CALIFORNIA AND FUKUSHIMA UPDATES 2-28-2017

It now appears the ongoing California water crisis will be played out more slowly than I first thought it would. The flooding won’t be from the catastrophic failure of the main spillway at Lake Oroville, or the collapse of the Mount Shasta dam spillway. Instead, the damage will come from sustained spillway releases over a 14 to 21 day period starting as early as March 3rd, 2017. It is a fact that the snowpack totals for Oregon and California are at historic, and indeed Biblical levels, of between 150 and 200 percent of normal. The snowpack will melt. If it melts rapidly due to warm temperatures, like the warm ones predicted for the first week or so of March, then that water will flow into dams and reservoirs that are already, in many cases, over 90 plus percent full. The spillways will have to keep spilling water, and that water will flow downstream, impacting dikes that are already saturated, near overtopping, and will be breached. I am not sure if we are facing a repeat of the Great Flood of 1861 in California. We shall see.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

THE CALIFORNIA LINK IS HERE.

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CALIFORNIA’S ONGOING WATER CRISIS 2-23-2017

First, I am always happy when my doomer predictions turn out to be in error. Second, the full scope and scale of this ongoing water disaster remains to be seen. Having lived through the Great Portland floods of February, 1996, I can tell you plainly it can/will get worse in terms of flooding.

We have apparently dodged the immediate bullet in terms of the collapse of the Lake Oroville spillway, at least so far. Unfortunately, out of the 12 dams and reservoirs in California, seven of them are now over 90 percent full. The Don Pedro one, the one that flooded San Jose, was a staggering 98 percent full before they opened the spillway, again for the first time in over a decade. This led to the botched, does California do any other kind, evacuation of 50,000 people in San Jose and large-scale flooding. The fact is the foreign press, especially the British press, has done an outstanding job of covering the significant flooding damage downstream. It is a fact that multiple cities have flooded; it is a fact that multiple highways, freeways, rail lines and other roadways flooded, been cut and severely impacted evacuation routes.

It is also a fact that the snowpack levels in the Sierra Nevada mountains in Northern and Central California are at historic levels, as in between 150 percent, and 200 percent of normal. The snowpack is measured in FEET now. Obviously, this snow is going to melt, and how and when it does will be the decisive factor for California. If we get a situation like what happened in Oregon back in 1996, which was heavy rain, warm temperatures and rapid snow melt, we will have massive flooding of the prime agricultural areas in California, and major transit corridor disruption. For example, it might be a good idea to stock up on Almond milk, since most of the US Almond crop is grown in California orchards that are now either flooded, or in danger of being flooded. If that combination of factors happens at the same time, we will be looking at hundreds of billions of dollars worth of economic damage to the Agricultural industry.

At any rate, events in California are certainly, pun intended, in a fluid status at this point.

Some links here, besides to buy my fantastic, e-books, hint-hint-hint.<G>

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/index.html

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/products/rescond.pdf

http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/precipMaps.php?group=sh&img=3

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

 

THE DUNKIRK DAM 2-21-2017

I think the best explanation for avoiding total disaster over the last 72 hours at Lake Oroville is the British evacuation from Dunkirk, Belgium at the end of May, 1940. It wasn’t a “victory,” and it wasn’t a defeat, it was merely avoiding disaster. For any of you inclined to sneer at me, you need to take a look at the ongoing situation water situation in California. First, here is a link to a Briebart story that puts things into stark focus.

THE LINK IS HERE.

http://www.breitbart.com/california/…ervoirs-flood/

Oroville Lake Down 52 Feet, but 9 Upstream Reservoirs to Flood

Although the California Department of Water Resources is claiming Oroville Dam is safer because the water level has fallen by 52 feet, that feat was largely accomplished by over-filing 9 upstream reservoirs that are all expected to flood as another Pineapple Express storm-train brings 48 hours of heavy rain through Wednesday.
The last winter storm caused an evacuation of about 200,000 people downstream from Lake Oroville due to the threat of a catastrophic failure of the dam.

Although most Americans have been told that the fissure in the side of the dam has been stabilized by opening up the spillway to drain the lake, and helicopters have dropped huge bags of rocks in a crack, the water flow into Oroville Lake has been restricted by overfilling the upstream reservoirs.

The nine State Water Project and PG&E earthen reservoirs on the Upper Feather River Watershed that feed directly into Lake Oroville were already at maximum capacity prior to the new storms. This next storm is expected to bring 1-3 inches of rain in the valleys. But the Central Sierras are expecting 10 inches of snow and rain over the next 7 days.

With all the higher elevation reservoirs brimming, Supervisor Kevin Goss from mountainous Plumas County told the Sacramento Bee, “I’m watching, and I’m worried.” Flooding from the last set of storms shut down escape in all directions in his Indian Valley district.

The towns of Greenville and Taylorsville were isolated, and sewer systems for the sparsely populated county suffered extensive damage as many roads washed out. The flooding from the new storm is expected to be much more serious.

In addition,tRelatively warm temperatures of up to 49 degrees in nearby Tahoe caused snowmelt this week. With the “Snow Water Equivalents” for this time of year in the Central Sierras at 183 percent and the Southern Sierras at 205 percent; the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration warned that the mountains could see significant runoff.

The total capacity of the upstream dams is about 400,000 acre feet, or about one tenth the capacity of Lake Oroville. Last week, the upstream reservoirs were allowed to fill in an effort to take pressure of Oroville Dam. But with the dams full, virtually 100 percent of the rain and runoff from the coming storms will flow into Oroville Lake.

Despite the upstream restricting of water flow, Lake Oroville added over 1 million acre feet of water in three days during the last storm. Engineers from the California Department of Water Resources hope that a combination of releasing 800,000 acre feet of water from the lake will be enough to prevent another Oroville Dam flood.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

HERE IS A LINK TO SCOTT CAHILL’S ESSAY ON WHAT IS GOING ON. HE SAYS IT BETTER THAN I CAN, PEOPLE.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/oroville-failure-once-great-nation-scott-cahill

Oroville – a failure of a once great nation

In considering the events at Oroville, it is easy to concentrate on the negative. There is so much negative to go around.

The Principal spillway, the normal method of shedding water from the reservoir, has failed from scour, the soils being discharged downstream by the high velocity water. The Principal spillway is a controlled spillway, with gates at the dam crest to “control” the flow of water down the concrete “sluiceway” to the stream below, in Oroville’s case the Feather River. In a normal discharge, the sluiceway would conduct the flow down the grade, discharging into a plunge pool. Concrete block-like elements may serve to break and confuse the flow, the plunge pool, then absorbing the remaining energy and the water moving downstream. Oroville’s principal spillway failed because the sluiceway was undermined by voids, which became “charged” by high-pressure water introduced from the discharge through the gates. The result was a failure of the components of the sluiceway, plate slabs, and training walls were washed into the stream below, impeding flow, and causing a backup of the pool below the dam.

The emergency spillway is an uncontrolled spillway. It will pass as much water as entered the reservoir across its weir and the water is then transmitted downstream. The emergency spillway at Oroville is unlined, composed of indigenous earth and rock. Abutting rock is assessed in construction of a dam to attempt to understand its erosion characteristics. Rock of abutments is often considered “weathered” Weathered rock is rock which has been exposed at the surface and has become fractured and less sound. Sound rock is called “High Recovery” rock. Soft and fractured rock is called “Low Recovery” rock. Low recovery rock is prone to erosion. As an example, granite which is not weathered (granite is resistive to weathering) is high recovery rock. If it has seams of sands, silts, or clays, even granite can be considered low recovery. Shale is a rock that weathers rapidly. Shale abutments are often subject to erosion with high flows across these soils (rock). It is acceptable for an emergency spillway to lose soils and to be damaged in a discharge. The emergency spillway is used in special cases where there are severe flows (flooding rains or a break of a reservoir upstream for instance). Oroville’s emergency spillway was an earthen spillway. It is a weathered bedrock outcropping. Upon actuation, because of the failure of the principal spillway, it became apparent that the emergency spillway’s underlying rock was erosive, causing severe cutback, which threatened the foundation of the ogee weir. Noting this rapid evolution of the cutback, the operators opened the gates again to the failing principal spillway.

The argument has been offered that the dam has not “failed” in comments on my other writings. The failure that I refer to is the failure of elements of the dam, and the principal and emergency spillways are clearly elements of the dam. A dam failure does not require the complete loss of pool. In fact, few dam failures result in a complete loss of pool. My title, perhaps sensational, is accurate in describing the failure of these elements. A dam without a method to remove the water safely is clearly in a failure mode. Oroville Dam, as of this writing, is in a precarious situation. The spillways are in the process of failure. The losses already suffered are horrible. If we see the weir of the emergency spillway fail, the losses will be incalculable.

The Oroville Dam will probably not breech. I hope with all of my heart that it does not. Don’t ever take my criticism as some desire for catastrophe. It is just the opposite. I find the failure to maintain our elements of our infrastructure as a societal failure of a magnitude heretofore unseen. If we continue unchanged with these failures, if we fail to rebuild and maintain, we will become a third-world country. If the great United States of America is to step into the next few decades as a world power, it will be with renewed infrastructure. Without it we will fail as a nation and as a government.

We have watched as our great steel mills moved to Japan. We have watched as our great manufacturing move to Japan, then China. We have watched as our assembly move to Mexico. Through it all, we have watched. The time has come to act, or to surrender all that we once were. As a nation we have a debt of nineteen trillion dollars with a further commitment of four trillion dollars. We have a backlog of infrastructure improvement of an additional two trillion dollars. These numbers are so large that the human mind cannot comprehend them. As a nation we must satisfy this debt. We cannot save our way out of this problem. It is too large.

To survive, as a nation, and a model to the free world, we must work our way out of our smothering debt. To do this, we must have the machine of our economy operating unencumbered. Our infrastructure is a systemic element of our health as a nation. The social and societal failures that we now see as a nation are symptoms of a failing nation, a failing way of life. They will be repaired by the improvement of the whole. The despair of many is real. Men must see an avenue to success. They must be able to sustain themselves and their families.

Let us consider what it would be like if we were unlucky. Certainly, we may yet be unlucky, but what would California, the United States be like if Oroville had failed completely?

Imagine a nation and a state stretched to a fiscal breaking point encumbered with the costs of the rebuilding of a huge area of homes, schools, businesses. Imagine the mud and the cleanup. Imagine the lives lost. Remember Katrina, if you think that the white knights would come to fix all that is wrong, we have allowed ourselves to become something less than we once were. I believe that such a failure would be the first loss in a digression of our standard of living, it would certainly be so for the areas in the inundation zone, crops lost from need of irrigation, drinking water rationed, water quality reduced.

Some choose to defend the operation of a near-failing dam. I weigh the hurt feelings of a few men who failed to maintain, against all of the death and destruction. I wish that all could be happy and nice. It can not. Perhaps, many people will have to die to change the minds of men. There are so many dams that are balanced, waiting on that one storm. Let it be a lesser dam, a lesser population, if some must die to get the nation to hear this cry. Let it be faces that I do not know, voices that I have never heard, so that my dreams are not haunted for the rest of my life.

Blame must be assigned when all is lost, as it certainly must be. When it happens, that tragedy, it will not be the fault of the operators of Oroville. It will not be the failure of the state or the nation. It will not be the failure of the men who refused to fund maintenance.

It will be the failure of one man only, one who did what he could, but failed. It will be the failure only of one who cared too deeply. When it happens, as it must, It shall be my failure, and my failure alone.

Scott Cahill

DODGING THE BULLET SORT OF 2-20-2017

I will admit to a certain level of tunnel vision related to the Lake Oroville Spillways situation this weekend. While I really did think we were going to get a total collapse of the mainspillway gates, we did not. Having pondered this I have come to the conclusion my focus was too narrow. What we are really seeing here in Governor Moonbeam’s Marxist Paradise, is a generalized collapse of the “system.” The system ranging from the media, the politicians, the physical infrastructure, economics, education, and popular culture. The physical manifestation of this collapse is the crumbling roads, dams, bridges and spillways. In this scenario, it all merges together into a synergy of chaos. The chaos resulting in everything from rioting Snowflakes at UC Berkley, a spillway that hasn’t been given even the most basic repair since Neil Armstrong walked on the moon, and  a political class of arrogance, hubris and truly astounding levels of incompetence. The Lake Oroville Spillways are the symbolic representation of California, in all its rotting, decaying, smug and insolent glory. I apologize to my fellow deplorables who still live there, stuffed into the hidden rural zones the Snowflakes don’t even know exist.

I have also concluded this is a systemic crisis on all levels, from pouring concrete, to educating children, to having fresh water come out of your tap. I have also decided to go back to square one and explain how I came to my conclusions.

The following links will help you understand my decision making process. The first link one that shows the global wind patterns in swirling green like a screen saver. The key thing here is the so called “pineapple express” is now headed directly into California.

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-105.91,38.00,736

The next link will show you the rainfall amounts for California and the Sacramento area in specific. They are in the 3 plus inch ranges in certain places, like the Mount Shasta Dam, which feeds directly into the Sacramento River and is currently 90 percent full, before the 3 inches of rain.

http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/precipMaps.php?group=sac&img=3

THE LINK TO THE 7 DAY WEATHER FORECAST IS HERE.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-121.20302736463844&lat=39.786464786105626#.WKtMjm8rLm7

If you want to keep track of how much water is flowing into and out of the Lake Oroville dam or reservoir, here is the link to do that.

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryF?ORO

HERE IS A LINK TO HOW FULL THE VARIOUS DAMS AND RESERVOIRS ARE IN CALIFORNIA. Hmm, even though 3 inches of rain has fallen on Mount Shasta Dam in the last 24 to 36 hours, they are showing a one percent decline in the reservoir level? Seriously?

http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/products/rescond.pdf

 

HERE ARE MY THOUGHTS ON RISK MANAGEMENT.

I took a course in risk management for a security company I worked for. Besides the OODA loop, they were real big on failure points and critical mass. They felt it would always be clear, in any after action report or analysis, the one PRECISE POINT when TSHTF and you could trace the disaster, problem whatever back to that one exact point when it hit critical mass. At that exact point, you would make a decision, or not make a decision and that was it. I remember one of the instructors saying something I have never forgotten.

THE WORST DECISION YOU CAN MAKE IS NOT TO MAKE A BAD DECISION, BUT TO NOT MAKE A DECISION AT ALL.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

 

I will post some more, but I just wanted to give you the tools, weather forecasts, dam reservoir water flow data, reservoir full levels and wind flow charts to make up your own mind.

 

OROVILLE MAIN SPILLWAY FAILING 2-19-2017

Well, it looks like the view the “sunlight reflection” of a couple days ago was really a breach in the sidewall of the main spillway. The main spillway is like a H with the main water flow groove, and a side wall on both sides to keep the water flowing down the central channel.

If I understand what I am seeing here, up above the original “hole,” back towards the spillway top, on the left side, you had a FAILURE of some of the concrete wall sections. This allowed the water to DIVERT from the main “channel, and shift left OUTSIDE THE CONCRETE CHANNEL, AND START ERODING, DIRECTLY ERODING THE DIRT THAT IS RIGHT NEXT TO THE SPILLWAY. The situation is you now have TWO SEPARATE DOWNSTREAM WATER FLOWS: THE FIRST ONE INSIDE THE SPILLWAY AND THE SECOND ONE EXITING THE WALL BREACH AND ERODING AWAY THE HILLSIDE, OR EVEN GOING BACK UNDER THE MAIN SPILLWAY AND CAUSING FURTHER DAMAGE TO THE CONCRETE SLABS ETC.

Yep, it is now a done deal in my opinion. The failure of the main spillway is now INEVITABLE. It will eventually fail, all the way from the sidewall breach, the one between/below the power lines, and the top of the spillway.
The erosion undercut going back up towards the spillway top, on the left side first, a day or so ago, and IT IS LIKELY CUTTING UNDER THE ENTIRE WIDTH OF THE MAIN SPILLWAY AND WILL LIKE CAUSE A SEPARATE BREACH ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE SPILLWAY WALL.

The whore media and politicians will spin this as best as they can, but we are going to see criminal charges out of this down the road. The failure to issue a mandatory evacuation order is an act of moral cowardice, cynical political opportunism and will destroy California for a generation. Nowski, amigo I am saying the state of Jefferson is going to be born out of this, since the hatred of the deplorables for that SCUMBAG GOVERNOR MOONBEAM HAS DONE TO THEM WILL HAVE NO LIMIT.

The main highway/freeway is I-5 and over it comes the tens of thousands of trucks that supply the “I-5 Corridor.” The rail lines are also linked to the I-5 corridor and carry every thing the entire coastal PNW, Portland, Seattle need.

You do have options, 101 Coastal Highway, 395 through Eastern Oregon, but they are not credible for mass truck transit.

In my opinion, the level of economic damage to the Agriculture Industry will be massive. It is not a case where you “can’t” get citrus fruit, or fresh vegetables, it will be a case of it will cost you more to import citrus from Florida, Texas or Arizona.

And I will say again to those of you who somehow think Governor Moonbeam is going to skate on this, especially if San Francisco Bay is full of floating corpses, it ain’t going to happen. The way the game works is the media and political whores get to do whatever they want until they screw up so bad people die. At that point, the larger system, the NWO , the globalists are quite willing to throw a mid level player like Governor Moonbeam to the howling wolves, if it will keep their butts out of the wolf pit.

Nope, Moonbeam is road kill because the real “they” the 300 families that rule the world, won’t hesitate to slit his throat to keep the mob happy. I live with Snowflakes, Nowski and when the Snowflakes lose one third, to one half of their drinking water, they are going to chop Moonbeam into tiny pieces.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

HERE ARE SOME LINKS TO CONSIDER.

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=rgx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no

Thanks to Shane from timebomb for the pic.  THE GOOD NEWS ABOUT NUCLEAR DESTRUCTION!
WHAT TO DO IF A NUCLEAR DISASTER IS IMMINENT!
When An ill Wind Blows From Afar! (O

shanes-spillway-wall-breach-pic-1

mainspillway-wall-breach-and-erosion

maxwell-california-flooding-2-17-2017-2

 

The above pictures show what I think, as well as Shane does, happened. The second picture shows the actual damage. The third picture shows flooding, as of 2-17-2017 at Maxwell, California downstream from the Oroville dam and spillway. We are already getting widespread reports of flooding downstream from both the Shasta Dam, which feeds into the Sacramento River, and the Oroville Spillway, which feeds into the Feather River.

HERE AT THE END OF CALIFORNIA 2-16-2017

We are now at the same point Frodo was in after Gollum bit his ring finger off. Frodo fled out the collapsing walkway on Mount Doom and ended up on a rock platform surrounded by molten lava. And so here we are, today, now and at the end of California. The end of modern life in this farce known as the Marxist Republic of California. The place where illusion is reality, and the place where generations of bad decisions will finally unleash the consequences long feared. Here we are, amigos and neither God nor man will save us from our folly.

Here is my brief assessment of exactly what the real issues are related to the imminent failure of the Oroville Dam and the end of modern California.

The only reason the so called “emergency spillway” was put in was to check off a box on a piece of paper on a clipboard. Further, it was NEVER INTENDED TO BE USED, EVER, AT ALL. Now, when you put in an emergency system that you never intend to use, and thus rely on a backup system that is DEFECTIVE AND KNOWN TO BE DEFECTIVE I REGARD THAT AS ACTIONABLE. It is CRIMINAL OFFENSE AND IF PEOPLE DIE DUE TO THE FAILURE OF THAT EMERGENCY SYSTEM WE ARE LOOKING AT NEGLIGENT HOMICIDE OR MANSLAUGHTER.

There are three, and only three, questions here and now.

Question one is will the emergency/secondary spillway system be used, or will the water level rise to 901 feet and flow. The answer to that is YES IT WILL. It is INEVITABLE FOR THE WATER TO REACH 901 FEET AND THEN INEVITABLE TO FLOW.
Check disaster box one.

Question two is will the so called “emergency spillway” FAIL WHEN QUESTION ONE HAPPENS. THE ANSWER IS YES IT WILL BECAUSE IT ALREADY DID FAIL, OR NEAR FAIL, WHEN “THEY” TRIED IT THE FIRST TIME.

QUESTION THREE is what will happen when one and two happen. The answer is a 30 foot high wall of water will roar down the Feather River Valley towards Oroville, Sacramento, and San Francisco Bay. The entire Southern California region will lose 25 to 50 percent of its fresh water supply. This means both water volume and water pressure will fall AND THAT MEANS REDUCED FIRE FIGHTING ABILITY IN LOS ANGLES.

So, anybody here pick the above apart. Please show Doomer Doug where I am WRONG in what I have written above?

BLACK SWAN EVENT WARNING! THE DAM/SPILLWAY WILL FAIL. THE FAILURE WILL HAVE THE ABOVE RESULTS.

The political results of that will be devastating for the liberals. NO matter how they spin it, they will be held accountable. When the liberals can’t get water out of their taps they won’t blame Trump, they will blame Governor Moonbeam.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

HERE ARE SOME MORE LINKS DESCRIBING THE ONGOING SITUATION AT OROVILLE SPILLWAY AND DAM WALL.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CgBW09wd5so

HERE IS A LINK TO A FACEBOOK VIDEO, POSSIBLY FAKE NEWS, BUT MAYBE NOT, WHERE CALIFORNIA NATIONAL GUARD TROOPS TELL A WOMAN THEY ARE SETTING UP 180 MILES SOUTH OF SACRAMENTO FOR EVACUATED PEOPLE.

 

AND HERE IS THE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE IMMEDIATE AREA.

https://weather.com/forecast/regional/news/california-record-wet-water-year-forecast-feb2017

THE AREA IS EXPECTING 11 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 6 DAYS OR SO. GAME OVER! 901 FEET LEVEL REACHED. EMERGENCY/SECONDARY SPILLWAY STARTS FLOWING.

BYE, BYE LOS ANGELES 2-15-2017

UPDATE: I AM NOW OPENLY SAYING THAT WE WILL SEE A CATASTROPHIC MAIN SPILLWAY COLLAPSE AT THE OROVILLE DAM IN THE 36 TO 48 HOUR TIME FRAME FROM NOW. THIS IS FRIDAY FEBRUARY 17TH, 2017 PLUS OR MINUS ONE OR TWO DAYS: FROM 2-17-2017 TO 2-19-2017. I AM BASING THIS ON THE LARGE CRACK THAT HAS NOW APPEARED IN THE MAIN SPILLWAY ABOVE THE WATER FLOW. I AM NOW CONVINCED, ESPECIALLY WHEN THE INBOUND RAIN/SNOW STORM ARRIVES AT 10 PM TONIGHT, FEBRURARY 15TH, 2017, THAT IT WILL FAIL. FURTHER, THE AUTHORITIES ARE NOW “RAMPING DOWN” WATER FLOW ON THE MAIN SPILLWAY, WHICH THEY WOULDN’T DO UNLESS THEY FEARED IMMEDIATE/IMMINENT COLLAPSE. CALIFORNIA IS GOING DOWN. IT IS THE END OF LIFE AS WE KNOW IT IN MODERN AMERICA. THEY WILL TRY TO BLAME TRUMP. THEY WILL FAIL. THIS PELE, POLITICAL EXTINCTION LEVEL EVENT, IS OWNED BY THE LEFTISTS. FEEL FREE TO SNEER AT ME COME MONDAY IF I AM WRONG, BUT AT LEAST YOU WILL BE ALIVE TO DO SO. DEAD BODIES FLOATING IN SAN FRANCISCO BAY ARE NOT BEYOND THE PALE HERE. GOVERNOR MOONBEAM, JERRY BROWN, WILL END UP HANGING FROM THE RAFTERS LIKE MUSSOLINI DID. SON OF MAN WARN THE PEOPLE OF WHAT IS TO COME AND IF THEY LAUGH AT YOU IT IS ON THEM, BUT IF YOU DON’T TELL THEM, IT IS ON YOU. CONSIDER YOURSELF WARNED. I THOUGHT WE HAD A WEEK OR MORE BEFORE THE COLLAPSE, BUT IT HAS HAPPENED FASTER THAN I THOUGHT IT WOULD.

 

We may very well be looking at the type of “Black Swan” Event people have been talking about for some time here in the USA. The ongoing crisis at the Lake Oroville Dam, caused by a level of arrogance, ignorance, and governmental corruption as to beggar description, may trigger a Black Swan event that will redefine modern American life, much as Pompeii did ancient Rome. One thing for sure is the reality is unfolding rapidly now.

I have been watching the events over the last 72 hours with increasing concern. The reason for that is we are now impaling ourselves on several hard facts that will only get worse. The first fact is the dam is set for an automatic overflow at 901 feet, using the newly renamed “secondary spillway, or the one that used to be called the emergency spillway. The same emergency spillway that was never intended to be used at any time since 1968. What we have here is a backup system that was defective from the first day the dam was opened back in 1968. It is like an emergency car brake that can’t work, ever. I am talking clinically insane here, people. At any rate, catastrophic failure is GUARANTEED any time the water level reaches 901 feet because that means water will flow over the lip. The water will not flow onto a concrete surface, with all dirt, trees, shrubs and rocks removed, allowing the water to flow directly into the Feather River Valley. Oh no, I know what will happen because the original evacuation was called because in less than 38 minutes “they” had to reopen the original spillway, or else have a wall of water 30 feet high head towards Sacramento. Again, this is a known quantity. It happened when they did it the first time, and it will happen when/if they do it again. And it will happen again whenever the lake level reaches 901 feet. After “draining” the lake it is now at 875 feet, more or less. And once the new rain storm hits, which will start at 10 pm tonight, the lake will start to fill up, and sooner or later reach 901 feet and the whole farce will start all over again.

This takes care of the so-called “emergency” spillway, which was never intended to be used, and will FAIL the next time it is used, just like it FAILED the first time it was used. And that is that. Now, the other spillway, the main one, has been in full flow mode, for some time now. It will drain any water in the lake above, oh say 860 feet. It will be matched with whatever inflow heads into the lake from rain/snow etc. The figure of 100,000 cubic feet per second is used for outflow. What “they” try to keep quiet is the inflow is in the 27,000 to 37,000 cubic feet per second-rate BEFORE ANY MORE RAIN/SNOW FALLS. The inflow rate will increase after 10 pm Weds, 2-15-2017 as the next rain/snow storm hits.

What all of this means is not rocket science. You have a non-emergency emergency spillway system. You have a main spillway system that is incapable of fully draining the lake. You have a lake that will repeatedly reach the 901 foot level, and will repeatedly overflow down the dysfunctional “emergency” spillway. You also have the main power plant blocked and that also reduces outflow by some 13,000 cubic feet per second. It also means there is no power being generated at the dam. Finally, what all of the above means is the dam/spillway failure is now INEVITABLE. I have no idea of when it will fail. I have no idea of how much damage, or people killed will be. I will only tell you, given the ABSOLUTES ABOVE, a 3o foot wall of water is going to roar down the Feather River Valley towards Sacramento at some unknown point in the near future. Unless it stops snowing/raining for the next six months, which isn’t going to happen, or unless the engineers can perform a miracle, which also isn’t going to happen, the lake level will reach 901 feet, overflow the spillway and that will be that.

Once that happens, the doom of Southern California will be upon us. It is a fact that Los Angeles gets a minimum of 25 percent, to a maximum of 50 percent, of its fresh water supplies from storage, dams, pipes and pumping systems located in Central and Northern California. When Lake Oroville breaches, LA will lose both water volume and water pressure. It will obviously have some storage ability in LA, but not much. Once the storage tanks are dry, and once the water pressure falls, not only in the residential and commercial water pipes, but in the FIRE SYSTEM HYDRANTS AND PIPES, it will be all over. Once the LA Fire Department loses water pressure, it will lose the ability to pump water. It will lose the ability to fight fires citywide; likely county-wide also. Black Swan, indeed.

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU