ODDS AND ENDS 3-4-2015

One of the things I try to do here on my blog is keep track of what is really happening. I include environmental aspects of modern life on the grounds all seven plus billion humans have made a mess indeed. The four year anniversary of Fukushima is March 11th, 2015. The mainstream press, even without Net Neutrality, is censoring any mention of this extinction level event from the global media. Once Net Neutrality is fully implemented, soon, real soon now, any mention will vanish. The following link and story shows why the powers that be are so nervous. The short version is the entire Pacific food chain, all the stuff we humans eat, is now full of toxic radiation.

http://enenews.com/report-fallout-japan-reactors-detected-freshwater-fish-radioactive-dose-equivalent-fish-caught-100-miles-fukushima-reactors-ongoing-measurements-needed-along-predicted-plume-trajectory

Next, we have in the Karma category the fact the poor fool who gave our Cretin-in-Chief Obama the Nobel Peace Prize has been sacked. It may be due to the simple fact Obama has been more of a warmonger than Bush ever was. It may also be due to Obama’s enthusiastic use of Drones carrying Hellfire, and what an apt name for the US missiles this is, to blow up innocent people. Obama claims he actually gets a few “terrorists” among the large numbers of women and children he blows up. I find it increasingly interesting that some of the most accurate, timely, and truthful information comes from Russia Times, even though Putin the thug is in charge of Russia.

http://rt.com/news/237465-nobel-peace-chairman-deposed/

Moving on, we come to the category called “The world is still an amazing place,” category. The link for that is here.

http://news-beta.nationalgeographic.com/2015/03/150302-honduras-lost-city-monkey-god-maya-ancient-archaeology/?

It appears the Maya were not alone. They had neighbors who vanished into the jungles of Central America also. One of their cities has now been found deep in the jungle. I found this story truly amazing and think you should read it. If nothing else, it will take your mind off the end of the world status we are now.

The following is page 5 of a thread I started over at timebomb2000.com on Iran and Yemen. The give and take shows why I love the Internet. I am archiving it here before Net Neutrality censors exchanges like this. If you get any value from this blog, then buy my e-books on Amazon. The info is in the about section, or on the end of my posts below. I also have a paypal account if you would like to make a donation. I am having severe financial issues to put it mildly.

  1. Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    http://www.latimes.com/world/middlee…ry.html#page=1

    Yemen port city of Aden seethes with separatist fervor

    By Patrick J. McDonnell and Nabih Bulos contact the reporter
    February 22, 2015 | Reporting from Aden, Yemen

    A replica Big Ben still looks down on the harbor. Queen Victoria casts a dour gaze from her bronzed throne in a patch of green fronting the port.

    But this one-time jewel of the British Empire has fallen onto hard times — and now seethes with sedition as Yemen lurches toward civil war and possible disintegration.

    The return this weekend of ousted President Abdu Rabu Mansour Hadi, a southerner, after weeks of house arrest in the capital, Sana, has done little to quell separatist furor here in the south.

    Blue-tinged flags of an erstwhile new independent nation are ubiquitous. Gaggles of pro-independence protesters march on the streets. Separatist slogans line the walls. Talk of rebellion is rampant.

    “If there is no secession, then this area will become the biggest conflict in the Middle East — bigger than Iraq or Syria,” warned Mohammad Nasser Hattab, who heads a “popular committee” militia that has commandeered a police station across from the tattered park where a stolid and plump Victoria still observes the horizon.

    “The situation has gotten to the point that it is us or them on this land,” said Nasser, amid nods of agreement from fellow militiamen with Kalashnikovs and checkered head scarves gathered on the second floor of a dingy police precinct office in the port-side Tawahi district, known as Steamer Point during British rule.

    This fractured nation of 26 million, the poorest in the Arab world, has many hot spots in the aftermath of the fall of the capital, Sana, to the northern-based Houthi faction, a mostly Shiite Muslim group in a largely Sunni Muslim nation. The Houthis overran the capital in September and consolidated control in recent weeks, placing Hadi and others in his administration under house arrest and dissolving parliament.

    The emergence of the Houthis, an ally of Iran, threatens to turn Yemen into yet another geopolitical battleground with profound implications for U.S. policy. The nation has until now been relatively free of the sectarian-fueled violence that has ravaged Iraq and Syria.

    Fostering stability here has been a major goal of the Obama administration, which has touted Yemen as a success of its counter-terrorism strategy. The nation is home to Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, regarded as among the most potent of the global terrorist network’s branches. U.S. drone strikes continue to hit Al Qaeda targets in Yemen, despite the Houthi takeover.

    The port of Aden, still bustling but much depleted since its colonial-era days as one of the world’s busiest harbors, was the site of a signature Al Qaeda attack: The 2000 strike on the U.S. destroyer Cole that left 17 U.S. service members dead and 39 wounded.

    The Houthis have vowed to destroy Al Qaeda, a Sunni group that has repeatedly targeted them. But others argue that the Houthi advance has become an Al Qaeda recruiting bonanza, drawing in Sunni youth and tribesmen.

    “Many tribes had abandoned Al Qaeda, but the arrival of the Houthis in Sana pushed the tribes back to Al Qaeda,” Aden Gov. Abdul Aziz bin Habtoor said in an interview here.

    To the east of Sana, Sunni Arab tribes, some allied with Al Qaeda, are arming against a possible Houthi thrust into resource-rich Marib province, source of much of the nation’s oil and gas and its major energy infrastructure. Sunni tribal leaders, reportedly receiving aid from Saudi Arabia, Yemen’s wary northern neighbor, have vowed to resist.

    Meanwhile, the central government in Sana appears to have lost much of its control over the south.

    Northern and southern Yemen were two countries until merging in 1990, but tensions between the two distinct regions never completely dissipated. Now, the nation’s political turmoil has given a renewed boost to the secessionist agenda.

    The Houthis have relatively little support in the south. There is widespread disdain for what southerners call a Houthi power grab — though the Houthis insist that their goal is a democratic, united state in which all regions are represented.

    Hadi, a former general, as well as a former vice president under longtime strongman Ali Abdullah Saleh, fled from house arrest and arrived in Aden on Saturday.

    Many here were outraged that Hadi did not embrace secession upon his return. Instead, he pledged to work toward a political settlement to maintain a unified Yemen — the goal of United Nations-brokered talks.

    “The situation is very dangerous now,” said Mohsen Mohammed bin Farid, who heads a coalition seeking to create “South Arabia” among eight southern provinces. “The people of the south were hoping that Hadi would be with us, be with independence.”

    Although Hadi has many supporters here, street protesters greeted his statement of unity with the chant: “Hadi, you are contemptible, the blood of the sons of the south is not cheap.”

    So-called popular committee militiamen, on the payroll of political factions and tribes, have set up checkpoints and usurped the security services in parts of the south, including Aden. They bristle with indignation at the idea of Houthi-led rule.

    “They [the Houthis] do not represent a Yemeni point of view,” said Nasser, the popular committee commander near the port, in an apparent reference to the Houthis’ links to Iran. “They are influenced by external dictates.”

    The future role of Hadi, backed by the United States and its Persian Gulf allies, remains a question mark. Hadi appears to have rescinded his resignation from the presidency — tendered Jan. 22 while he was under house arrest — and signaled that he favors continued dialogue among all of Yemen’s factions to keep the nation intact. His allies insist that most southerners prefer to remain part of Yemen.

    “The great majority of people in the south support the idea of unity and adhere to the concept of a federal state,” said Bin Habtoor, the Aden governor, who spoke Sunday after meeting with the president here.

    But Hadi insists that all appointments and government actions made since Sept. 21, when the Houthis overran Sana, are null and void. The governor also said talks should be moved from Houthi-controlled Sana to Aden.

    “The Houthi forcibly seized power with the gun and he must relinquish power whether he wants to or not,” said Bin Habtoor.

    In Sana, however, the Houthis have showed no sign of pulling back. With regional, sectarian and tribal tensions rising, the prospect for compromise appears to be narrowing.

    “What we see in Yemen is a potential humanitarian crisis, the prospect of economic collapse, and possible areas of conflict,” Jamal Benomar, the U.N. special envoy for Yemen, said in an interview in Sana. “The prospect for fragmentation is clearly there. We are saying that there is no other way but for all the political parties to come together and make a deal sometime soon.”

    Bulos is a special correspondent. Special correspondent Zaid al-Alayaa in Aden contributed to this report.

    Copyright © 2015, Los Angeles Times

  2. #162

    Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    http://www.ibtimes.com/yemens-depose…upport-1825898

    Yemen’s Deposed President Hadi Withdraws Resignation, Gulf Countries Express Support
    By Aditya Tejas @Artejas a.tejas@ibtimes.com on February 24 2015 12:55 AM EST

    Former Yemeni president Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi officially withdrew his resignation from the presidency on Monday, local officials said, according to media reports. The move comes after Hadi gained the support of Arab Gulf states opposed to the ruling Shia Houthis.

    A member of the parliamentary assembly said that Hadi submitted a letter to them withdrawing the resignation he had tendered in January, after the Houthis took control of government, Al Jazeera reported. He has also been meeting with security advisors and loyalist governors in the city of Aden.

    Hadi had earlier said in a statement on Saturday that he was still the rightful president, Reuters reported.

    On Monday, the Gulf Cooperation Council, a regional alliance of six Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia and Qatar, expressed their support for Hadi, CNN reported. The council had earlier urged the United Nations to consider adopting a resolution authorizing military force against the Houthis. The resolution, adopted by the Security Council last week, demands that the Houthis step down from power, but does not authorize the use of military force.

    Tens of thousands of protesters also took to the streets in cities across Yemen to demand the removal of Houthis.

    “The Houthis thought they could not be stopped, and it only took hours for them to fall in the eyes of the people. Yemen has a president and the people will stand with him to uproot the Houthi militants from Sanaa,” Ali Al-Saedi, a protester, told CNN.

    Yemen’s cabinet rejected a call from the Houthis to return as a caretaker government, spokesman Rajeh Badi told The Yemen Times on Monday. “The government does not care about decisions made by the Revolutionary Committee,” he said, referring to the interim government installed by the Houthis.

    Hadi had left the capital city of Sanaa on Saturday, after the Houthis released him following weeks of house arrest. He fled to the coastal city of Aden, where he is reportedly consolidating support from loyalist forces and preparing to leave the country to get medical aid.

    Tobias Ellwood, the U.K.’s Minister for the Middle East, issued a statement on Monday calling for the Houthis to release other government officials. “I welcome the news that President Hadi is no longer under house arrest,” he said. I now call for the immediate and safe release of Prime Minister Bahah, Cabinet Ministers and all individuals arbitrarily detained or under house arrest.”

    The Houthis have found themselves increasingly isolated by the international community after their takeover of the Yemeni government was widely denounced as a coup. Several governments, including the U.S., Britain, and Saudi Arabia, have withdrawn embassy staff from the country.

  3. #163

    Doomer Doug is online now Veteran Member

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    Tick. Tick. Tick.

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
    https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
    http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU
  4. #164

    Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    http://in.reuters.com/article/2015/0…0LT0RJ20150225

    Yemen Houthis take over U.S.-trained special forces base in Sanaa

    By Mohammed Ghobari
    SANAA Wed Feb 25, 2015 2:47pm IST

    (Reuters) – Armed men from Yemen’s newly dominant Houthi group took over a special forces army base in the capital Sanaa early on Wednesday, soldiers there said.

    The clashes, which lasted around six hours, started late on Tuesday when Houthis shelled the camp with heavy weapons, soldiers from the camp said. At least 10 people were killed.

    The troops had been trained and equipped by the United States as an elite counterterrorism unit during the rule of ex-president Ali Abullah Saleh, who was ousted by Arab Spring protests in 2011, military sources told Reuters.

    Houthi militiamen seized Sanaa in September, eventually leading President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi to flee to Aden this week where he seeks to set up a rival centre of power.

    For more than a decade the United States has watched with alarm as Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula – the most powerful arm of the global militant group – has grown in Yemen as the political chaos has mounted.

    The U.S. military trained and kitted out Yemeni soldiers under Saleh, and under Hadi the CIA has stepped up drone strikes aimed at killing suspected militants.

    U.S. officials have expressed concern that the rule of the resolutely anti-American Shi’ite Muslim Houthis will harm their counterterrorism efforts in a country that shares a long border with Saudi Arabia, the world’s oil exporter.

    Yemen’s Sunni Gulf neighbours have decried the Houthi takeover as a coup, and the head of the Gulf Cooperation Council Abdullatif al-Zayyani arrived in Aden to meet Hadi on Wednesday, political sources there said.

    The power struggle between the Houthis in Sanaa and Hadi in Aden casts more doubt on U.N.-sponsored talks to resolve Yemen’s crisis peacefully, and exacerbates sectarian and regional splits which may plunge the country into civil war.

    The Houthis said on Tuesday that Hadi had lost his legitimacy as head of state and was being sought as a fugitive from justice.

    (Additional reporting By Mohammed Mukhashaf and Noah Browning; Writing by Maha El Dahan; Editing by Alison Williams)

  5. #165

    Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20…018721857.html

    Yemen’s Houthi Group Seeks Russia’s Recognition
    © REUTERS/ Mohamed al-Sayaghi
    Middle East
    11:44 25.02.2015(updated 12:24 25.02.2015)

    Representatives of Yemen’s main opposition group Ansarullah, more commonly known as the Houthis, have met with Russian MPs in Moscow.

    Representatives from Yemen’s main opposition group Ansarullah, more commonly known as the Houthis, have met with Russian MPs in Moscow, Russian sources said.

    During the meeting, the Houthi delegation promised an array of lucrative contracts in exchange for Moscow’s recognition of the Ansarullah’s authority.

    The delegation assured that the Houthis will soon take control of oil-rich Marib Province, which they say will yield billions of dollars per day.

    In light of this, the delegation signaled its readiness to invite Russian companies to engage in oil production in the region. Also, the Houthis called for talks with Russia on bilateral cooperation in the agriculture sector, and already have a relevant business plan in the pipeline.

    The Moscow meeting came several days after Yemeni President Abdrabbuh Mansour Hadi said that he is withdrawing his resignation and resuming his duties, branding all measures adopted by the Houthis “null and illegitimate.”

    The security situation in Yemen was shaken after Hadi resigned last month following a takeover by a Shia militia group, the Houthis.

    This prompted several countries, including France, Germany, Italy, Britain and Spain, to close their diplomatic missions, withdraw staff and urge their nationals to leave Yemen.

    Meanwhile, the Russian side has said that it is proceeding from the principle of non-interference in Yemen’s internal affairs.

    At the same time, the Russian MPs expressed hope that the Houthi delegation’s visit to Moscow “will help launch a national dialogue in Yemen.”

    Several factions still divide Yemen’s territory; the Houthis dominate what was historically North Yemen, which united with formerly communist, Soviet-backed South Yemen in 1990. However, they are ideologically opposed to both America and Israel and are allegedly funded by Iran.

  6. #166

    Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    http://nation.com.pk/international/2…men-govt-kerry

    Iran ‘contributed’ to collapse of Yemen govt: Kerry
    February 25, 2015
    AFP

    WASHINGTON – Iran’s support for rebels in Yemen “contributed” to the militia’s takeover of the Yemeni capital and the collapse of the government, top US diplomat John Kerry said Tuesday.

    Speaking to US lawmakers, Kerry agreed Tehran’s support for the Huthi militia was “critical” in shoring up the rebels.

