“THEY START TO GET IT” 11 -24-2015

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

The following is from a recent Newspaper article from the New York Times News Service dated November 23rd, 2015. It was in a section called, “Focus On.” We got ourselves a terror civil war between Al Qaida and ISIS. We also have a centrally planned global terror campaign by ISIS. Yep, I first posted this thread on November 17th. It is nice the powers that be have finally figured out what was obvious to Doomer Doug nearly one week ago.

“The recent attacks in Paris and Beirut and the downing of a Russian airliner in Egypt were the first results of a centrally planned terrorism campaign by a wing of the Islamic State group’s leadership that oversees “external” targets, according to US and European intelligence officials.

THE FATAL ERROR IN INTELLIGENCE GATHERING

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

I consider myself to be an amateur intelligence analyst just like the CIA has. The following statements are  my musings on the fatal error Obama has made regarding Militant Islam in general, and ISIS in particular.

The single worst mistake one can make in intelligence analysis is to slant factual reports in order to gain results that are acceptable to political masters. It is the fitting of actual, raw, accurate intelligence data to make it agree with preconceived ideas that usually proves lethal. Rumsfield gets the credit, but I think the actual quote is from somebody else: “It isn’t what you know that kills you, it is what you think you know that isn’t true that kills you.”

We have many historical examples of where disaster struck because intelligence analysts were ordered not to take the raw data seriously. This includes the 1968 TET offensive, where our one intelligence analyst predicted the VC attack, while everybody else said it wouldn’t happen. It includes the Dutch and Belgians refusing to believe the German pilot carrying attack documents, the one who got lost in the fog and crashed in Belgium in January of 1940. It includes the Union General who refused to believe the Confederate courier dropped Lee’s orders. He rejected their accuracy when the Union Army found them.

Yep, of Obama’s many, many sins the fact he has castrated the Intelligence agencies is the worst. OBAMA HAS TOLD THEM THE RESULTS HE EXPECTS WHATEVER THE FACTS SAY IS THE REAL SITUATION.THIS EXPLAINS WHY THE USA HAS BEEN SURPRISED TIME AFTER TIME BY MILITANT ISLAM.

The article is below. It was posted by by Dennis Olson, the self described “Chief Curmudgeon,” at timebomb.

http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?479422-DOD-analysts-told-to-cut-it-out-on-ISIS-warnings-IG-probe-expands

Emails show DOD analysts told to ‘cut it out’ on ISIS warnings; IG probe expands
Catherine Herridge

By Catherine Herridge Published November 23, 2015 FoxNews.com

Analysts at U.S. Central Command were pressured to ease off negative assessments about the Islamic State threat and were even told in an email to “cut it out,” Fox News has learned – as an investigation expands into whether intelligence reports were altered to present a more positive picture.

Fox News is told by a source close to the CENTCOM analysts that the pressure on them included at least two emails saying they needed to “cut it out” and “toe the line.”

Separately, a former Pentagon official told Fox News there apparently was an attempt to destroy the communications. The Pentagon official said the email warnings were “not well received” by the analysts.

Those emails, among others, are now in the possession of the Pentagon inspector general. The IG’s probe is expanding into whether intelligence assessments were changed to give a more positive picture of the anti-ISIS campaign.

The former Pentagon official said there were “multiple assessments” from military intelligence and the CIA regarding the “rapid rise” of ISIS in Iraq and North Africa in the year leading up to the group’s territory grab in 2014.

Similar intelligence was included in the President’s Daily Brief, or PDB – the intelligence community’s most authoritative product — during the same time period. Yet the official, who was part of the White House discussions, said the administration kept “kicking the can down the road.” The official said there was no discussion of the military involvement needed to make a difference.

The IG probe started earlier this year amid complaints that information was changed to make ISIS look more degraded than it really was.

Among the complaints is that after the U.S. air campaign started in August 2014, the metrics to measure progress changed. They were modified to use measures such as the number of sorties and body counts — a metric not used since the Vietnam War — to paint a more positive picture.

Critics say this “activity-based approach” to tracking the effectiveness of strikes does not paint a comprehensive picture of whether ISIS is being degraded and contained.

The New York Times first reported on Sunday that the IG investigation was expanding and adding more investigators, and that the office had taken possession of a trove of documents and emails as part of that probe.

Asked about the report, House intelligence committee Chairman Devin Nunes, R-Calif., said Sunday that his committee and others are involved in the investigation.

“We heard from a lot of whistle-blowers and other informants who have given us information. And not just … related strictly to the latest allegations,” Nunes said on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

Citing the renewed focus on ISIS after the Paris terror attacks, he added: “So the president to have a successful strategy is going to admit that they’ve got it wrong and they need to relook at a larger strategy that deals with north Africa, the Middle East, all the way over to Afghanistan, Pakistan, and then work closely with our NATO allies with what appears to be a command and control structure that ISIS has created successfully in Europe.”

President Obama, speaking at a press conference in Malaysia over the weekend, said he expects to “get to the bottom” of whether ISIS intelligence reports were altered – and has told his top military officials as much.

“One of the things I insisted on the day I walked into the Oval Office was that I don’t want intelligence shaded by politics. I don’t want it shaded by the desire to tell a feel-good story,” Obama said Sunday. “I believe that the Department of Defense and all those who head up our intelligence agencies understand that, and that I have made it repeatedly clear to all my top national security advisors that I never want them to hold back, even if the intelligence or their opinions about the intelligence, their analysis or interpretations of the data contradict current policy.”

At the same time, he said, “As a consumer of this intelligence, it’s not as if I’ve been receiving wonderfully rosy, glowing portraits of what’s been happening in Iraq and Syria over the last year and a half. … [I]t feels to me like, at my level at least, we’ve had a pretty clear-eyed, sober assessment.”

The president’s call for a thorough investigation was greeted with cynicism by those involved in the 2014 intelligence assessments, since the administration did not act on the earlier raw intelligence that painted a dire picture of developments, especially in Iraq.

Catherine Herridge is an award-winning Chief Intelligence correspondent for FOX News Channel (FNC) based in Washington, D.C. She covers intelligence, the Justice Department and the Department of Homeland Security. Herridge joined FNC in 1996 as a London-based correspondent.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015…l?intcmp=hpbt1

 

DUELING TERRORISTS 11-20-2015

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

It has just occurred to me, since Al Qaida is now claiming responsibility for the Mali attacks, we have entered deep do do phase three. It is bad enough ISIS has launched a global terror campaign. It is becoming clear Al Qaida, in order to stay credible, save face etc, will start launching its own terror attacks in response to ISIS attacks.

Dueling banjos from the movie “Deliverance,” now becomes dueling terror attacks. Yep, the blood is going to really start flowing now.

ISIS has now fully claimed the Sunni Jihad mantle. They will not tolerate any other Sunni terror group stealing their thunder. The Taliban and Al Qaida have no place in ISIS’S restored Sunni Caliphate. This means in addition to the ongoing ISIS war against “crusaders, infidels, Jews and others,” they will continue to try and crush the Sunni Militant Islam opposition. Obviously, Iran, Hezzbollah, and the Shia in general are still open season for ISIS.

PREPARE YOURSELF FOR ISIS 11-19-2015

belowDoomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

I think it is now clear, at least to me, my previous post on the ongoing ISIS terror campaign correctly analyzed the facts about what ISIS is now doing. The link to the ongoing debate over at timebomb is below. The following are my comments, specifically to one of the thread posters who doesn’t quite get what I do. I am an amateur intelligence analyst who looks at the facts, what is now going on, and comes to conclusions about them. The conclusions are based on facts, with my analysis based on logic, reason and knowledge. People can certainly disagree with my conclusions, or dismiss it for their own reasons. Still, given the number of ISIS attacks, the wide geographical range of these attacks, I think the facts speak for themselves. I also think the fact multiple ISIS terror operatives have been caught in Central America, or coming over Obama’s wide open southern border, is a clear indication ISIS is trying to launch a terror campaign. For example, the video now circulating of the suicide bomber planning to strike New York City is what I am talking about.

I am not sure where this idea Muslim terrorists are morons came from. Muslim terrorists have shown a level of flexibility, as well as the ability to adapt to counter terror attacks, that I find disturbing. Whatever Militant Islam is, it is isn’t incompetent, or given to making many mistakes. This doesn’t mean they don’t screw up from time to time. It does mean they learn from their mistakes, adapt, overcome and implement changed tactics at a level that means they are not to be taken lightly. Further, as the “Victory at Sea,” TV history of the US Navy in World War Two puts it, “The American sailors fought to live off of Okinawa, and Japan’s suicide bombers fought to die.” I am telling you quite plainly Militant Islam is generating thousands of true believers who use death as a military tactic. Frankly, the job of Western counter intelligence agencies is very difficult in trying to stop people who want to die executing terror attacks. Lindbergh, the famous aviator, once said, “The bomber always gets through.” He was correct. Despite the massive effort now underway in the West to prevent terror attacks, the truth is some are going to make it. After all, the blunt reality of anti-terror efforts is we have to stop 100 out of 100 terror attacks. All Militant Islam has to do is get one out of every 100 attacks past the defense. Paris showed they can do that with little problem. The firefight today also shows the level of commitment Militant Islam is willing to make.

http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?478994-ISIS-PLANS-TO-UNLEASH-TERROR-CAMPAIGN-TARGETING-CHRISTMAS-SHOPPING-11-16-2015/page2&highlight=

 

GG, the French just engaged in a massive firefight with ISIS terrorists in Paris, France. The Germans just narrowly avoided a terror strike in the Hannover main train station. I am looking at the facts and making informed analysis based on what is now happening. I still don’t see how, with all this now going on, you can say ISIS hasn’t launched a coherent, planned terror campaign. I just don’t. You get to think whatever you want, but the FACTS indicate my analysis is correct.

I think GG still doesn’t quite get what we do here at timebomb2000.com

Timebomb has been around for over two decades at this point. The posts are divided into posts about facts, documented facts on a wide variety of subjects. The other type of post is what this thread does. This thread is analysis based on known facts. We have a long history of posts commenting on, speculating on, analyzing what the facts mean. This thread is in a long tradition of doing that. I listed the facts, the multiple, ongoing terror attacks by ISIS and speculated they mean ISIS has indeed formally launched a terror offensive against both Europe and the USA. Whatever GG thinks about it, it is clear the pace, scope and geographic scale of the ongoing ISIS terror attacks is taking things to the next level.

ISIS has now launched terror attacks in Yemen, Lebanon, France, Syria, Iraq, and likely Turkey in the last 30 days. Sorry, GG but to me that means they have launched a terror offensive. Given the fact that multiple, repeat multiple, ISIS terror operatives have now been CONFIRMED to be trying to come over our southern border, as well as Central America, I think it is a reasonable conclusion, solely based on the FACTUAL EVIDENCE ISIS is now coming after us here in America. GG, you may not think that is the case, and you get to do that. However, you do not get to call me a moron for coming to the informed opinion I have come to, again based on the facts.

I think several other posters, here at timebomb, like Raganork for example, are pretty much on the same page as I am.

So, gang prepare yourself for an ISIS inspired, planned and execute TERROR CAMPAIGN. I am talking about multiple, sustained, ongoing individual terror attacks that are part of a PATTERN OF TERROR. Again, I am talking about a military campaign based on terror. Think what you want, believe what you want, but this is what I personally see happening now by ISIS.

ISIS PLANS TO LAUNCH TERROR CAMPAIGN TARGETING CHRISTMAS SEASON 11-17-2015

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

This is the link to the thread I started over at http://www.timebomb2000.com

http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?478994-ISIS-PLANS-TO-UNLEASH-TERROR-CAMPAIGN-TARGETING-CHRISTMAS-SHOPPING-11-16-2015

This is the link to the story about an ambulance full of C-4 being found in Germany at the stadium Merkel planned to sit in and watch the soccer game. Of course, the powers that be are now denying there were any explosives in the ambulance, but that is to be expected. I seriously doubt if Merkel would admit Hanover nearly saw two separate bombings given her refugee policies. The C-4 was there.

http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?479041-Ambulance-with-explosives-found-at-German-soccer-game

 

 

ISIS PLANS TO UNLEASH TERROR CAMPAIGN TARGETING CHRISTMAS SHOPPING 11-16-2015

DOOMER DOUG is starting this thread, not to freak everybody out, but to issue a clear warning about what the Paris Massacre indicates is about to happen. I think ISIS has now decided to launch a general military campaign with the goal of unleashing as much terror as they can. I believe they are specifically targeting the Christmas shopping season for several reasons.

The first reason is economic. Bin Laden stated after 9-11-2001 one of the key goals was a general economic dislocation, combined with a massive increase in military spending designed to bankrupt the USA. Bin Laden has been very effective in that one aspect of his total ideology. The second reason is to directly respond to the ongoing military attacks now being done against ISIS in both Syria and Iraq. ISIS has concluded they can launch small scale, in terms of actual people and supplies, terror attacks deep behind enemy lines. The “war against ISIS, ” is no longer “over there,” it is now over here. The third reason is to discredit the Western governments and potentially cause them to withdraw from the war against ISIS.

If some of you think that isn’t a realistic policy for ISIS, you should realize the government in Spain withdrew after the terror attacks in Madrid. We have badly underestimated ISIS. We failed to realize they will attempt to use terror and political means to gain military victory. After all, a few pounds of C-4 explosive, a few AK-47 rifles with 2,000 rounds of ammo combined with a few RPGs is a CREDIBLE TERROR WEAPON SYSTEM.

Yep, while I hope I am wrong, my gut feeling is ISIS is going to come directly after the USA and Russia with terror strikes against soft, domestic targets. Again, three guys with AK-47s, 1,000 rounds of ammo and a suicide vest with a pound of C-4 can attack any school, mall, church, or sports stadium in the USA with impunity, and at will. The system will not realize there is a problem until the gunfire starts.

Sorry gang, but the reality is ISIS has clearly made a tactical military decision to use terror as an means to achieve political goals. I will also note I gave the specific example of Spain withdrawing as a direct result of the Madrid terror attacks. It is a simple fact ISIS is evolving its tactics and strategy as a result of the massive military strikes on it in both Iraq and Syria. It is clear to me, at least it is, ISIS has taken the next step and now plans a TERROR CAMPAIGN to get the political result it wants but can’t get from direct military means. I am telling you quite bluntly ISIS held the meetings, deployed the people and supplies to do just that.

The other issue is individual lone wolf Muslims acting on their own.

Okay, I thought I made myself clear here but Greenreptile<G> didn’t get it.

In the last 30 days ISIS has done the following.
1. They shot down a Russian jet, at altitude, using a very sophisticated anti-air missile.
2. They shot at a British jet and barely missed, 1,000 yards I think.
3. They set off a suicide bomb in Beirut, Lebanon against Hezzbollah.
4. They, in my opinion, were involved in the Turkish “peace rally,” attack.
5. They unleashed 3 armed teams in Paris, France and killed 130 innocent civilians.
6. They have been openly stating they want individual Muslims to join in the terror fun as lone wolves.

GreenGekko, this tells me ISIS is now fully operational in the asymetrical warfare style at this time. It tells me they have DECIDED to respond to the ongoing attacks by Russia, the US etc with terror attacks, deep behind enemy lines, specifically targeting “soft civilian targets.” If ISIS had not done this, GG, THEN WE WOULDN’T HAVE SEEN FIVE SEPARATE ISIS SPONSORED TERROR ATTACKS IN THE LAST 30 DAYS.

If people want to label this under the “woo woo” category this is fine with me. On the other hand, the FACTS are saying my title is spot on regarding what ISIS is now planning and doing. So, this means I fully expect ISIS to continue doing what it has been doing in the last month or so. I fully expect them to hit as hard as they can, over as wide a geographical area as they can, and specifically to target the countries now engaged in military attacks on them in both Iraq and Syria. Now, if people want to label this “hysteria,” or “fear mongering,” I have no problem with that. On the other hand, I just look at what ISIS is both doing and saying and have come to the conclusion is we are now dealing with an ISIS military campaign based on terror tactics. ISIS is no longer capable of moving or supplying its troops in either Syria or Iraq due to the ongoing air attacks. What they can do, and have decided to do, is start hitting below the belt at soft targets in those countries attacking it.

Yep, I am talking about a coherent, planned military campaign involving terror attacks. ISIS has the assets in place, in terms of people and supplies, to give the West one hell of a Christmas season if they chose to. Personally, it is impossible to stop a lone wolf style of attack beforehand. I also left out the multiple, in my opinion, lone wolf attacks that have happened in the USA the last few weeks. The gentleman in California was executing a TERROR ATTACK, despite what the mainstream media says about it.

People are free to take this thread and my opinions with as much salt as they wish to. Still, ISIS has clearly taken things to the next level with the Paris attacks. I see no reason why ISIS will back off now. I see no reason for them to not continue with their well planned, well supplied and well executed terror campaign. Of course, we can expect the powers that be to suppress as many lone wolf attacks, like the several that have already happened, as they can. Housecarl is correct. The attacks if they happen in sustained, wide ranging, multiple attack mode will be nearly impossible to keep quiet. I am sure “they” will try to do so. ISIS is not just a military group trying to establish a restored Caliphate. ISIS has a political agenda. I am saying the terror campaign is dual purpose. The first is a military response to being attacked by both Russia and the USA. The second is a political ideology designed to change Western policy, unnerve Western populations and inflict as much economic, political, psychological and mental damage as they can. Retail during the Christmas season is roughly one half to two thirds of ALL retail sales in any given year. If all ISIS can do is make people slow their spending, they will have delivered a blow to the USA, Europe and Russia that is much greater than the minimal resources they are committing. 8 guys with AK-47s in either Syria or Iraq is one bomb crater, gang. 8 guys with Ak_47s at the Mall of America is a economic chaos causing, retail spending crushing result.

ISIS isn’t stupid by any means. They are looking to cause maximum damage, with minimal resources. The evidence of what they are now saying, have done, and presumably plan to continue doing indicates we are indeed now facing a terror campaign.

 

FRANCE BEGINS TO SHIFT RIGHT 11-16-2015

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/11/15/france-s-far-right-boosted-by-attacks.html

The following article represents both the predictable left wing response to the growing populist fervor sweeping Europe in direct response to the Paris attacks by ISIS. I have pointed out several times there will be a broad based response to the ongoing campaign by Militant Islam to overwhelm both the USA and Europe. The fact this campaign is being aided by powerful elites in both Europe and the USA is an act of treason. Still, the powers that be are now under savage attack for their appeasement of Militant Islam time after time. The liberal elites excuse deviant behavior under the rubric of multi-cultural attitudes, Political Correctness, diversity brainwashing now firmly established in all Western powers.

The fact France’s leader finally realized he should respond with bombs in Syria after 129 people were massacred in Paris shows how desperate the liberal elites really are. Le Pen is putting the spotlight on their failed diversity policies. The fact Obama is still whining about letting in tens of thousands of unchecked, potential ISIS terrorists from Syria is amazing. Obama doesn’t quite get the debate has now permanently changed. One reason is we are now in the buildup to the November of 2016 elections. The other reason is Obama is vulnerable, increasingly out of touch with the majority view of Americans relating to both illegal immigration and Muslim refugees.

At any rate, whatever our lame duck Obama does, all the Democrats running for office are increasingly terrified of voter wrath over both Obama care and now the horde of Muslim terrorists pouring into the USA. Obama doesn’t care at this point, but I can assure you the Democrat Party does. In fact, Hellary Clinton, who already has very high negative ratings just took a huge hit on her comments about Militant Islam. Assuming she doesn’t get indicted by the FBI over her e-mail situation, she is now widely seen as incompetent on foreign policy, and especially dealing with Militant Islam. This is an astounding turn of events when you consider she was the Secretary of State. For a former Secretary of State to be viewed as ignorant of Foreign Policy, as well as dangerously incompetent in dealing with Militant Islam is going to prove lethal to her in the general election. I will grant the Clinton Crime Cabal has locked up the Democratic nomination. All this means is she will fail to take the South, the Mountain States and the Midwest. Trump is going to be the one who gains from the shift in voter attitudes now well under way. ISIS has again shown itself to be able to unite everybody who isn’t ISIS against them.

Can France’s Far-Right Marine Le Pen Use Paris Attacks to Win Power?

Marine Le Pen used the horrific attacks on Paris to push her right-wing brand of politics. Many fear this could be her chance to seize power.

Marine Le Pen, France’s answer to Donald Trump, lost no time cementing her growing power base as leader of the country’s far-right National Front just hours after the Paris attacks when she called for the “annihilation” of Islamist radicals.

Le Pen, whose stump speeches in the depressed cities of northern France include dire warnings of the “giant migratory wave,” told reporters in Paris on Saturday that the country had to clamp down on Islamist fundamentalism, shut down mosques and expel dangerous “foreigners” and “illegal migrants.”

Le Pen is the daughter of notorious xenophone Jean-Marie Le Pen, who founded the National Front in 1972. She forced him out of the party this past summer after his latest racist remarks. This weekened, she was just one of Europe’s far-right figures attempting to make political capital out of the Paris attacks.

Populist leaders around Europe moved quickly to call for an end to allowing the steady stream of refugees and migrants from the Middle East and Africa.

The Netherlands’ increasingly popular anti-Islamic far-right leader Geert Wilders demanded Dutch authorities close the borders immediately, accusing them of refusing to face reality about the connection between immigrants and terrorism. Poland’s Europe minister Konrad Szymanski said he would no longer agree to accept un-vetted migrants and refugees.

One of the key questions roiling France after the attacks: Could the brassy blond daughter of a notorious politician who made his reputation on anti-immigrant rhetoric and wingnut Holocaust revisionism end up as the next president of la belle France?

Many in France wondered if this was Le Pen’s moment and if the horrific attacks that killed at least 127 people and injured more than 200 will catapult her into the Elysees Palace as president in 2017 or at least upend the elections. The attacks come just three weeks before key regional contests in which the far-right was already expected to make more electoral inroads than any time in history.

“I believe that she’s intelligent & capable enough to ride this wave,” Jo-Ann White, a longtime leader with Democrats Abroad in France and Italy, told The Daily Beast.

“People are feeling helpless, resigned to the certainty that attacks will happen again. Anyone promising a return to safety, comfort and the good old days will find a following. Those politicians offering quick fixes and easy wins, whether their name is Trump, Carson or Marine Le Pen are attracting huge followings.”
Topless Activists Disrupt Le Pen’s May Day Speech
Inform

Marine Le Pen, 47, is the acceptable face of her father’s noxious politics.

“Urgent action is needed,” she said. “France must ban Islamist organizations, close radical mosques and expel foreigners who preach hatred in our country as well as illegal migrants who have nothing to do here.

“France and French people are no longer safe… Islamic extremism must be crushed.”
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Moderates now fear that Le Pen and the National Front (FN) will benefit from the latest sickening attacks on Paris.

Edouard Ponsin, 81, a retired accountant who lives in the 11th arrondissement where gunmen burst into a show and killed more than 80 people at the Bataclan, said “these attacks always give political élan to right-wing arrivistes.”

“They jump on the fear of voters in order to elevate their profile and pander to the worst in human nature,” Ponsin said. “Sarkozy is actually salivating over the blood of these victims and can’t wait to exploit this tragedy to put himself back in the Elysee. LePen will exploit this to enrage the right even further, but she can’t do anything, alas, against determined murderers who have a network of support from groups like Daesh. We are a free society, we are generous and there are ingrates among us, young men who feel they have no future and they want us dead. But France will not go down on its knees. We have seen far worse. We are still standing. We are France. France is the gem of the world. We will shine through our tears.”

While survivors raised a defiant tone, political insiders were attempting to game-out the long-term electoral impact.

“The reasoning that the attacks were so massive that there is no miracle policy against Islamic terror and thus, voters will not switch to FN doesn’t work,” said Jean-Yves Camus, a French political analyst specializing in extremism. “A significant part of public opinion thinks France has been way too soft on letting radical Islam grow within the immigrant population. They want tougher policies now, and think Le Pen is the only political leader who has not yet been given a chance to implement her proposals.”

Political analyst Jacob Shein said it was inevitable that the carnage wrought by three teams of Islamic radicals would impact French political discourse.

“I certainly expect her to get stronger and only hope there will be enough people with the good sense to understand what she represents and not vote for her,” he said of Le Pen. “This lady is bad news however you look at it.”

Bad news, perhaps, but more and more acceptable to the French, compared to a time when only voters in the south of France, the country’s answer to Orange County, California, would even consider voting for the National Front.

Founder Jean Marie Le Pen was most recently hauled in front of a French judge in July for saying that the Nazis’s gas chambers were merely a “minor detail” in World War II.

The FN, as the party is called in French, has always had a measure of political power but has never secured a region. Now they are poised to seize three.

Marine Le Pen is hoping to win the presidency of the regional council of the Nord-Pas-de-Calais in the regional elections that begin Dec. 6. Victory would give her a huge platform and major funding going into the 2017 presidential elections. Polls show voters in the north are warming to her ahead of other candidates in part because she is embracing a Bill O’Reilly-type of populist rhetoric that appeals to the increasingly disenfranchised French working class.

In addition, Le Pen has a not-so-secret weapon, her blond, charismatic 25-year-old niece, Marion-Maréchal Le Pen. Marion grew up in the party watching her grandfather and aunt and is considered a real contender for a regional seat in the south of France. The FN’s vice president, Florian Philippot, also has a shot at winning in the east.

But French diplomat Frederic Claveau, 45, who lives in the 11th arrondissement, just yards from the site of some of the attacks, told The Daily Beast he wasn’t sure that Le Pen was a shoo-in to make it to the presidential run-offs. Instead, he said, France’s Friday the 13th might benefit former president Nicolas Sarkozy.

“Marine Le Pen is too extreme,” Claveau said. “She has no real solutions, just fear-mongering. I actually think this could be good for Sarkozy, who’s right-wing but much more middle of the road.”

British-born Michael Cook, who has lived in France for more than 20 years, also said he wasn’t so sure that Le Pen is a lock for the presidency and disagreed with Camus’s take.

“It certainly seems as if this will play right into the National Front’s hands, but I’m not so sure,” he said. “The scope of this disaster was so bloody and barbaric and extreme that I think even the most clueless person is starting to realize that we are fighting a war that seems pretty unwinnable right now—no matter what a politician promises. There’s absolutely bugger-all they can do.”

 

ISIS THROWS DOWN THE GAUNTLET 11-14-2015

Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU

In the last few weeks, ISIS has shot down a Russian airliner, shot at a British airliner, executed suicide bombings in Beirut, Lebanon, and now attacked in Paris, France. The level of tactical ability, preplanning and execution in these attacks is impressive. ISIS is making it clear they are moving to the second phase in response to being slaughtered by Russian airstrikes, Kurdish offensives and a general offensive against them. ISIS is going lone wolf in my view. The result of that will be significant in the political sphere in my view.

ISIS has now completely changed the political agenda in both the USA and Europe. It is one thing to feel sympathy for Muslim refugees, but is quite another to realize they are potential terrorists. Merkel, and the other liberal European and American leaders, are now fully exposed in my view. The political views of the voters have now changed and will result in a populist backlash of staggering proportions on the issues of both illegal immigration and Muslim refugees.

ISIS has decided that since it can’t very well resist the ongoing and effective military effort against it by Russia, among others, it is now going to plan B. Plan B is lone wolf attacks, carried out deep inside enemy lines. The attacks will be against “soft targets,” in both Europe and the USA. It is nearly impossible to prevent lone wolf attacks. The current liberal ideology prevents the kind of intelligence gathering needed to detect potential terror attacks. The populist pressure to do so will now overwhelm all the PC based stupidity now going on. The voter’s opinions are going to now link Muslim refugees with terrorists. For a political elite now focused on letting Muslims and illegals over the border with little supervision, the Paris attacks are a crushing defeat. It will redefine the debate. It will also, in my view, very likely make Donald Trump the next US President.

ISIS is suffering savage, effective military efforts that have exposed its greatest military weakness. ISIS is now unable to move forces and supplies around due to the threat of air attacks. ISIS can’t supply its troops, nor can it deploy them as needed. ISIS is now in the same state as the Germans were in 1945: they can’t move troops and supplies to where they are needed. The reason is Russia is now fully preventing them from moving around in either Syria or Iraq at this point.

ISIS has also managed to enrage multiple countries, like Iran and Russia, enrage both the Shia and other Sunni Muslims it wants to kill. The result is the military options for ISIS are getting fewer every day. In response, ISIS has now unleashed a campaign of terror. The result of that will be to increase public anger at Islam in general, and ISIS in particular. The kinds of views towards Islam now routinely condemned as “racist,” “bigoted,” and “anti-Islam,” will become more common. The real winners in this new ISIS offensive, and make no mistake this is a terror based military offensive, will be the various “far right,” parties in Europe, and Donald Trump. In fact, Trump’s position on illegals is going to resonate with voters who are now genuinely afraid of Islamic terror.

As for our “Moron in Chief, Obama,” let’s just say he is now totally meaningless in terms of real political power. His executive order to allow multiple millions of illegals a free pass has now been rejected by two levels of Federal Courts. I seriously doubt if even the Supreme Court will uphold him now. Further, we are one year away from a general election. I assure you, whatever the liberals now think, the sandbox has been breached. The level of political discourse on illegal immigration and Muslim Refugees has now been changed. It will be a rare politician who is going to be seen as supporting a tidal wave of Muslim refugees after the Paris attacks. You may rest assured of one thing: the illegal immigration and Muslim refugee debate, in both Europe and the USA, has now been directly linked to National Security. The type of National Security involving random terror attacks by Muslims. Militant Islam is not coming to the USA: it is here.

If ISIS continues to launch these kinds of attacks, especially in the United States, groups like CAIR are going to castrated, ignored in the political debate, and viewed as traitors and apologists for Militant Islam. Paris has changed things permanently in my view. French voters are now going to take a hard look at Muslims, and an even harder look at the liberal elite who allowed the attacks to happen. Le Pen, the leader of the far right party was  charged with “anti-Muslim hate speech,” for a recent speech she gave. The ground has shifted for France. Le Pen is now going to be viewed as the only political leader, with her Far Right Party, who understood the threat, and offered credible, logical responses to it. The fools who tarred her with the brush of “hate speech,” are going to find themselves under attack.

The game has changed. ISIS has now unleashed a wave of hatred against both Islam in general, and ISIS in particular. If I were a Muslim, living in either the USA or Europe, I would be very nervous.