ENDLESS DEBT 11-30-2017

Franklin advised us to “be neither a lender or a borrower.” I think the two fatal mistakes our founding fathers made in writing the US Constitution, were the failure to require a balanced budget, and the failure to impose term limits on elected officials. I suspect this was due to their belief in the natural dignity of man. Whether they really didn’t think men would abuse the power of the purse, or whether they didn’t understand human nature means people will feather their own nest, I don’t know. What I do know is if they had read Polyibus, the ancient writer who described the fall of the Athenian Republic, which they may have, they would have realized the point at which elected officials realize they can take money from one group, and give it to another, in order to gain political power, is when the political collapse starts. Lenin’s famous quote that “Capitalism will spend itself to death,” reflects the fatal flaw of Democracy; namely, the creation of an urban mob, dependent on the state, and giving power to those politicians who provide benefits to said mob. This is the current state of the American Republic: the cycle of benefits for the mob, enacted by politicians in return for even more political power, is well entrenched in 2017.

I think I will call this “macro economics,” because it reflects the government view of things with large scale benefit programs solely designed to enrich, and empower, the political class. Soaking the rich is an accurate term to describe this. What is called “microeconomics” refers to individual economic actions in my opinion. This refers to individual decisions to go into debt in order to maintain a personal lifestyle of living beyond your means. This is also widespread in the American Republic of 2017. Franklin would be laughed at today if he went on a talk show and said people should live within their means, and they should only spend what they make. They should also save some of their money, which his making that statement would result in hysterical laughter from the studio audience. At any rate, the self discipline required to either save, or live within your budget, is sadly lacking in America these days.

The link below indicates fiscal prudence on the individual level is just not something the American people do these days. The entire economic system is designed to get people into debt, keep them in debt, and suck them dry of all assets for the benefit of the elites. I am talking about the private banking cartel known as the Federal Reserve, which is neither a federal agency, or a reserve agency. The sold purpose of the Federal Reserve is to loot the public and private wealth of the American people to enrich the ten private banks that make billions on the interest payments the US government pays for its own money. The US Constitution actually defines money as it is listed in it.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-30/us-household-debt-rising-60-faster-wages-and-one-rating-agency-worried

US Household Debt Is Rising 60% Faster Than Wages, And One Rating Agency Is Worried

Tyler Durden's picture

In a report released today by DBRS titled “Consumer debt and debt burden”, the rating agency which is best known for keep Italian debt eligible for ECB monetization at the peak of the European banking crisis, looks at the latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit issued by the NY Fed (discussed here previously) which showed that consumer debt for the third quarter of 2017 was approximately $12.96 trillion, representing an increase of $116 billion over the second quarter of 2017. The debt level for the first three quarters of 2017 has continued to increase above the previous record debt level which was established in the third quarter of 2008 as shown in Exhibit 1 below.

DBRS also highlights that not only did total debt levels increase, but their composition changed as highlighted in Exhibit 2 below.

The good news: total mortgage debt has decreased since 2008, to $8.743 trillion from $9.29 trillion, but as of the third quarter of 2017, still accounts for 67.5% of overall consumer debt.

The bad news: since 2008, the growth in total debt has been attributable to the auto loan and student loan sectors. Auto loan debt has increased by 50% since 2008, to slightly over $1.2 trillion from approximately $800 billion. The most dramatic growth rate, as Zero Hedge readers know well, has been in student loan debt which has grown by 122% since 2008, to $1.357 trillion from $611 billion.

But a bigger concern flagged by DBRS is that the growth in consumer debt is raising concerns when viewed in the context of the existing wage stagnation hampering the current economic environment. The rating agency cites a paper published in October 2017 by the Harvard Business Review which stated that the inflation-adjusted hourly wage has grown by only 0.2% per year since the mid-1970s and labor’s share of income has decreased to its current level of 57% from 65%.

Meanwhile, in the second quarter of 2017, wages were only 5.7% higher than they were a decade earlier. In comparison, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York/Equifax data shows that consumer debt growth over the same period was 9.3%.

In other words, the purchasing power of US households has been largely a function of rapidly rising debt, which over the past decade has risen 60% faster than wages.

There is another concern: while overall delinquency rates have stabilized in recent years, the one stubborn outlier remains student debt, where 90+ day delinquencies have risen to more than 10%.

This is a problem because as Bloomberg’s Lisa Abramowicz writes, considering that GOP tax overhaul may eliminate tax deductions on interest on student loans, this debt load could become even more onerous.

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ASSORTED LUNACY, ODDS, SODS, AND CRAZY PEOPLE 11-28-2017

As I watch the final slide of modern civilization, I am struck by just how much clinical insanity is out there posing as normal behavior. I am talking about things that, as recently as a decade ago, would cause more reaction to them than they do now. Of course, given the large number of people, especially Americans, who are doped up to gills on various drugs, maybe this tidal wave of raving lunacy is to be expected. At any rate, the list of “normal,” stuff that really isn’t normal is a long one.

First, we have my favorite North Korean Elvis admirer, Kim Jong. In addition to his liking of French Cognac; Swiss Cheese, Little Fat Boy has a real nuclear missile fetish. Kim Jong has just told the following countries to, in effect, piss off and leave him alone with his radioactive playthings: Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, the USA, Russia, and China. China and Russia are likely regretting keeping North Korea as their pet pit bull. They like to trot him out to mess with South Korea, Japan and the USA, as long as Kim doesn’t go too anal retentive. I think both Russia and China are starting to wonder if the leash has been chewed through. Kim Jong is like a dog that escapes the backyard and likes to leave little piles on the neighbor’s porch. The neighbors have had about as much Kim Jong’s antics as they can stand. At best, we will likely see a naval blockade, quarantine out of this. Whether that results in the North Korean version of Pearl Harbor remains to be seen. Still, Kim Jong has just used up his ninth cat life. I’m not sure exactly what will be done with him, but a consensus has been reached Jong needs to get some serious attitude adjustment treatment.

The link is here.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-28/it-can-reach-washington-dc-latest-north-korean-icbm-can-hit-all-continental-us

“It Can Reach Washington, DC”: Latest North Korean ICBM Can Hit Anywhere In The Continental US

Tyler Durden's picture

Moving along, we come the DC antics over the “government shutdown.”

In the latest version of the ongoing Kabuki Dance between POTUS, Lying Ryan, Mitch the Bitch, and the two stooges, the increasingly demented Pelosi, and her official court jester, Senator Charlie from New York, we have another example of just how dysfunctional our Federal government really is. Again, a dysfunctional Federal Government isn’t a bad thing all by itself. Still, it shouldn’t be that dysfunctional. The potential “government shutdown” is something that many Americans won’t really care about. The military will continue to get paid. The Food Stamps will continue to be dispersed. The Social Security and Disability payments will continue to be made. Otherwise, the entire lot of them will be voted out next year.

The Democrat/Marxists will try to repeat their victory last spring when they forced Trump to eliminate funding for the border wall. This time around the Marxist/Democrats will try and force a de facto amnesty, 800,000 so called Dreamers, no border wall at all, and open the flood gates for yet another tidal wave of illegals and refugees.

And finally, it the category of “I can’t make this stuff up,” we have Hollyweird breaking wide open with criminal cases being filed against Weinstein, as well as that Sodom on the Gommarh, otherwise called Washington, D.C, coming unglued as leaks about just how venal and piggish our elected officials really are, continue to percolate along. It seems, if the sources are credible, there are several thousand “sealed Federal indictments,” waiting to be opened and send hordes of pedophiles, sexual predators and assorted scum into the buzz saw of grand jury indictments. The source of this pedophile outing bonanza is reputed to be none other than former Congressman Anthony Weiner, and yes, a sex pervert named Weiner is why I said I can’t make this stuff up. Again, if the stories are credible, my jury is still out on that, we are about to see the pedophile toilets in both DC and Los Angeles flushed at the same time. We shall see.

http://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/u-s-national-news/1679-now-4-289-sealed-federal-indictments-cases-in-all-94-federal-districts-historic

 

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

MADAGASCAR PLAGUE DEATHS FIVE TIMES WHAT WHO SAYS THEY ARE. 11-26-2017

A quick note. I have dyslexia from time to time, which is why I missed the comma in the following sentence. “So far, since October 4, 907 people have died from the plague.” Personally, I would have had it as “So far, since October 4th, 907 people have died from the plague.” At any rate, this is confirmation my original theory that you could multiply both the “official” dead and infected by a factor of between three and five was true. It is also confirmation the situation on Madagascar is significantly worse than “they” are telling us. Again, apologies for my reading error.

The following article, from Britain’s Mirror, says that the current number of deaths from the Black Plague bacteria are nearly 1,000. This is since October 4th, and the total of infected people is nearly 13,000 people. The official WHO totals show 200 dead, and 2,000 infected. The true number of dead, assuming the Mirror is giving accurate information, is a staggering 5 times what WHO says they are. I have long said that based on how WHO handled the SARS, MERS and Ebola disease outbreaks, we can be certain they are LYING to us, just like they have done before. I will admit to be stunned at the extent of the WHO lies, which indicate the real situation on Madagascar is much, much worse than even I thought it was. I simply refuse to believe that any media source would use the 1,000 dead, and 13,000 infected numbers without a verified, 100 percent reliable source for figures that effectively call the World Health Organization a liar publicly. The risk of a lawsuit is simply too great to use a number of dead that is 5 times the official WHO numbers. If the numbers weren’t credible, then WHO would have the Mirror for breakfast, lunch and dinner.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

The link to the mirror article is here.

 

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/patients-infected-plague-escaping-hospital-11550507?service=responsive

Patients infected with the plague are escaping hospital sparking fears it could spread across 10 countries

Doctors in Madagascar are currently treating people suffering from the highly contagious disease

BLACK FRIDAY VIOLENCE AS USUAL

It has become a regular feature of modern American life the shopping day known as “Black Friday,” the day after Thanksgiving, is highlighted by scenes of chaos, violence and folly. It is a fact that nearly every “Black Friday,” people are injured, or even killed, in the wave of anarchy unleashed by hordes of so called shoppers. I put it in the category of “social behavior.”

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

The link below details some of this chaos unfolding this year.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-11-24/caught-tape-chaos-multiple-fights-break-out-among-black-friday-zombies

 

Caught On Tape: Chaos, Multiple Fights Break Out Among “Black Friday Zombies”

Tyler Durden's picture

MADAGASCAR PLAGUE SPIRALING OUT OF CONTROL 11-21-2017

The Madagascar Plague situation continues to get worse as the “Plague Season” continues. The official season runs until April of 2018 in Madagascar. Already the number of cases, now 2200, versus the normal 400, and the 66 percent airborne version, compared to the normal rate of 10 percent, far exceed the historical record going back some 50 years. The Plague is now bigger, ie more infected and dead, and more lethal, the 60 plus percent airborne version. And we still have 5 months to go in Madagascar.

The link below gives more detail. I think the below information gives a good overview of the situation as it exists today, as well as showing just how bad things can get.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-5103883/Madagascar-plague-death-toll-rises-195.html

  1. Um, the Madagascar Plague situation continues to spiral out of control. Here is the link to another British media site, the American media doesn’t seem to be much interested in Madagascar at this point.

    The link is here.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/ar…rises-195.html

    Madagascar plague death toll rises to 195 and cases have jumped nearly 3% in just three days as ‘worst outbreak in 50 years’ of the medieval disease hits ‘crisis’ point

    World Health Organization data shows 2,267 people have now been infected
    Scientists are worried the ‘worst outbreak in 50 years’ has reached ‘crisis’ point

    Ten countries have been placed on high alert as experts fear it will reach Africa
    Other scientists fear this year’s outbreak will reach well beyond mainland Africa
    Two thirds of all the cases have been caused by the airborne pneumonic plague
    This can spread through coughing, sneezing or spitting and kill within 24 hours

    By Alexandra Thompson Health Reporter For Mailonline

    Published: 09:55 EST, 21 November 2017 | Updated: 09:58 EST, 21 November 2017

    The Madagascar plague death toll has risen to 195 with a jump of almost 3 per cent jump in cases in just three days, official figures reveal.

    Some 2,267 people have been struck down by the ‘medieval disease’; a rise of 64 casualties since the 2,203 cases reported last Friday, according to World Health Organization (WHO) statistics.

    International aid workers are desperately battling to contain the ‘crisis’, which has been described as the ‘worst outbreak in 50 years’ and has prompted 10 nearby African countries to be placed on high alert by the WHO.

    Experts have expressed fears doctors are so focused on controlling the plague epidemic, they may neglect to participate in nationwide vaccination programmes against polio, which may trigger an outbreak of the paralysing condition.

    Doctors and nurses may also be unable to treat plague patients if they themselves become infected, which would inevitably cause the outbreak to spiral further out of control, experts add.

    Treatment may be further stilted if the plague’s bacteria become antibiotic resistant as healthcare staff frantically over prescribe drugs in an effort to calm the disease’s spread, experts say.

    Madagascar plague death toll rises to 195 with a nearly 3% jump in cases, figures reveal
    +9

    Madagascar plague death toll rises to 195 with a nearly 3% jump in cases, figures reveal

    The deadly plague epidemic in Madagascar that is at ‘crisis’ point will trigger an outbreak of polio, according to Dr Derek Gatherer from Lancaster University, who fears aid workers will so focused on the ‘medieval disease’ they will forget nationwide efforts to prevent polio cases.

    He told MailOnline: ‘It could derail the polio vaccine campaign, which would be a setback for eradication.

    ‘If [the] Madagascan health service is bursting at its seam coping with plague, then getting the polio vaccine programme running to plan will be something of a challenge.’

    Professor Allen Cheng, an infectious disease expert at Monash University, warned of the dangers of the plague and said this year’s outbreak has been ‘unusual’ – because it is airborne.

    He wrote in a piece for The Conversation: ‘It’s not possible to eradicate plague, as it is widespread in wildlife rodents outside the sphere of human influence.’

    Plague, caused by the Yersina pestis bacteria, killed hundreds of millions of people in three devastating outbreaks, including the Plague of Justinian in the 6th century.

    It is easily treated with antibiotics in the current climate – however, experts are still concerned it will cause eternal havoc because it is constantly mutating.

    Kyle Harper, a professor of classics and letters at the University of Oklahoma, said biological evolution is ‘cunning and dangerous’.

    Professor Harper, author of The Fate of Rome: Climate, Disease, and the End of an Empire, told Project Syndicate: ‘There still is no vaccine; while antibiotics are effective if administered early, the threat of antimicrobial resistance is real.

    ‘That may be the deepest lesson from the long history of this scourge. Biological evolution is cunning and dangerous.

    ‘Small mutations can alter a pathogen’s virulence or its efficiency of transmission, and evolution is relentless.

    ‘We may have the upper hand over plague today, despite the headlines in East Africa.

    ‘But our long history with the disease demonstrates that our control over it is tenuous, and likely to be transient – and that threats to public health anywhere are threats to public health everywhere.’

    Two thirds of cases in Madagascar have been caused by pneumonic plague, which can be spread through coughing, sneezing or spitting and kill within 24 hours.

    It is strikingly different to the bubonic form, responsible for the ‘Black Death’ in the 14th century, which rocks the country each year and infects around 600 people.

    Others worry it will eventually hit the US, Europe and Britain, leaving millions more vulnerable due to how quick it can spread through populations.

    And with the plague season expected to run until April, scientists believe there will be another spike of cases in the coming months.

    Scores of doctors and nurses have already been struck down with the disease, and there are growing fears hospitals will be unable to cope if it continues its rampage.

    But local officials are adamant the outbreak is slowing down as the number of new cases is on the decline.
    Scientists are growing increasingly concerned this year’s outbreak has reached ‘crisis’ point

    Scientists are growing increasingly concerned this year’s outbreak has reached ‘crisis’ point

    HOW THE PLAGUE HAS ESCALATED

    DATE OF REPORT

    October 4

    October 9

    October 12

    October 17

    October 20

    October 26

    October 31

    November 6

    November 9

    November 14

    November 17

    November 20

    INFECTED/DEAD

    194/30

    387/45

    684/57

    849/67

    1,297/102

    1,309/93

    1,801/127

    1,947/143

    2,034/165

    2,119/171

    2,203/192

    2,267/195

    Malawi was added to the growing list of nations placed urged to brace for a potential outbreak last weekend, becoming the tenth.

    South Africa, Seychelles, La Reunion, Tanzania, Mauritius, Comoros, Mozambique, Kenya and Ethiopia have already been told to prepare.

    Paul Hunter, professor of health protection at the world-renowned University of East Anglia, was the first expert to predict the plague could travel across the sea.

    He previously told MailOnline: ‘The big anxiety is it could spread to mainland Africa, it’s not probable, but certainly possible, that might then be difficult to control.

    ‘If we don’t carry on doing stuff here, at one point something will happen and it will get out of our control and cause huge devastation all around the world.’

    Adding to the fears, he has previously warned there is a risk the disease could spread ‘globally’.

    Officials in Madagascar have warned residents not to exhume bodies of dead loved ones and dance with them because the bizarre ritual can cause outbreaks of plague

    Officials in Madagascar have warned residents not to exhume bodies of dead loved ones and dance with them because the bizarre ritual can cause outbreaks of plague

    However, he was adamant that it would be easy for an economically developed country to contain the treatable disease in its current form.

    Professor Hunter’s concerns echoed that of dozens of leading scientists, many of whom have predicted the ‘truly unprecedented’ outbreak will continue to spiral.

    Professor Jimmy Whitworth, an international health scientist at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, described it as the worst outbreak in 50 years.

    And Professor Johnjoe McFadden, a molecular geneticist at Surrey University, said that the plague is ‘scary’ and is predominantly a ‘disease of the poor’.

    Speaking exclusively to MailOnline two weeks ago, he also said: ‘It’s a crisis at the moment and we don’t know how bad it’s going to get.’

    Professor McFadden added: ‘It’s a terrible disease. It’s broadly caused more deaths of humans than anything else, it’s a very deadly pathogen.

    ‘It is a disease of poverty where humans are being forced to live very close to rats and usually means poor sewage and poor living conditions.
    Schools and universities have been shut in a desperate attempt to contain the respiratory disease, with children known to come into contact with each other more than adults, and the buildings have been sprayed to eradicate any fleas that may carry the plague

    Schools and universities have been shut in a desperate attempt to contain the respiratory disease, with children known to come into contact with each other more than adults, and the buildings have been sprayed to eradicate any fleas that may carry the plague
    HOW DID THIS YEAR’S OUTBREAK BEGIN?

    Health officials are unsure how this year’s outbreak began.

    However, some believe it could be caused by the bubonic plague, which is endemic in the remote highlands of Madagascar.

    If left untreated, it can lead to the pneumonic form, which is responsible for two thirds of the cases recorded so far in this year’s outbreak.

    Rats carry the Yersinia pestis bacteria that causes the plague, which is then passed onto their fleas.

    Forest fires drive rats towards rural communities, which means residents are at risk of being bitten and infected. Local media reports suggest there has been an increase in the number of blazes in the woodlands.

    Without antibiotics, the bubonic strain can spread to the lungs – where it becomes the more virulent pneumonic form.

    Pneumonic, which can kill within 24 hours, can then be passed on through coughing, sneezing or spitting.

    However, it can also be treated with antibiotics if caught in time.

    Madagascar sees regular outbreaks of plague, which tend to start in September, with around 600 cases being reported each year on the island.

    However, this year’s outbreak has seen it reach the Indian Ocean island’s two biggest cities, Antananarivo and Toamasina.

    Experts warn the disease spreads quicker in heavily populated areas.
    In Madagascar, a sacred ritual sees families exhume the remains of dead relatives, rewrap them in fresh cloth and dance with the corpses

    In Madagascar, a sacred ritual sees families exhume the remains of dead relatives, rewrap them in fresh cloth and dance with the corpses
    ‘A TICKING TIME BOMB WAITING TO DECIMATE THE WORLD’

    Credible experts have warned that there is no threat to the UK, however, some have warned the plague outbreak will reach the UK.

    Richard Conroy, founder of Sick Holiday, has sent a chilling warning to UK authorities – saying it’s ‘only a matter of time’ before the disease arrives on British soil.

    Mr Conroy warned it is inevitable due to the vast movement of people across the globe its inevitable that plague will continue its march.

    He told MailOnline: ‘I believe that it’s 100 per cent likely that plague will arrive in the UK once more – it’s just a question of ‘when’, not ‘if’.

    ‘And it’s not an exaggeration to say that this is a real threat – a ticking time bomb that’s waiting to decimate the world.

    ‘With the current outbreak still remaining treatable with antibiotics, however, the current risk is low.’

    ‘That’s the root cause of why it’s still a problem in the world. If we got rid of rats living close enough to mankind then we wouldn’t have the disease.’

    Professor McFadden warned in countries such as Madagascar ‘people often need to walk more than a day to receive proper medical treatment’.

    He added: ‘Fortunately in plague, it has not developed much antibiotic resistance. If that kicks in, the plague will be far, far scarier.

    ‘If you throw more and more antibiotics at patients, antibiotic resistance is more less inevitable.’

    Commenting on previous WHO figures, Professor Robin May, an infectious diseases expert at Birmingham University, told MailOnline the outbreak was ‘concerning definitely’.

    Dr Derek Gatherer, from Lancaster University’s biomedical and life-sciences department, told MailOnline the country would struggle ‘to cope’ if cases continue to spiral.

    He said: ‘If it wasn’t for the international aid coming in things, would definitely be much worse for them [Madagascar].’

    Amid concerns the plague had reached crisis point two weeks ago, the World Bank decided to release an extra $5 million (£3.8m) to control the rocketing amount of cases.

    The money will allow for the deployment of personnel to battle the outbreak in the affected regions, the disinfection of buildings and fuel for ambulances.

    WILL IT TRAVEL ON PLANES AND BOATS?

    Fears have been raised that the plague epidemic which has quickly blighted Madagascar could spread through air travel and sea trade.

    However, experts stress the risk of this is low because of the screening protocols that have been implemented to curb the outbreak.

    But, some are concerned frequent flights and ferries between the island and the mainland of Africa could cause the disease to spread.

    Dr Ashok Chopra, a professor of microbiology and immunology at the University of Texas, said the crisis in Madagascar had yet to peak.

    He told The Sun: If they are travelling shorter distances and they’re still in the incubation period, and they have the pneumonic (form) then they could spread it to other places.

    ‘We don’t want to have a situation where the disease spreads so fast it sort of gets out of control.’

    The latest World Health Organization figures come days after aid workers on the ground revealed that police are having to seize the corpses of plague victims.

    Charlotte Ndiaye, of the WHO, described the situation as being ‘terrible’, with many traditional families unwilling to part with their loved ones.

    Hundreds of families are confused about what they should do with the dead bodies, Ms Ndiaye told South African’s Mail & Guardian newspaper.

    If officials suspect someone to have died from pneumonic plague, an officer armed with chemicals will be disposed to kill any bacteria on the corpse.

    They are then placed in a sealed body bag and placed in a common grave – but the practice goes against the traditions of the Malagasy culture.

    In the culture, there is an annual celebration to honour the dead – and aid workers previously warned this would fuel an increase in cases.

    All Saints Day, otherwise known as the ‘Day of the Dead’, is a public holiday which takes place on November 1 each year. Crowds often gather at local cemeteries.
    WHY DID THE ‘GODZILA’ EL NINO TRIGGER THE WORST PLAGUE IN 50 YEARS?

    Experts also believe last year’s natural phenomenon El Niño – dubbed ‘Godzilla’, triggered an increase in rat populations in rural areas, sparking the beginning of the epidemic which has so far infected at least 1,300 people.

    Forest fires have also driven the rats and their plague-carrying fleas towards areas inhabited by humans, local reports state as a reason behind the surge in cases recorded this year.

    But Professor Matthew Bayliss, from Liverpool University’s Institute of Infection and Global Health, suggested floods and heavy rains – triggered by Cyclone Enawo, may also be to blame.

    Speaking exclusively to MailOnline, he warned the particularly aggressive El Niño of 2016 may be behind the aggressive start of this year’s outbreak, which has seen it hit two heavily populated cities for the first time, including the capital Antananarivo.

    ‘2016 was the strongest El Niño on record, and was nicknamed by some ‘Godzilla’,’ he said. Some have suggested the growing burden of climate change was to blame.

    ‘It is a change to the movements of water in the Pacific Ocean which then has an effect on climate in many parts of the world, including east and southern Africa.

    ‘Our own research suggests that El Niño played a role of the Zika outbreak, but it is also possible that the conditions have facilitated this large scale plague outbreak.’
    Experts believe the natural phenomenon dubbed ‘Godzilla’ triggered an increase in rat populations in rural areas of Madagascar, sparking the beginning of the epidemic

    Experts believe the natural phenomenon dubbed ‘Godzilla’ triggered an increase in rat populations in rural areas of Madagascar, sparking the beginning of the epidemic

    Professor Bayliss, alongside colleagues including climatologist Dr Cyril Caminade, were behind a 2014 study that found outbreaks of plague in Madagascar are linked to the naturally occurring climate event in the tropical Pacific Ocean.

    Published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, they found large outbreaks tend to coincide with the fluctuation of air pressure and sea surface temperature, partly driven by El Niño. It was based on 48 years worth of data.

    They were also behind another study, released in the same journal in December last year, which found El Niño fuelled the Zika outbreak in South America. It went on to strike more than 70 countries and caused a surge in the number of babies born with abnormally small heads.

    What is El Niño?

    El Niño, along with its little sister La Niña, are part of a recurring shift in climate that occurs as warm water shifts from one side of the Pacific to the other.

    It is caused by a shift in the distribution of warm water in the Pacific Ocean around the equator.

    Usually the wind blows strongly from east to west, due to the rotation of the Earth, causing water to pile up in the western part of the Pacific.

    This pulls up colder water from the deep ocean in the eastern Pacific.

    However, in an El Niño, the winds pushing the water get weaker and cause the warmer water to shift back towards the east. This causes the eastern Pacific to get warmer.

    But as the ocean temperature is linked to the wind currents, this causes the winds to grow weaker still and so the ocean grows warmer, meaning the El Niño grows.

    This change in air and ocean currents around the equator can have a major impact on the weather patterns around the globe by creating pressure anomalies in the atmosphere.

    ‘In that type of situation, it may be easy to forget about respiratory etiquettes,’ Panu Saaristo, the International Federation of Red Cross’ team leader for health in Madagascar, previously told MailOnline.

    Concerned health officials have also warned an ancient ritual, called Famadihana, where relatives dig up the corpses of their loved ones, may be fueling the spread.

    To limit the danger of Famadihana, rules enforced at the beginning of the outbreak dictate plague victims cannot be buried in a tomb that can be reopened.

    Instead, their remains must be held in an anonymous mausoleum. But the local media has reported several cases of bodies being exhumed covertly.

    Despite the serious risks publicised by the authorities, few in Madagascar question the turning ceremonies and dismiss the advice.
    People in Madagascar believe the ritual honours their dead relatives, who can be “turned” every five, seven or nine years
    +9

    People in Madagascar believe the ritual honours their dead relatives, who can be ‘turned’ every five, seven or nine years

    Willy Randriamarotia, the Madagascan health ministry’s chief of staff, said: ‘If a person dies of pneumonic plague and is then interred in a tomb that is subsequently opened for a Famadihana, the bacteria can still be transmitted and contaminate whoever handles the body.’

    Experts have long observed that plague season coincides with the period when Famadihana ceremonies are held from July to October.

    Last week MailOnline revealed the ‘Godzilla’ El Niño of 2016 has also been blamed for the severity of this year’s outbreak by causing freak weather conditions.

    Plague season hits Madagascar each year, and experts warn there is still six months to run – despite already seeing more than triple the amount of cases than expected.

    Usually the country sees cases of bubonic plague, which is transmitted by rat flea bites and was responsible for the 100 million fatalities from the ‘Black Death’ in the 14th century.

    If left untreated, the Yersinia pestis bacteria can reach the lungs. This is where it turns pneumonic – described as the ‘deadliest and most rapid form of plague’.

    Health officials are unsure how this year’s outbreak began, but local media report that forest fires have driven rats towards rural communities.

    This year’s worrying outbreak has seen it reach the Indian Ocean island’s two biggest cities, Antananarivo and Toamasina.
    AID WORKER ON THE GROUND REVEALS SCALE OF THE PROBLEM

    A senior aid worker on the ground in Madagascar has provided MailOnline with an exclusive snapshot of what is happening on the island.

    Panu Saaristo, the International Federation of Red Cross’ team leader, has revealed thousands of infected adults are unwilling to seek help because they are scared of hospitals.

    Mr Saaristo said the cultural stigma associated with seeking medical help was masking the true scale of the problem as it means many of those who are infected are failing to be diagnosed. At the same time there is also a growing shortage of life-saving tests which can provide a rapid diagnosis.

    Speaking about the decline in plague cases reported today by Madagascan health officials, Mr Saaristo said he feared this is not really the case and that the true scale of the problem growing. He told MailOnline: ‘No-one is happier than us, if that is indeed the case’.

    ‘Fear of the fact if they get diagnosed with the infection and the long time they would have to spend in hospital’ could be a factor in many not seeking treatment because they connect ‘hospitals to death’, he added.

    ‘People start avoiding healthcare that may lead to a situation where people start dying.’ He warned this year’s outbreak has been ‘truly unprecedented’, and is ‘not the plague as usual’.

    Figures show that at least 1,300 cases of the plague have been reported so far in this year’s outbreak, with 93 official deaths recorded. However, UN estimates state the toll could be in excess of 120.

    Mr Saaristo warned more deaths are expected unless the urgent shortage of rapid diagnostic tests is immediately addressed, as the majority of plague cases spreading through Madagascar can prove fatal in just 24 hours.

    Experts warn the disease spreads quicker in heavily populated areas. It is estimated that around 1.6 million people live in either city.

    The first death this year occurred on August 28 when a passenger died in a public taxi en route to a town on the east coast. Two others who came into contact with the passenger also died.

    This year’s outbreak is expected to dwarf previous ones as it has struck early, and British aid workers believe it will continue on its rampage.

    Olivier Le Guillou, of Action Against Hunger, previously said: ‘The epidemic is ahead of us, we have not yet reached the peak.’

    The most recent WHO figures dispute claims by Dr Manitra Rakotoarivony, Madagascar’s director of health promotion, that the epidemic is on a downward spiral.

    He previously told local radio: ‘There is an improvement in the fight against the spread of the plague, which means that there are fewer patients in hospitals.’
    THE OPENING OF THE RED CROSS’ FIRST MAKESHIFT PLAGUE CLINIC

    Concerned humanitarians have opened a clinic attached to a major hospital in the country’s capital in a desperate attempt to contain the plague outbreak.

    The International Federation of Red Cross has set-up a makeshift treatment clinic at the Andouhatapenaka Hospital in Antananarivo.

    Twenty beds are available to be used in the clinic, but it is unsure how many patients are currently being treated at the makeshift centre.

    Aid workers stress it will be able to offer 24/7 treatment to those infected, as officials continue their attempts to clamp down on cases.

    An international team of doctors are also providing supervision and training on plague treatment
    The ceremony sees the wrapped remains carried out into the open and carefully placed on a mat where they are rewrapped, or “turned” in the new shrouds
    +9

    The ceremony sees the wrapped remains carried out into the open and carefully placed on a mat where they are rewrapped, or ‘turned’ in the new shrouds
    WHAT IS THE FAMADIHANA RITUAL?

    The unique custom, originating among communities that live in Madagascar’s high plateaux, draws crowds every winter to honour the dead and to honour their mortal wishes.

    ‘It’s one of Madagascar’s most widespread rituals,’ historian Mahery Andrianahag told AFP at a festival in Ambohijafy, a village outside the capital Antananarivo.

    Relatives invite all their fellow villagers to attend the ceremony and to take part in the procession as well as musical and food festivities, but the wrapping of the body is a purely family affair.

    The dead may be ‘turned’ more than once but only every five, seven or nine years, and can be wrapped in several shrouds if different parts of the family or loved ones want to honour them.

    The customary ritual, rather than a religious rite, is a celebration accompanied by music, dancing and singing, fuelled by alcoholic drinks.

    As soon as it is over, the mats on which the bodies are laid are pulled up. Many participants store them under their mattresses in the belief it will bring them good luck, harboring bacteria.

    The WHO, which issues a new report into the outbreak every few days, also remains adamant that cases are on the ‘decline in all active areas’ across the country.

    The plague outbreak in Madagascar tends to begin in September and ends in April. Tarik Jašarević of the World Health Organization confirmed it would be no different this year.

    He said two weeks ago: ‘After concerted efforts of the Ministry of Health and partners, we are beginning to see a decline in reported cases but there are still people being admitted to hospital.

    ‘At this time we cannot say with certainty that the epidemic has subsided. We are about three months into the epidemic season, which goes on until April 2018.

    ‘Even if the recent declining trend is confirmed, we cannot rule out the possibility of further spikes in transmission between now and April 2018.’

    A WHO official added: ‘The risk of the disease spreading is high at national level… because it is present in several towns and this is just the start of the outbreak.’

    International agencies have so far sent more than one million doses of antibiotics to Madagascar. Nearly 20,000 respiratory masks have also been donated.

    However, the WHO advises against travel or trade restrictions. It previously asked for $5.5 million (£4.2m) to support the plague response, which has now been issued.

    Despite its guidance, Air Seychelles, one of Madagascar’s biggest airlines, stopped flying temporarily earlier in the month to try and curb the spread.

    Schools and universities were shut in a desperate attempt to contain the respiratory disease, with children known to come into contact with each other more than adults. The buildings have been sprayed to eradicate any fleas that may carry the plague.

    Dilys Morgan, head of emerging infections and zoonoses at Public Health England, said: ‘The risk to people in UK is very low, but the risk for international travellers to and those working in Madagascar is higher.

    ‘It is important that travellers to Madagascar seek advice before travelling and are aware of the measures they can take to reduce the risk of infection.

    ‘The UK has robust systems in place for assessing illness in persons returning from travel or work overseas.

    ‘Plague is no longer the threat to humans that it was centuries ago, as antibiotics work well if treatment is started early.’
    For Madagascans, the famadihana ceremony is an intense celebration accompanied by music, dancing and singing, fuelled by alcoholic drinks

    For Madagascans, the famadihana ceremony is an intense celebration accompanied by music, dancing and singing, fuelled by alcoholic drinks
    BUBONIC PLAGUE: WIPED OUT A THIRD OF EUROPE IN THE 14TH CENTURY

    Bubonic plague is one of the most devastating diseases in history, having killed around 100million people during the ‘Black Death’ in the 14th century.

    Drawings and paintings from the outbreak, which wiped out about a third of the European population, depict town criers saying ‘bring out your dead’ while dragging trailers piled with infected corpses.

    It is caused by a bacterium known as Yersinia pestis, which uses the flea as a host and is usually transmitted to humans via rats.

    The disease causes grotesque symptoms such as gangrene and the appearance of large swellings on the groin, armpits or neck, known as ‘buboes’.

    It kills up to two thirds of sufferers within just four days if it is not treated, although if antibiotics are administered within 24 hours of infection patients are highly likely to survive.

    After the Black Death arrived in 1347 plague became a common phenomenon in Europe, with outbreaks recurring regularly until the 18th century.

    Bubonic plague has almost completely vanished from the rich world, with 90 per cent of all cases now found in Africa.

    However, there have been a few non-fatal cases in the U.S. in recent years, while in August 2013 a 15-year-old boy died in Kyrgyzstan after eating a groundhog infected with the disease.

    Three months later, an outbreak in a Madagascan killed at least 20 people in a week.

    A year before 60 people died as a result of the infection, more than in any other country in the world.

    Outbreaks in China have been rare in recent years, and most have happened in remote rural areas of the west.

    China’s state broadcaster said there were 12 diagnosed cases and three deaths in the province of Qinghai in 2009, and one in Sichuan in 2012.

    In the United States between five and 15 people die every year as a result, mostly in western states.

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
    https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
    http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

 

 

MITCH THE BITCH MOORE SMEAR CAMPAIGN HAS FAILED 11-20-2017

It was the ancient Roman politician Cicero, who met his fate at the hands of Augustus Caesar, who gave the following political advice: “Go dirty, and go often.” If Mitch the Bitch has shown anything in his smear campaign against Judge Moore, it is the low road in politics is alive and well. Of course, Mitch the Bitch should also remember that Cicero had his hands cut off and nailed to the Senate door. This was either because he irked Marc Anthony, or more likely he really ticked off Octavian. Cicero made the mistake of saying, when Octavian was trying to become Imperator, or Emperor, he should be “lauded, applauded and then dumped.” Octavian, who really knew how to keep a grudge, never forgot, and Cicero never survived.

The link below indicates that Mitch the Bitch is showing his usual level of incompetence.

http://thegatewaypundit.com/2017/11/breaking-roy-moore-jumps-10-point-lead-predictit-market-media-assault-falls-apart/

BREAKING: Roy Moore Jumps to 10 Point Lead in PredictIt Market as Accuser Accusations Fall Apart

Judge Roy Moore is once again leading ultra-liberal Democrat Doug Jones in the Predict It Market.

Via Predict It:

Before the Washington Post story broke, Roy Moore was almost a lock to win at 89 percent in PredictIt’s Alabama Senate race prediction market. After the allegations surfaced, Moore’s odds dropped to 59 percent that day. He remained a slight favorite over Doug Jones, who also saw a significant bump on the news, until Monday when a fifth woman came forward with allegations against Moore.

On Monday afternoon, for the first time in the race, PredictIt traders had Doug Jones in the lead at 47 percent to Moore’s 38 percent.

Moore has since regained a huge lead in the PredictIt market.

As of Saturday afternoon Conservative Republican Roy Moore was back up on top of Doug Jones in the Alabama race.

** This comes after several of the accusations against Roy Moore have fallen apart.

Moore now leads in the PredictIt market 57 to 47.

That is a 19 point jump in little bit more than a week.

 

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

ARE WE LOOKING AT A GLOBAL PANDEMIC? 11-18-2017

The Madagascar Black Death Plague situation appears to be spiraling out of control. Despite the “don’t worry, be happy” mantra coming from both the CDC and the WHO, various media reports are indicating the actual status of the epidemic is worse than the spin control and information suppression efforts now underway. Obviously, the health authorities are desperately trying to prevent a panic. Obviously, they are doing what they did with SARS in China, Mers in Saudi Arabia, and with Ebola back in 2014; namely, hide the true extent of the crisis for political and economic reasons.

The following links indicate things are starting to get out of control.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/4943288/black-death-patients-are-escaping-hospital-and-refusing-treatment-sparking-fears-it-may-spread/

INFECTED FUGITIVES

Black Death patients are ESCAPING hospital and refusing treatment sparking fears it may spread

Chief of medicine at plague hospital in Madagascar says patients are scared of needles and not used to hospital treatment.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU