. It is also seen in Moscow as a challenge for Israel’s newly acquired fifth-generation US F-35 combat aircraft.
Does Putin intend to order his mighty airborne strike force to go into battle against the US or Israel in the boiling Syrian arena? If he does, he will be launching the first contest between the most sophisticated warplanes ever devised for a test of superior might between the US and Russia and a war escalation unprecedented, even in Syria.
The very presence of the Su-57 across the border has had the instant effect of reducing the Israel air force’s freedom of action over Syria and Lebanon.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url


I said that eventually, sooner rather than later, Turkey and Syria were going to get into it. Assad Junior wants his country back. Assad Junior wants his original, pre-civil war borders back, intact, and with no Turkish buffer zone, or Kurdish free state, or Iranian spheres of influence. Assad Junior has now deployed 15,000 troops, unleashed both the Syrian and Russian Air Force, as well as these uber flamethrower things, to take back his capitol city. He is also sending in his own proxy forces to assert full control over his Northern areas. He is taking back large chunks of Southern Syria, not only bordering the Golan Heights and Israel, but his borders with both Jordan and Iraq. Obviously, this will bring into armed conflict with the USA led coalition. And finally, Assad junior has now made it abundantly clear he will defend “his” airspace from anybody: the USA coalition, Israel and Turkey.

The link below explains this.


Update: Syria to shoot down Turkish fighter jets if Afrin operation launched
By Rudaw 18/1/2018

ERBIL, Kurdistan Region – The Syrian regime is fully prepared to shoot down any Turkish fighter jets over its airspace, a senior official told reporters as he warned Ankara against any plans to launch an operation against the Kurdish-controlled city of Afrin.

“We warn that the Syrian air force has retaken its past capabilities and is fully prepared to destroy Turkish air targets in the sky of the Syrian Arab Republic,” Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal Miqdad told reporters, State-run SANA new agency reported on Thursday.

He stated that If Turkey begins “military acts in Afrin,” Damascus will consider it as an “aggressive act” against Syria’s state sovereignty.

Turkey’s presidential spokesperson Ibrahim Kalin said his country has the right to protect itself.

“Turkey has the right to take measures to protect its national security, whether it is threatened from Afrin or Manbij, by PKK, YPG or ISIS. There is no difference,” Kalin said in a press conference Thursday.

“The Turkish army has the authority to take measures without specifying time, place or manner,” he asserted, stressing that purpose of operations in Afrin is to “confront a terrorist group.”

Afrin is the westernmost canton under the control of the self-styled Kurdish enclave in northern Syria established shortly after the start of the civil war in the country in 2011.

Turkey has said they will launch an operation against the Kurdish forces in Afrin held by the People’s Protections Units (YPG).

“Afrin is special, and the northern and eastern region of the Syrian Arab Republic has always been Arab and Syrian Arab territory and will remain so,” the Syrian official stated.

Turkey has said that they will not allow a “terror corridor” on its southern borders with the Syrian Kurdistan, called Rojava. Ankara considers the YPG as an extension of the PKK, a named terrorist organization by Turkey, and the United States. YPG denies the accusations.

Earlier in the day, Turkey’s Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu told reporters that they will coordinate their military movements with Russia, a main backer of the Syrian regime.

Chief of the General Staff of the Turkish Armed Forces Gen. Hulusi Akar and Hakan Fidan, head of Ankara’s intelligence agency (MIT), are to visit Russian on Thursday to discuss, among other topics, the situation in Syria, Turkey’s state-run Anadolu Agency reported.

Afrin has come under frequent Turkish bombardment, but recently the Turkish artillery has intensified in preparations for an expected operation.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url



Despite Turkish leader Erdogan’s  comments to the contrary, the deployment of Assad junior’s proxy forces to defend Afrin is now well underway. The link below shows Syrian proxy forces driving into a wild welcome by the Kurds in Afrin.

The link is here.


The next link shows that Assad junior is wasting no time in restoring the territorial integrity of Syria. He is now launching a massive offensive into the eastern areas of his capital city. The link is here.


And finally, we have this link indicating the neo-con warmongers are now in full control of Trump’s administration. Obviously, any direct combat between US military forces, and Russian, Syrian, Iranian forces, or their proxies, would unleash a tidal wave of chaos in Syria.

The link is here.


Risking Major Escalation, Trump Weighs Killing Of Russian Fighters In Syria As Sign Of “Tough Stance” Toward Putin

In the aftermath of Robert Mueller’s indictment against 13 Russian “operatives” for meddling with the US presidential election, President Trump has been under fire for lashing out at everyone… except Russia. So, in response, Bloomberg reports that the Trump administration is weighing citing the deaths of more than 200 Russian fighters – or rather mercenaries – in Syria, who were killed following US strikes on February 7, as an example of Trump’s tough stance toward Russia.

Recall that last week, “more than 200 mercenaries, mostly Russians fighting on behalf of Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, died in a failed attack on a base and refinery held by U.S. and U.S.-backed forces in the oil-rich Deir Ezzor region” In terms of total body count, the U.S. official put the death toll at about 100, with 200 to 300 injured; while Russia admitted that Russians were killed, it said the number was five and denied that the men killed were officially sanctioned Russian troops.

It is this attack that Trump hopes to use as proof of his administration’s determination to show a “hard line” stance toward Putin.

On Tuesday, White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders made an oblique reference to “an incident” as she argued that President Donald Trump has been tougher on Russia than his predecessor Barack Obama. And, according to Bloomberg, she was alluding to the Syria battle – an episode which as we suggested last week threatened to further deteriorate relations with Moscow, as it would put the onus on Putin to respond to what Trump will deem an official Russian provocation.

“He has done a number of things to put pressure on Russia and to be tough on Russia. Just last week, there was an incident that will be reported in the coming days, and another way that this president was tough on Russia,” Sanders said in a briefing for reporters.

The Bloomberg source adds that “Trump himself would like to publicly make the case that the battle shows his resolve to confront Moscow.”

The official recognition of Russian deaths would be direct escalation in the diplomatic crossfire: the U.S. has not previously publicly acknowledged that Russians were among the fighters killed in the Feb. 7 battle.

It goes without saying that Sanders’ characterization of the event as evidence that the president has been “tougher on Russian in the first year than Obama was in eight years combined” would further antagonize the Kremlin.

It’s unclear when the White House learned of the attack or the composition of the Russian forces. And if Trump wanted to show his resolve to confront Russia, there are easier ways: he could enact sanctions Congress has already approved in retaliation for the election meddling or publicly criticize the Russian campaign.

As reported previously, in the February 7 Syria battle, Russian mercenaries and allied units fighting on behalf of Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad attacked a base held by U.S.-backed forces, mainly Kurds, in the oil-rich Deir Ezzor region. According to the Pentagon, after 20 to 30 artillery and tank rounds landed near the Kurds and U.S. soldiers acting as advisers, the U.S. coalition responded with artillery and airstrikes. The result was over 200 Russian mercenaries killed.

U.S. forces used a deconfliction line with the Russian military to inquire whether the attacking force was theirs. White said that U.S. officials “were in regular communication with Russian counterparts before, during and after the attack.”

What is most notable, however, is that both the Kremlin and the Pentagon have downplayed the incident. Russia’s military said it had nothing to do with the attack and the U.S. accepted the claim. While denying that official Russian troops were present, the Russian Foreign Ministry has acknowledged five Russian deaths in the incident.

Regardless, it was the deadliest clash between citizens of the two countries since the Cold War.

Further complicating matters, the Russian assault on the base in Syria may have been a rogue operation, conducted by the Wagner Group, the Russian equivalent of the US Xi, or Blackwater, a firm owned by a Kremlin-connected businessman named Yevgeny Prigozhin.

The risk is that by elevating the status of Russian mercenaries to state-backed fighters – which would be the only reason why the US action would be indicative of a tough stance toward the Kremlin – Russia will interpret what until now was deemed largely an accident,  albeit the deadliest encounter between the two countries in decades, as an overt act meant to punish Russia by killing its troops – whether legitimate soldiers or mercs – and Putin would have no choice but to respond in kind.

The potential escalation takes place two days after Russian foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, warned the Trump administration on Feb. 19 not to “play with fire” in Syria by supporting the autonomy-seeking Kurds, who have helped the U.S. largely eradicate the Islamic State militant group’s presence in the country.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url