    Asked whether the Yemeni government collapsed because of Iran’s support for the Huthi, Kerry replied: “I think it contributed to it .. without any question whatsoever.”

    “But I do know that the Iranians were surprised by the events that took place and are hoping to see a national dialogue” take place,” Kerry told the Senate appropriations committee, at the start of two days of intense budget hearings.

    Kerry met Sunday and Monday in Geneva with his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif for talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, but acknowledged he had had “brief conversations” on other topics.

    Yemen’s Gulf neighbors have rejected the sidelining of the Western-backed President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi as a “coup,” while the UN Security Council has urged the militia to withdraw its forces from government institutions.

    An aide to Hadi said Tuesday the embattled leader has retracted his resignation after escaping house arrest in the militia-controlled capital, Sanaa, at the weekend.

    Hadi had tendered his resignation last month after the Shiite militia seized the presidential palace and besieged his residence in Sanaa.

    Kerry revealed he planned to meet on Friday with leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council in London to discuss the crisis in Yemen among other issues.

    The United States closed down its embassy in Yemen earlier this month, along with France and Britain, amid growing concerns about insecurity in the country.
    The Huthis, whose power base is in the mainly Shiite northern highlands, overran Sanaa unopposed five months ago.

    They have pushed their advance south and west into mainly Sunni areas, where they have met with fierce resistance from tribesmen and Yemen’s powerful branch of Al-Qaeda.

  7. #167

    Doomer Doug is online now Veteran Member

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    Gee, ain’t this special, HE <G> If you recall a few years ago the “Iranian commander” in the war games SANK MULTIPLE USA CAPITAL SHIPS USING THE SAME TACTICS AND STRATEGY. OF COURSE THE PENTAGON DECLARED THE RESULTS NOT VALID AND REDEFINED THE LIMITS TO LET THE USA WIN. ROTFLMAO

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worl…ary-drill.html

    Iran’s armed forces launched a speedboat attack on a giant model of a US aircraft carrier on Wednesday as the Revolutionary Guard staged military exercises in the Gulf.

    The aim of the drill was to practise how to sink an American carrier, at least two of which patrol the Gulf at any given time.

    A helicopter and speed boat circle a damaged replica of a US aircraft carrier

    Exercise “Great Prophet Nine” showed how the naval wing of the Revolutionary Guard would launch a “swarm” attack, seeking to overwhelm the carrier’s defences by dispatching numerous speedboats to converge on the vessel from all directions.

    “American aircraft carriers are very big ammunition depots housing a lot of missiles, rockets, torpedoes and everything else,” said Admiral Ali Fadavi, the naval commander of the Revolutionary Guard. He told state television that hitting a carrier with just one missile could trigger a “large secondary explosion”.
    Related Articles

    The exercise was carried out near the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway at the entrance to the Gulf. The US Navy’s Fifth Fleet is based in the nearby kingdom of Bahrain.

    However, American forces believe they have little to fear from the Revolutionary Guard. The US deploys 10 nuclear-powered carriers, each one of which can embark about 80 aircraft with more striking power than the entire Iranian air force.

    Commander Kevin Stephens, the spokesman for the Fifth Fleet, said the exercise had not disrupted maritime traffic. “We’re quite confident of our naval forces’ ability to defend themselves,” he told Associated Press news agency. “It seems they’ve attempted to destroy the equivalent of a Hollywood movie set.”

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
    https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
    http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU
  8. #168

    Doomer Doug is online now Veteran Member

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    A FOOL IS THOUGHT WISE UNTIL HE OPENS HIS MOUTH TO SPEAK. Well, just duh Kerry. You thunk maybe Iran had a hand in all this do you? he he he

    Quote Originally Posted by Housecarl View Post
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    Posted for fair use…..
    http://nation.com.pk/international/2…men-govt-kerryIran ‘contributed’ to collapse of Yemen govt: Kerry
    February 25, 2015
    AFP

    WASHINGTON – Iran’s support for rebels in Yemen “contributed” to the militia’s takeover of the Yemeni capital and the collapse of the government, top US diplomat John Kerry said Tuesday.

    Speaking to US lawmakers, Kerry agreed Tehran’s support for the Huthi militia was “critical” in shoring up the rebels.

    Asked whether the Yemeni government collapsed because of Iran’s support for the Huthi, Kerry replied: “I think it contributed to it .. without any question whatsoever.”

    “But I do know that the Iranians were surprised by the events that took place and are hoping to see a national dialogue” take place,” Kerry told the Senate appropriations committee, at the start of two days of intense budget hearings.

    Kerry met Sunday and Monday in Geneva with his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif for talks on Tehran’s nuclear program, but acknowledged he had had “brief conversations” on other topics.

    Yemen’s Gulf neighbors have rejected the sidelining of the Western-backed President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi as a “coup,” while the UN Security Council has urged the militia to withdraw its forces from government institutions.

    An aide to Hadi said Tuesday the embattled leader has retracted his resignation after escaping house arrest in the militia-controlled capital, Sanaa, at the weekend.

    Hadi had tendered his resignation last month after the Shiite militia seized the presidential palace and besieged his residence in Sanaa.

    Kerry revealed he planned to meet on Friday with leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council in London to discuss the crisis in Yemen among other issues.

    The United States closed down its embassy in Yemen earlier this month, along with France and Britain, amid growing concerns about insecurity in the country.
    The Huthis, whose power base is in the mainly Shiite northern highlands, overran Sanaa unopposed five months ago.

    They have pushed their advance south and west into mainly Sunni areas, where they have met with fierce resistance from tribesmen and Yemen’s powerful branch of Al-Qaeda.

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
    https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
    http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU
  9. #169

    Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/…0LV1RH20150227

    UAE and Kuwait to reopen embassies in Yemen’s south, backing Hadi

    DUBAI Fri Feb 27, 2015 2:50pm EST

    (Reuters) – The United Arab Emirates and Kuwait will reopen their Yemeni embassies in the southern city of Aden instead of the capital Sanaa, the two countries’ state news agencies said on Friday.

    Sanaa was captured in September by the Shi’ite Muslim Houthi militia, which placed President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi under house arrest and forced him to announce his resignation. Arab and Western states this month evacuated their Sanaa embassies.

    Parliament never approved the resignation, and on Sunday Hadi fled to Aden where he has set up a new seat of power.

    An aide to Hadi said on Thursday that Yemen’s neighbor Saudi Arabia, the Sunni-ruled main Gulf Arab power, was moving its ambassador to Aden.

    UAE Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Anwar Gargash said the UAE had made its decision “in order to entrench constitutional legitimacy in Yemen, embodied by President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi and his government”, according to WAM news agency.

    The ascendancy of the Houthis is viewed with alarm by the Gulf’s mostly Sunni Muslim rulers.

    The Gulf Cooperation Council has denounced the Houthi takeover as a coup and fears Shi’ite Iran may gain influence on the peninsula by backing the group.

    The prospect of rival centers of power competing for control of Yemen has raised fears that the impoverished and heavily-armed country may be heading for civil war.

    (Reporting by Ahmed Tolba and Noah Browning; Editing by Andrew Roche)

  10. #170

    Doomer Doug is online now Veteran Member

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    Oh my, the gloves are now coming off.

    In this corner, we have the Houthi Shia Tribesmen, armed by Iran and trained by Hezzbollah; in the other corner, we have the Sunni, armed by the Gulf States. We also have Al Qaida of the Arabian Peninsula running around with RPGs.

    Yep, Yemen is about to explode and you can be very sure Obama is going to get dragged in. It occurs to me, HE the USA is going to be fighting against ISIS in both Syria and Iraq. We will also be fighting against Iranian Proxies the Houthi in Yemen. We also may go to war with Russia over the Ukraine. I mean Obama is now going “Wag the Dog.”

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
    https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
    http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU
  11. #171

    Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    Hummm…….

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    http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/…0LW0RK20150228

    Yemen signs aviation deal with Iran: state news agency

    SANAA Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:34am EST

    (Reuters) – Yemen and Iran signed a civil aviation deal on Saturday, Yemeni state news agency SABA reported, a move that may reflect Tehran’s support for the Shi’ite Muslim militia that now controls Sanaa.

    The deal signed in Tehran by the aviation authorities of both countries allows Yemen and Iran each to fly up to 14 flights a week in both directions, SABA said. The websites of the Iranian and Yemeni national airlines indicated there were currently no flights between the two.

    The Shi’ite Muslim Houthi militia seized Yemen’s capital in September, which eventually led President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi to flee this month to the port city of Aden where he is seeking to set up a rival power center.

    Sunni countries in the Gulf fear that events in Yemen show Shi’ite power Iran asserting its influence, something Tehran denies.

    U.S. officials have also expressed concern that the rule of the resolutely anti-American Houthis will harm their counter-terrorism efforts in a country that has one of the most active branches of the Sunni Islamist militant group al Qaeda.

    (Reporting by Mohamed Ghobari; Editing by Robin Pomeroy)

  12. #172

    Doomer Doug is online now Veteran Member

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    Civil aviation, oh, oh, oh DOOMER DOUG IS ROLLING ON THE FLOOR LAUGHING MY VARIOUS BODY PARTS OFF.

    14 flights a week, seven each way apparently equals SEVEN C-130S FULL OF REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS, GUNS, AMMO, GRENADES, ETC ETC Actually, that is ONE C-130 PER DAY QUICK HOW MANY TONS OF MILITARY STUFF IS THAT PER PLANELOAD.

    I think the C-130 carries 300 COMBAT TROOPS FULLY ARMED PER FLIGHT .

    Well, Doomer Doug called it. He said Iran would POUR MILITARY STUFF IN A TIDAL WAVE INTO YEMEN. Yep, Saudi Arabia’s royal family is now going to officially freak out. I guess the phone lines etc between the gulf states and Saudi Arabia to DC are red hot right now.

    Gee, I wonder how many shoulder fired anti tank, anti aircraft missiles Iran can ship in one planeload.

    HE, I think Iran has been doing this for the last month at least. The real significance of the story is they are now OPENLY ADMITTING THEY ARE COMBAT LOADING THE SHIA HOUTHI TRIBAL PEOPLE.

    Yep, IRAN JUST SAID THEY ARE GOING TO POUR MILITARY SUPPLIES INTO YEMEN TO SUBVERT SUNNI SAUDI ARABIA.

    Of course, the “official story” will be it is all bottled water and blankets. <G>

    Lock and load, gang: it won’t be long before combat reports start coming in from Eastern Saudi Arabia now.

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
    https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
    http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU
  13. #173

    Housecarl is online now Has No Life – Lives on TB

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    Quote Originally Posted by Doomer Doug View Post

    Civil aviation, oh, oh, oh DOOMER DOUG IS ROLLING ON THE FLOOR LAUGHING MY VARIOUS BODY PARTS OFF.

    14 flights a week, seven each way apparently equals SEVEN C-130S FULL OF REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS, GUNS, AMMO, GRENADES, ETC ETC Actually, that is ONE C-130 PER DAY QUICK HOW MANY TONS OF MILITARY STUFF IS THAT PER PLANELOAD.

    I think the C-130 carries 300 COMBAT TROOPS FULLY ARMED PER FLIGHT .

    Well, Doomer Doug called it. He said Iran would POUR MILITARY STUFF IN A TIDAL WAVE INTO YEMEN. Yep, Saudi Arabia’s royal family is now going to officially freak out. I guess the phone lines etc between the gulf states and Saudi Arabia to DC are red hot right now.

    Gee, I wonder how many shoulder fired anti tank, anti aircraft missiles Iran can ship in one planeload.

    HE, I think Iran has been doing this for the last month at least. The real significance of the story is they are now OPENLY ADMITTING THEY ARE COMBAT LOADING THE SHIA HOUTHI TRIBAL PEOPLE.

    Yep, IRAN JUST SAID THEY ARE GOING TO POUR MILITARY SUPPLIES INTO YEMEN TO SUBVERT SUNNI SAUDI ARABIA.

    Of course, the “official story” will be it is all bottled water and blankets. <G>

    Lock and load, gang: it won’t be long before combat reports start coming in from Eastern Saudi Arabia now.

    A C-130 can carry 92 passengers/64 paratroopers, 74 litter patients with 5 medics, 6 pallets, 3 Humvees or 2 M113s (45,000 lbs payload).

    Remember though that Iran has 4 cargo B-747s (248,300 lb payload) and 12 Il-76s (42 tonnes payload).

  14. #174

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    The C-130 is what I saw lined up, bays open, waiting on the tarmac at Rhienstine? Airport circa 1974 Germany. We had an 3 am alert based on Cyprus of all things. I knew something was up when they drove up jeeps with the trailer full of 5.56 ammo. We then drove all the trucks, jeeps, yes jeeps, trucks etc to the airport, drove onto the tarmac and sat watching. “They” then told us to drive back to Baumholder since Greece and Turkey weren’t really going to start shooting at each other. LOL

    Iran did have mostly US stuff in 1979. 248,000 pounds is 124 tons of stuff, HE and that is a whole lot of military stuff in one trip.

    Man, Doomer Doug is getting old<G>

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
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  15. #175

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    Quote Originally Posted by Doomer Doug View Post

    The C-130 is what I saw lined up, bays open, waiting on the tarmac at Rhienstine? Airport circa 1974 Germany. We had an 3 am alert based on Cyprus of all things. I knew something was up when they drove up jeeps with the trailer full of 5.56 ammo. We then drove all the trucks, jeeps, yes jeeps, trucks etc to the airport, drove onto the tarmac and sat watching. “They” then told us to drive back to Baumholder since Greece and Turkey weren’t really going to start shooting at each other. LOL

    Iran did have mostly US stuff in 1979. 248,000 pounds is 124 tons of stuff, HE and that is a whole lot of military stuff in one trip.

    Man, Doomer Doug is getting old<G>

    Here’s something to consider….The internet quoted weight for an Iranian Sejjil solid fueled MRBM is between 21.5 tons and 38 tons. Add the TEL and that’s one per trip with room for other “filler” in a cargo B-747. While a SCUD (at 15,000 lbs) and a TEL can easily go in an Il-76.

  16. #176

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    For links see article source…..
    Posted for fair use…..
    http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/yemen/…ndas-1.1464289

    Aden seethes with separatist agendas

    Yemen’s north-south divide remains raw despite merger in 1990

    By Patrick J. McDonnell
    Published: 03:45 March 1, 2015

    Aden: A replica Big Ben still looks down on the harbour. Queen Victoria casts a dour gaze from her bronzed throne in a patch of green fronting the port.

    But this one-time jewel of the British Empire has fallen on hard times — and now seethes with sedition as Yemen lurches toward civil war and possible disintegration.

    The return last week of ousted President Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi, a southerner, after weeks of house arrest in the capital, Sana’a, has done little to quell separatist sentiment in Yemen’s south.

    Blue-tinged flags of an erstwhile new independent nation are ubiquitous. Gaggles of pro-independence protesters march on the streets. Separatist slogans line the walls. Talk of rebellion is rampant.

    “If there is no secession, then this area will become the biggest conflict in the Middle East — bigger than Iraq or Syria,” warned Mohammad Nasser Hattab, who heads a “popular committee” militia that has commandeered a police station across from the tattered park where a stolid and plump Victoria still observes the horizon.

    “The situation has gotten to the point that it is us or them on this land,” said Nasser, amid nods of agreement from fellow militiamen with Kalashnikovs and checkered head scarves gathered on the second floor of a dingy police precinct office in the port-side Tawahi district, known as Steamer Point during British rule.

    This fractured nation of 26 million has many hot spots in the aftermath of the fall of the capital, Sana’a, to the northern-based Al Houthi faction. The Al Houthis overran the capital in September and consolidated control in recent weeks, placing Hadi and others in his administration under house arrest and dissolving parliament.

    The emergence of the Al Houthis, who are allies of Iran, threatens to turn Yemen into yet another geopolitical battleground with profound implications for US policy. The nation has until now been relatively free of the sectarian-fuelled violence that has ravaged Iraq and Syria.

    Fostering stability in the country has been a major goal of the Obama administration, which has touted Yemen as a success of its counter-terrorism strategy. The nation is home to Al Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (Aqap), regarded as among the most potent of the global terrorist network’s branches. US drone strikes continue to hit Al Qaida targets in Yemen, despite the Al Houthi takeover.

    The port of Aden, still bustling but much depleted since its colonial era days as one of the world’s busiest harbours, was the site of a signature Al Qaida attack: The 2000 strike on the US destroyer Cole that left 17 US service members dead and 39 wounded.

    The Al Houthis have vowed to destroy Al Qaida since the terrorists have repeatedly targeted them. But others argue that the Al Houthi advance has become an Al Qaida recruiting bonanza, drawing in Sunni youth and tribesmen.

    “Many tribes had abandoned Al Qaida, but the arrival of Al Houthis in Sana’a pushed the tribes back to Al Qaida,” Aden’s Governor Abdul Aziz Bin Habtoor said in an interview in Aden.

    To the east of Sana’a, Sunni tribes, some allied with Al Qaida, are arming against a possible Al Houthi thrust into resource-rich Marib province, source of much of the nation’s oil and gas and its major energy infrastructure. Sunni tribal leaders have vowed to resist.

    Meanwhile, the central government in Sana’a appears to have lost much of its control over the south.

    Northern and southern Yemen were two countries until merging in 1990, but tensions between the two distinct regions never completely dissipated. Now, the nation’s political turmoil has given a renewed boost to the secessionist agenda.

    The Al Houthis have relatively little support in the south. There is widespread disdain for what southerners call an Al Houthi power grab — though the Al Houthis insist that their goal is a democratic and united state in which all regions are represented.

    Hadi, a former general, as well as a former vice-president under longtime strongman Ali Abdullah Saleh, fled from house arrest and arrived in Aden.

    Many in Aden were outraged that Hadi did not embrace secession upon his return. Instead, he pledged to work toward a political settlement to maintain a unified Yemen — the goal of United Nations-brokered talks.

    “The situation is very dangerous now,” said Mohsin Mohammad Bin Farid, who heads a coalition seeking to create “South Arabia” among eight southern provinces. “The people of the south were hoping that Hadi would be with us, be with independence.”

    Although Hadi has many supporters in Aden, street protesters greeted his statement of unity with the chant: “Hadi, you are contemptible, the blood of the sons of the south is not cheap.”

    So-called popular committee militiamen, on the payroll of political factions and tribes, have set up checkpoints and usurped the security services in parts of the south, including Aden. They bristle with indignation at the idea of Al Houthi-led rule.

    “They [Al Houthis] do not represent a Yemeni point of view,” said Nasser, the popular committee commander near the port, in an apparent reference to Al Houthis’ links to Iran. “They are influenced by external dictates.”

    The future role of Hadi, backed by the United States and its Gulf allies, remains a question mark. Hadi appears to have rescinded his resignation from the presidency — tendered on January 22 while he was under house arrest — and signalled that he favours continued dialogue among all of Yemen’s factions to keep the nation intact. His allies insist that most southerners prefer to remain part of Yemen.

    “The great majority of people in the south support the idea of unity and adhere to the concept of a federal state,” said Bin Habtoor, the Aden governor, who spoke after meeting with the president in Aden.

    But Hadi insists that all appointments and government actions made since September 21, when the Al Houthis overran Sana’a, are null and void. The governor also said talks should be moved from Al Houthi-controlled Sana’a to Aden.

    “Al Houthi forcibly seized power with the gun and he must relinquish power whether he wants to or not,” said Bin Habtoor.

    In Sana’a, however, the Al Houthis have showed no sign of pulling back. With regional, sectarian and tribal tensions rising, the prospect for compromise appears to be narrowing.

    “What we see in Yemen is a potential humanitarian crisis, the prospect of economic collapse, and possible areas of conflict,” Jamal Bin Omar, the UN special envoy for Yemen, said in an interview in Sana’a. “The prospect for fragmentation is clearly there. We are saying that there is no other way but for all the political parties to come together and make a deal sometime soon.”

    — Los Angeles Times

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    Elijah J. Magnier @EjmAlrai · 1h 1 hour ago

    For the first time since decades, an Iranian commercial airline lands today in Sanaa, #Yemen. #Iran.

    Nana to two “little bits”, one not-so-little “little bit” and one big “little bit” now several inches taller than me
  18. #178

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    Conflict News @rConflictNews · 3m 3 minutes ago

    First Iran air-lines plane landed in #Sanaa carrying humanitarian aid to the #Yemen people – @JewishFeed

    Nana to two “little bits”, one not-so-little “little bit” and one big “little bit” now several inches taller than me
  19. #179

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    Doomer Doug thinks the pallets are part of a pr campaign. Of course, the “trojan plane” is going to show off bottled water for the first load. Sheesh!

    I am thinking Saudi Arabia is going to use the Sunni Al Qaida of the Arabian Peninsula to fight the Shia/Iran Houthi tribal militia. The USA will then be drone bombing the Sunni Al Qadia. It is going to get real complicated in Yemen soon enough.

    Yep, tons of military stuff is now going to be flown into Yemen in support of the Shia tribal militias.

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
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  20. #180

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    For links see article source…..
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    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joseph…b_6778594.html

    Joseph Braude
    Author, broadcaster, and Middle East specialist

    A Growing Rift Between Washington and the Gulf States on Yemen

    Posted: 03/01/2015 10:12 am EST Updated: 03/01/2015 10:59 am EST

    Activity intensified over the past week at the United Nations with respect to the deteriorating situation in Yemen — amid further evidence of a rift over the country’s future between Washington and its traditional Gulf allies.

    Jamal Benomar, the United Nations special envoy to Yemen, met with Yemeni president Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi at his new headquarters in Aden. He reiterated support for Hadi as the country’s legitimately elected leader, told reporters that his “resumption of duties would help to pull the country together,” and called for a resolution of the crisis within the framework of the “Gulf Initiative.” Meanwhile, the United Nations Security Council decided to extend the mandate of the “group of four” experts on Yemen, which was established to oversee sanctions measures employed against individuals and entities designated as threatening “peace, security or stability “in the country. And the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights Friday raised alarms about a growing number of “unlawful arrests, arbitrary detention, and the targeting of journalists” in the country.

    The seeming consistency of the UN position stood in contrast to conflicting signals from Washington. On the one hand, State Department Spokeswoman Jen Psaki told reporters Monday that her government would like “all parties” to “recommit themselves to the GCC initiative, National Dialogue Conference outcomes, and relevant UN Security Council resolutions.” But over a week in which GCC embassies relocated to Aden in solidarity with the Yemeni president, Psaki stated that no one in the Administration had been in touch with Hadi since he arrived in Yemen, and went on to say two days later that she was “unsure about whether there had been any US contact with Hadi since Monday.”

    A flurry of media reports in the United States have meanwhile appeared suggesting that the United States is growing closer to Iran with respect to its Yemeni policies. Michael Vickers, the Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, has confirmed that the United States has an intelligence relationship with the Houthi insurgent group to counter al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula. Secretary of State John Kerry, for his part, told U.S. lawmakers last week that he “knows” that the Tehran government was “surprised” at the Houthi takeover of the capital Sanaa. The statement appeared to indicate that Kerry has been in talks with the Tehran regime over Yemen, and was persuaded by the Iranian line. Following his March 2 address to the UN Human Rights Council in Geneva, Kerry will again meet with Iranian foreign minister Jawad Zarif as part of negotiations over the Iranian nuclear project — then visit Riyadh and London to discuss Yemen and other matters with Gulf foreign ministers.

    On a related matter, “Stratfor,” an American private intelligence company, released a report Thursday alleging that private talks were underway in the Gulf with respect to a possible “two-state solution” for Yemen. Such a settlement would eventually place new pressures on the Houthis in Sanaa: According to Muhammad Lutf al-Uryani, Yemen’s former minister of water and the environment, Yemeni has approached a “state of water emergency” – and the capital itself, which stands 3300 meters above sea level with a population of more than 2.5 million, will eventually have to be moved. This costly endeavor will be extremely difficult, particularly if the Houthi rebels do not manage to wrest control over the oil fields of Marib, as they are currently attempting to do in their ongoing military campaign.

    This post is a translation from Joseph Braude’s weekly column in the Moroccan Arabic-language daily Al-Ahdath al-Maghrebiya,. Follow Joseph Braude on Twitter @josephbraude.

  21. #181

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    DANCING WITH THE DEVIL

    Kerry is showing exactly why the Obama administration is going to be the death of us all here in the USA. You can’t make a “deal” with Shia Muslims against Sunni Muslims. I said at the start of the thread one result would be a tactical alliance between the USA and the Shia against the Sunni Al Qaida of the Arabian Peninsula. HE, THEY BOTH WANT TO KILL THE USA!!

    Ergo, there is no possible deal possible between Iran, under the control of extreme Shia factions, and Sunni extreme terror factions, with anybody in the West. The four year mark for both the Arab Spring and Fukushima are showing just how bad things really are on Planet Earth.

    We are likely to end up with a line drawn through Yemen, just like Vietnam and Korea. Whatever Kerry thinks, the Gulf States and Saudi Arabia, much less the Al Qaida group, are NEVER going to tolerate any part of Yemen controlled from Iran.

    We are going to see the kind of civilwar/free-for-all in Yemen we haven’t seen in a while. This will be ignored until Saudi Arabia, or the Suez Canal is threatened.

    Doomer Doug, a.k.a. Doug McIntosh now has a blog at www.doomerdoug.wordpress.com
    My end of the world e book “Day of the Dogs” will soon be available for sale at smashwords. The url is
    https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/267340 It is also at the following url
    http://www.amazon.com/-/e/B007BRLFYU
  22. #182

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    http://www.nationalreview.com/articl…gy-john-hillen

    On Iran: It’s Not about the Bomb, It’s about the Strategy

    Achieving a weak nuclear deal will thrill the arms-control crowd but do little to erode Iran’s campaign to control the Middle East.

    By John Hillen — March 2, 2015

    This weekend’s​ Sunday-morning talk shows remained focused on Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech to Congress and its possible effect on the ongoing talks with Iran on its nuclear program.

    In the meantime, a seemingly innocuous but related event Sunday morning was lightly reported: Yesterday morning, Mahan Air of Iran landed its first commercial flight to Yemen in decades. Even though there is no passenger traffic of almost any sort between Yemen and Iran, Yemen’s new Shiite government and Teheran have scheduled 14 direct flights per week between the two countries.

    This first flight was delivering “medical aid.” Ah, of course. Mahan Air, a “private” airline, was called out in 2011 by the U.S. Department of Treasury “for providing financial, material, and technological support to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force (IRGC-QF).” Treasury designated the airline a material and transportation supporter of terrorism, saying: “Based in Tehran, Mahan Air provides transportation, funds transfers and personnel travel services to the IRGC-QF.” In Treasury’s 2011 press release on this matter, Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence David S. Cohen said:

    Mahan Air’s close coordination with the IRGC-QF — secretly ferrying operatives, weapons, and funds on its flights — reveals yet another facet of the IRGC’s extensive infiltration of Iran’s commercial sector to facilitate its support for terrorism. Following the revelation about the IRGC-QF’s use of the international financial system to fund its murder-for-hire plot, today’s action highlights further the undeniable risks of doing business with Iran.

    The general pattern, evident over years, shows that Iran has a well-oiled machine for smuggling massive quantities of sophisticated weaponry to Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in the Gaza strip.

    Despite the enormous political and military investment in Yemen over the past decade, the U.S. and its European allies fled the country over the past weeks, as it sank into chaos. Iran saw its chance and was in like a shot. This move is part and parcel of Iran’s national strategy: exporting its revolution through specialized military and intelligence units, gaining hegemony over the Gulf region and the greater Middle East, pushing the U.S. out of the region, and isolating and weakening, if not helping to dismember Israel. In just the past five years, Iran has created or consolidated well-armed satrapies from the Turkish border to the Gulf of Aden, and from the Mediterranean and Red Sea to the heart of Afghanistan.

    The Middle East may be the graveyard of most foreign policies, but Iran’s, by contrast, has been remarkably successful over the past decade. And its success has accelerated dramatically over the last five years. And yet U.S. policy has largely failed to focus on comprehensively confronting, arresting, and rolling back the threat of an increasingly hegemonic Iran. Instead, our Iranian policy — outside of Treasury sanctions — seems to be centered almost entirely on achieving and then celebrating some kind of nuclear deal. (This is the subject of my speech today at AIPAC.)

    There is no doubt that Iranian nuclear weapons would change the balance of power dramatically; inevitably, they would start a nuclear-arms race throughout the Middle East. And we should be more concerned with Iran’s nuclear ambitions than with North Korea’s programs for the simple geopolitical reason that North Korea is a weak state surrounded by strong states while Iran is a strong state surrounded by weak states.

    Even so, Iran’s nuclear ambitions are just a means — a tool. It is Iran’s geo-strategy on which we should be chiefly focused, not the details of getting a nuclear-arms agreement. Others have written sensibly about why a bad nuclear deal is much worse than no deal, and I do believe that the priests and priestesses of the arms-control crowd are head-down in technical details and hell-bent on getting to any deal, no matter how weak. It is the way they define success — damn its strategic relevance.

    But doing any deal right now — at the very moment when Iran is achieving unprecedented success in its campaign to destabilize the entire region — is like cheering about saving a tree as the forest burns all around. It is strategically incongruous, if not ultimately debilitating, to be having a let’s-reach-a-deal dialogue with Iran right now on this one set of means. It’s not the bomb; it’s the strategy that is our problem.

    — John Hillen is the chairman of National Review and a former assistant secretary of state.

  23. #183

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    http://www.wsj.com/articles/john-vin…bit-1425327322

    Russia’s Missile Gambit

    Offering antiballistic missiles to Iran, currying favor with the mullahs.

    By John Vinocur
    March 2, 2015 3:15 p.m. ET
    1 COMMENTS

    From deep in a world of wishful thinking, the White House’s press secretary, Josh Earnest, said on Friday that the Obama administration is hopeful of holding together “the unanimity of support” it is getting from countries described as a coalition working together to stop Iran’s rush toward nuclear weapons.

    Was the White House closed for a spiritual retreat earlier in the week? Because last Monday, Russia offered to sell the Islamic Republic its most advanced S-300VM Antey-2500 antiballistic missiles. They would protect the mullahs’ nuclear installations from eventual strikes by Israel and/or—you couldn’t have forgotten President Barack Obama’s warnings that “everything remains on the table”—the United States.

    Here was an extraordinary moment that roused barely a peep from the administration and piddling press coverage in the U.S., France, Britain and Germany, the countries that make up with Russia and China the American-led group negotiating with Tehran.

    Extraordinary because Moscow deliberately picked a decisive phase in the bargaining process to send a brazen signal. And a coherent one in the sense that its gesture was one of unmistakable contempt for the U.S. and the West.

    Most important, the missile proposition was immediately destabilizing since it savaged the notion, cherished in Washington and Western Europe, that the Kremlin is committed to compartmentalizing its approach to Iran—that is, walling it off into a cooperative sanitary zone away from the lies, maneuvers and gun-in-hand Russian strategy concerning Ukraine and the security of Europe.

    Instead, the move said the Russians think they can both oppose Iran getting nukes and, through the offer of the missiles, come out from the current talks, concluding at the end of March, with the mullahs on their side regardless of the negotiations’ results. That’s hardly a Tehran moving closer to America, an event which the Obama administration seems to fantasize will accompany a deal.

    For emphasis, Vladimir Putin ’s old KGB pal, Sergei Chemezov, head of the Russian state-weapons conglomerate Rostec, personally proposed supplying the missiles. Add this dose of spite: Mr. Chemezov is on Washington’s Crimea sanctions list. He said the Iranians are thinking the offer over.

    The Antey-2500 missiles are a substantially improved version of the S-300V the Russians contracted to sell to Iran in 2007. The deal was cancelled by Russia in 2010 after a United Nations Security Council resolution banning the sale or transfer to Iran of missile systems. Russian accounts say the Antey-2500 missiles on offer aren’t listed among the excluded systems.

    The U.S. reaction was of the don’t-bother-us mode. “It’s just some reports,” said the State Department’s spokeswoman, Jen Psaki. Apparently the direct quotes from Mr. Chemezov via a Russian state-run news agency, stating that “We offered the Antey-2500 instead of the S-300,” don’t count.

    Ms. Psaki issued a clause saying maybe-we’ll-take-a-look-later-at-an-appropriate-level, as if to cut off the story’s legs.

    A good way to evaluate the Obama administration’s connection with reality on dealing with Iran was once to check this or that potentially deluded aspect with the French. They hadn’t inexactly called themselves “the guardians of the temple” on nuclear proliferation. Example: In 2013, when an interim agreement was about to be signed setting up the current talks with Iran, France successfully insisted that neutralization of the mullahs’ Arak nuclear site be included. America was prepared to leave it out.

    And for verbal resolve on Iran, you couldn’t do better than when President François Hollande told Saudi Arabia’s royals in 2013 that France sought “the certainty, the guarantee that Iran definitively renounces atomic weapons.”

    But now, when I asked a senior French official participating in the Iran negotiations about the Russian missile gambit and its implications, he responded: “Juridically, they can do it.” He added, “Politically, we’re not following it now.”

    Talk about compartmentalization. The lessons of Russia’s march into Ukraine or its maneuvers on NATO’s borders won’t be superimposed onto Paris’s strategy for dealing with Iran, marking a French willingness, more in line with Washington’s, to disconnect from the issue’s widest realities.

    So where are the French “guardians of the temple” these days, the ornery nuclear nags previously ready, they said, to lie across the tracks of an ambiguous or plainly bad deal that would leave Iran with an eventual good shot at nukes?

    George Perkovich, the nuclear-security-and-proliferation expert who is vice president of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told me, referring to the “guardians” and Iran: “It’s become a different world. The circumstances and issues in the negotiations are not nearly as propitious as they once saw them.”

    Russia apart—although the West’s unwillingness to deal with Moscow’s new disruptiveness on Iran says a lot about how it will ultimately face up to the mullahs—I wanted to know from the French how they see things turning out.

    “The question for us is not Obama versus Netanyahu,” the senior French official said, seeking to return to the old sound of French noncompromise and autonomy on an issue of enormous importance. “The question is a weak agreement against a robust one. At this stage, the agreement with Iran currently under discussion is not robust.”

    He added very diplomatically, “Of course, in three weeks, we’ll see.”

    Mr. Vinocur is former executive editor of the International Herald Tribune.

  24. #184

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    Hummm……..

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    http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MID-01-040315.html

    Middle East
    Mar 4, ’15
    World bows to Iran’s hegemony
    By Spengler

    The problem with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s address to the US Congress was not the risk of offending Washington but Washington’s receding relevance. World powers, including China, have elected to legitimize Iran’s dominant position, hoping to delay but not deter its eventual acquisition of nuclear weapons. But war cannot be avoided; it is inevitable.

    The problem with Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu’s address to Congress March 3 was not the risk of offending Washington, but rather Washington’s receding relevance. President Barack Obama is not the only leader who wants to acknowledge what is already a fact in the ground, namely that “Iran has become the preeminent strategic player in West Asia to the increasing disadvantage of the US and its regional allies,” as a former Indian ambassador to Oman wrote this week.

    For differing reasons, the powers of the world have elected to legitimize Iran’s dominant position, hoping to delay but not deter its eventual acquisition of nuclear weapons. Except for Israel and the Sunni Arab states, the world has no desire to confront Iran. Short of an American military strike, which is unthinkable for this administration, there may be little that Washington can do to influence the course of events. Its influence has fallen catastrophically in consequence of a chain of policy blunders.

    The best that Prime Minister Netanyahu can hope for is that the US Congress will in some way disrupt the Administration’s efforts to strike a deal with Iran by provoking the Iranians. That is what the White House fears, and that explains its rage over Netanyahu’s appearance.

    Tehran may overplay its hand, but I do not think it will. The Persians are not the Palestinians, who discovered that they were a people only a generation ago and never miss an opportunity to miss and opportunity; they are ancient and crafty, and know an opportunity when it presents itself.

    Most of the world wants a deal, because the alternative would be war. For 10 years I have argued that war is inevitable whatever the diplomats do, and that the question is not if, but how and when. President Obama is not British prime minister Neville Chamberlain selling out to Hitler at Munich in 1938: rather, he is Lord Halifax, that is, Halifax if he had been prime minister in 1938. Unlike the unfortunate Chamberlain, who hoped to buy time for Britain to build warplanes, Halifax liked Hitler, as Obama and his camarilla admire Iran.

    China is Chamberlain, hoping to placate Iran in order to buy time. China’s dependence on Middle East oil will increase during the next decade no matter what else China might do, and a war in the Persian Gulf would ruin it.

    Until early 2014, China believed that the United States would guarantee the security of the Persian Gulf. After the rise of Islamic State (ISIS), it concluded that the United States no longer cared, or perhaps intended to destabilize the region for nefarious reasons. But China does not have means to replace America’s presence in the Persian Gulf. Like Chamberlain at Munich, it seeks delay.

    Obama, to be sure, portrays his policy in the language of balance of power. He told the New Yorker’s David Remnick in 2014, “It would be profoundly in the interest of citizens throughout the region if Sunnis and Shias weren’t intent on killing each other. And although it would not solve the entire problem, if we were able to get Iran to operate in a responsible fashion – not funding terrorist organizations, not trying to stir up sectarian discontent in other countries, and not developing a nuclear weapon – you could see an equilibrium developing between Sunni, or predominantly Sunni, Gulf states and Iran in which there’s competition, perhaps suspicion, but not an active or proxy warfare.”

    That, as the old joke goes, is the demo version. On the ground, the US has tacitly accepted the guiding role of Iranian commanders in Iraq’s military operations against ISIS. It is courting the Iran-backed Houthi rebels who just overthrow a Saudi-backed regime in Yemen. It looks the other way while its heavy arms shipments to the Lebanese army are diverted to Hezbollah.

    At almost every point at which Iran has tried to assert hegemony over its neighbors, Washington has acquiesced. “In the end, peace can be achieved only by hegemony or by balance of power,” wrote Henry Kissinger. The major powers hope for peace through Iranian hegemony, although they differ in their estimate of how long this will last.

    Apart from its nuclear ambitions, the broader deal envisioned by Washington would leave Iran as a de facto suzerain in Iraq. It would also make Iran the dominant power in Lebanon (via Hezbollah), Syria (via its client regime) and Yemen (through its Houthi proxies). Although Sunni Muslims outnumber Shi’ites by 6:1, Sunni populations are concentrated in North Africa, Turkey and South Asia. Iran hopes to dominate the Levant and Mesopotamia, encircling Saudi Arabia and threatening Azerbaijan.

    It is grotesque for America to talk of balance of power in the Persian Gulf, because America destroyed the balance of power that defined the region’s politics from the end of the First World War until 2006, when Washington pushed through majority rule in Iraq.

    The imperialist powers in their wisdom established a power balance on two levels. First, they created a Sunni-dominated state in Iraq opposite Shi’ite Iran. The two powers fought each other to a standstill during the 1980s with the covert encouragement of the Reagan administration. Nearly a million soldiers died without troubling the world around them.

    Second, the Sykes-Picot agreement of 1916 created two states, Syria and Iraq, in which minorities ruled majorities – the Alawite minority in Syria, and the Sunni minority in Iraq. Tyranny of a minority may be brutal, but a minority cannot exterminate a majority.

    America’s first great blunder was to force majority rule upon Iraq. As Lt General (ret.) Daniel Bolger explained in a 2014 book, “The stark facts on the ground still sat there, oozing pus and bile. With Saddam gone, any voting would install a Shiite majority. The Sunni wouldn’t run Iraq again. That, at the bottom, caused the insurgency. Absent the genocide of Sunni Arabs, it would keep it going.”

    Under majority Shi’ite rule, Iraq inevitably became Iran’s ally. Iranian Revolutionary Guards are now leading its campaign against the Sunni resistance, presently dominated by ISIS, and Iranian officers are leading Iraqi army regulars.

    This was the work of the George W Bush administration, not Obama. In its ideological fervor for Arab democracy, the Republicans opened the door for Iran to dominate the region. Condoleezza Rice, then Bush’s National Security Advisor, proposed offering an olive branch to Iran as early as 2003. After the Republicans got trounced in the 2006 Congressional elections, defense secretary Donald Rumsfeld got a pink slip, vice president Dick Cheney got benched, and “realist” Robert Gates – the co-chairman of the 2004 Council on Foreign Relations task force that advocated a deal with Iran – took over at Defense.

    In the past, China has sought to strike a balance between Saudi Arabia and Iran with weapons sales, among other means. One Chinese analyst observes that although China’s weapons deliveries to Iran are larger in absolute terms than its sales to Saudi Arabia, it has given the Saudis its best medium-range missiles, which constitute a “formidable deterrent” against Iran.

    As China sees the matter, its overall dependency on imported oil is rising, and the proportion of that oil coming from Iran and its perceived allies is rising. Saudi Arabia may be China’s biggest provider, but Iraq and Oman account for lion’s share of the recent increase in oil imports. China doesn’t want to rock the boat with either prospective adversary.

    Among the world’s powers, China is the supreme rationalist: it views the world in terms of cold self-interest and tends to assume that others also view the world this way. One of China’s most respected military strategists told me bluntly that the notion of a nuclear exchange between Israel and Iran (and by implication any regional nuclear power and Iran) was absurd: the Iranians, he argued, know that a nuclear-armed Israel could destroy them in retaliation.

    Other Chinese analysts are less convinced and view Iran’s prospective acquisition of nuclear weapons with trepidation. It is not only war with Israel but with Saudi Arabia that concerns the oil-importing Chinese. For the time being, Beijing has decided to accommodate Iran. In a March 2 commentary, Xinhua explicitly rejected Israeli objections:
    The US Congress will soon have a guest, Israeli Prime Minster Benjamin Netanyahu, who is expected to try to convince lawmakers that a deal with Iran on its nuclear program could threaten the very existence of the Jewish state.

    Despite the upcoming pressure, policymakers in Washington should have a clear mind of the potential dangers of back-pedaling on the current promising efforts for a comprehensive deal on the Iranian nuclear issue before a March 31 deadline …

    With a new round of talks in Switzerland pending, it is widely expected that the P5+1 [the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany] could succeed in reaching a deal with Iran to prevent the latter from developing a nuclear bomb, in exchange for easing sanctions on Tehran.

    The momentum does not come easy and could hardly withstand any disturbances such as a surprise announcement by Washington to slap further sanctions on Tehran.

    The Obama administration needs no outside reminder to know that any measures at this stage to “overwhelm” Iran will definitely cause havoc to the positive atmosphere that came after years of frustration over the issue.

    While it is impossible for Washington to insulate itself from the powerful pro-Israel lobbyist this time, the US policymakers should heed that by deviating from the ongoing endeavor on Iran they may squander a hard-earned opportunity by the international community to move closer to a solution to the Iran nuclear issue, for several years to come if not forever.
    Russia has taken Iran’s side explicitly, for several reasons.

    First, Russia has stated bluntly that it would help Iran in retaliation for Western policy in Ukraine, as I wrote in this space January 28. Second, Russia’s own Muslim problem is Sunni rather than Shi’ite. It has reason to fear the influence of ISIS among its own Muslims. If Iran fights ISIS, it serves Russian interests. Russia, to be sure, does not like the idea of a nuclear power on its southern border, but its priorities place it squarely in Iran’s camp.

    The Israeli prime minister asserted that the alternative to a bad deal is not war, but a better deal. I do not think he believes that, but Americans cannot wrap their minds around the notion that West Asia will remain at war indefinitely, especially because the war arises from their own stupidity.

    Balance of power in the Middle East is inherently impossible today for the same reason it failed in Europe in 1914, namely a grand demographic disequilibrium: Iran is on a course to demographic disaster, and must assert its hegemony while it still has time.

    Game theorists might argue that Iran has a rational self-interest to trade its nuclear ambitions for the removal of sanctions. The solution to a multi-period game – one that takes into account Iran’s worsening demographic weakness – would have a solution in which Iran takes great risks to acquire nuclear weapons.

    Between 30% and 40% of Iranians will be older than 60 by mid-century (using the UN Population Prospect’s Constant Fertility and “Low” Variants). Meanwhile, its military-age population will fall by a third to a half.

    Belated efforts to promote fertility are unlikely to make a difference. The causes of Iranian infertility are baked into the cake – higher levels of female literacy, an officially-sanctioned culture of sexual license administered by the Shi’ite clergy as “temporary marriage,” epidemic levels of sexually-transmitted disease and inbreeding. Iran, in short, has an apocalyptic regime with a lot to be apocalyptic about.

    Henry Kissinger is right: peace can be founded on either hegemony or balance of power. Iran cannot be a hegemon for long because it will implode economically and demographically within a generation. In the absence of either, the result is war. For the past 10 years I have argued in this space that when war is inevitable, preemption is the least damaging course of action. I had hoped that George W Bush would have the gumption to de-fang Iran, and was disappointed when he came under the influence of Condoleezza Rice and Robert Gates. Now we are back in 1938, but with Lord Halifax rather than Neville Chamberlain in charge.

    Spengler is channeled by David P Goldman. He is Senior Fellow at the London Center for Policy Research and Associate Fellow at the Middle East ForumHis book How Civilizations Die (and why Islam is Dying, Too)

  25. It is always nice when the mainstream types confirm Doomer Doug’ doomerism! Gee, imagine Iran flying in military supplies to Yemen, HE?

    I also saw where the ISIS guy in Iraq, after he fled Mosul for Syria so he won’t get bombed, called for Jihad against the Shia/Houthi tribal group in Yemen by Sunni ISIS forces in Yemen. Doomer Doug was unaware of any ISIS forces in Yemen, but so what? At any rate, it looks like Yemen is going to explode in multiple battles based on what is now going on. Iran is also starting the process of taking over Iraq.
    The Sunni in Iraq, the ones stupid enough to join ISIS are going to be like the Indians who sided with France in 1763. After the English won the French and Indian War they joined with the colonists to stomp them into the ground and steal their land. Yep, Iran is moving on a broad front to seize control of as much land as it can.

    The question of “Who Won in Iraq,” is best answered by, “Iran of course.”

 

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