I will admit to a certain level of tunnel vision related to the Lake Oroville Spillways situation this weekend. While I really did think we were going to get a total collapse of the mainspillway gates, we did not. Having pondered this I have come to the conclusion my focus was too narrow. What we are really seeing here in Governor Moonbeam’s Marxist Paradise, is a generalized collapse of the “system.” The system ranging from the media, the politicians, the physical infrastructure, economics, education, and popular culture. The physical manifestation of this collapse is the crumbling roads, dams, bridges and spillways. In this scenario, it all merges together into a synergy of chaos. The chaos resulting in everything from rioting Snowflakes at UC Berkley, a spillway that hasn’t been given even the most basic repair since Neil Armstrong walked on the moon, and a political class of arrogance, hubris and truly astounding levels of incompetence. The Lake Oroville Spillways are the symbolic representation of California, in all its rotting, decaying, smug and insolent glory. I apologize to my fellow deplorables who still live there, stuffed into the hidden rural zones the Snowflakes don’t even know exist.
I have also concluded this is a systemic crisis on all levels, from pouring concrete, to educating children, to having fresh water come out of your tap. I have also decided to go back to square one and explain how I came to my conclusions.
The following links will help you understand my decision making process. The first link one that shows the global wind patterns in swirling green like a screen saver. The key thing here is the so called “pineapple express” is now headed directly into California.
The next link will show you the rainfall amounts for California and the Sacramento area in specific. They are in the 3 plus inch ranges in certain places, like the Mount Shasta Dam, which feeds directly into the Sacramento River and is currently 90 percent full, before the 3 inches of rain.
THE LINK TO THE 7 DAY WEATHER FORECAST IS HERE.
If you want to keep track of how much water is flowing into and out of the Lake Oroville dam or reservoir, here is the link to do that.
HERE IS A LINK TO HOW FULL THE VARIOUS DAMS AND RESERVOIRS ARE IN CALIFORNIA. Hmm, even though 3 inches of rain has fallen on Mount Shasta Dam in the last 24 to 36 hours, they are showing a one percent decline in the reservoir level? Seriously?
HERE ARE MY THOUGHTS ON RISK MANAGEMENT.
I took a course in risk management for a security company I worked for. Besides the OODA loop, they were real big on failure points and critical mass. They felt it would always be clear, in any after action report or analysis, the one PRECISE POINT when TSHTF and you could trace the disaster, problem whatever back to that one exact point when it hit critical mass. At that exact point, you would make a decision, or not make a decision and that was it. I remember one of the instructors saying something I have never forgotten.
THE WORST DECISION YOU CAN MAKE IS NOT TO MAKE A BAD DECISION, BUT TO NOT MAKE A DECISION AT ALL.
I will post some more, but I just wanted to give you the tools, weather forecasts, dam reservoir water flow data, reservoir full levels and wind flow charts to make up your own mind.